Lokomotiv Moskva vs Zenit Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
RZD Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 4:45 PM
Premier League
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
0 – 0
Zenit ZSP
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 4:45 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lokomotiv Moskva hosted Zenit in a tightly contested match that ended in a 0-0 draw, mirroring the halftime scoreline with no goals in either half. Lokomotiv managed just 40% possession compared to Zenit's dominant 60%, yet their defensive organization frustrated the visitors' attacks. As the stronger team on paper, Zenit controlled much of the play but lacked clinical finishing, resulting in a significant structural deviation from expectations where they failed to secure a victory. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments from either side. The clean sheet for Lokomotiv underscores their resilience, while Zenit's inability to capitalize on superiority led to a point shared. This outcome aligns with pre-match market indications despite the possession disparity.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result showed a significant 100% deviation for Zenit, who underperformed relative to expectations in a 0-0 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with expected goals cannot be determined.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of data.
  • Event impact: No key events such as second-half adjustments influenced the 0-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Sukhoy

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Demeshko

1st Assistant

A. Bogdanov

2nd Assistant

A. Prokopov

4th Official

Lokomotiv Moskva M. Galaktionov
M. Galaktionov
VS
Zenit S. Semak
S. Semak
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.46
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orenburg Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Rubin Kazan Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Krasnodar Rank: D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: W
Spartak Moskva Rank: W
Orenburg Rank: L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 17 - 18
18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiv Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Zenit
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.84
41.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiv Moskva
Zenit
Power Score
24.84
41.09
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lokomotiv Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Zenit

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zenit
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.63
23.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.75
37.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lokomotiv Moskva +1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Zenit -1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiv Moskva
Zenit
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zenit
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiv Moskva
Zenit
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
Zenit
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lokomotiv Moskva 0.32
Zenit 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lokomotiv Moskva 0.00
Zenit 0.00
Lokomotiv Moskva
Zenit
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ZSP had peak pressure around 40'.
  • Lokomotiv Moskva started the game with stronger pressure.
Lokomotiv Moskva Pressure ZSP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ZSP reached the top pressure at 40' (73.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home
45 matches
Zenit ZSP Away
Match Record
10
Wins
18
17
Draws
17
18
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
44
-19
Goal Difference
+19

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Mitryushkin
Russia
1 A. Mitryushkin
A. Silyanov
Russia
45 A. Silyanov
E. Morozov
Russia
85 E. Morozov
C. Montes Castro
Mexico
23 C. Montes Castro
Lucas Fasson
Substitution
Brazil
3 Lucas Fasson
D. Prutsev
Russia
25 D. Prutsev
A. Karpukas
Substitution
Russia
93 A. Karpukas
Z. Bakaev
Substitution
Russia
7 Z. Bakaev
A. Batrakov
Russia
83 A. Batrakov
A. Rudenko
Substitution
Russia
19 A. Rudenko
D. Vorobyev
Substitution
Russia
10 D. Vorobyev
Pitch
D. Adamov
Russia
16 D. Adamov
D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
Substitution
Brazil
3 D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
M. Mota Filho
Brazil
33 M. Mota Filho
I. Diveev
Russia
78 I. Diveev
V. Drkušić
Substitution
Slovenia
6 V. Drkušić
M. Valle da Silva
Brazil
8 M. Valle da Silva
W. Barrios Terán
Colombia
5 W. Barrios Terán
P. Silva dos Santos
Brazil
20 P. Silva dos Santos
M. Glushenkov
Substitution
Russia
10 M. Glushenkov
L. Rosa da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
11 L. Rosa da Silva
A. Sobolev
Substitution
Russia
7 A. Sobolev

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium :
RZD Arena
Capacity :
28800
Attendance :
17082
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Aleksey Sukhoy
Igor Demeshko
Aleksandr Bogdanov
Andrey Prokopov

Statistics

Possession
Lokomotiv Moskva
42%
ZSP
58%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 5
41 Dangerous attacks 45
40 Possession 60
3 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 16
5 Yellow Cards 7
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Successful Dribbles 8
1 Penalties 0
70 Ball Safe 86
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Attempts 4
1 Injuries 2
6 Goal Kicks 8
13 Throwins 25
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
10 Dribble Attempts 12
21 Successful Headers 18

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
86 Attacks 91

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 81
270 Successful Passes 433
57 Long Passes 68
26 Successful Long Passes 30
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
358 Passes 532

Defensive

14 Tackles 16
11 Interceptions 11
1 Saves 5
47 Duels Won 57

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 13
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Aleksey Sukhoy

Starting XI ▼

1
Anton Mitryushkin
Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper
6.87
3
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson Defender
6.89
24
Maksim Nenakhov
Maksim Nenakhov
Defender84'
6.57
23
César Montes
César Montes Defender
7.1
45
Alexander Silyanov
Alexander Silyanov Defender
6.87
85
Evgeniy Morozov
Evgeniy Morozov Defender
6.68
7
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Zelimkhan Bakaev Midfielder
6.76
9
Sergey Pinyaev
Sergey Pinyaev
Midfielder74'
6.66
19
Aleksandr Rudenko
Aleksandr Rudenko Midfielder
6.86
74
Daniil Chevardin
Daniil Chevardin
Defender46'
6.58
25
Danil Prutsev
Danil Prutsev Midfielder
6.28
83
Aleksey Batrakov
Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder
7.76
93
Artem Karpukas
Artem Karpukas Midfielder
6.91
32
Lucas Vera
Lucas Vera
Midfielder74'
6.66
10
Dmitry Vorobyev
Dmitry Vorobyev Attacker
7.18
27
Nikolay Komlichenko
Nikolay Komlichenko
Attacker69'
6.91
Referee : Aleksey Sukhoy

Starting XI ▼

16
Denis Adamov
Denis Adamov Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Douglas Santos
Douglas Santos Defender
7.03
66
Román Vega
Román Vega
Defender58'
6.91
6
Vanja Drkusic
Vanja Drkusic Defender
6.75
61
Daniil Kondakov
Daniil Kondakov
Midfielder89'
6.55
33
Nino
Nino Defender
7.07
78
Igor Diveev
Igor Diveev Defender
7.2
5
Wilmar Barrios
Wilmar Barrios Midfielder
6.95
8
Wendel
Wendel Midfielder
7.06
10
Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov Midfielder
7.37
17
Andrey Mostovoy
Andrey Mostovoy
Midfielder58'
6.85
11
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique Midfielder
7.03
14
Jhon Jhon
Jhon Jhon
Midfielder89'
6.99
20
Pedro
Pedro Midfielder
6.91
7
Aleksandr Sobolev
Aleksandr Sobolev Attacker
6.95
9
Jhon Durán
Jhon Durán
Attacker64'
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Danil Prutsev
Argument / 12th Yellowcard
90+10'
Event
Nikolay Komlichenko
GoalkeeperSave
90+9'
90+8'
Event
Jhon Jhon
Argument / 11th Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
Nino
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
Event
Nikolay Komlichenko
Penalty awarded
90+5'
90+3'
Event
Igor Diveev
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Nikolay Komlichenko
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Evgeniy Morozov
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Daniil Kondakov → Vanja Drkusic
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Jhon Jhon → Luiz Henrique
9th Substitution
Event
Maksim Nenakhov → Lucas Fasson
8th Substitution
84'
75'
Event
Jhon Durán
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Sergey Pinyaev → Zelimkhan Bakaev
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Lucas Vera → Artem Karpukas
7th Substitution
74'
72'
Event
Wendel
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Nikolay Komlichenko → Dmitry Vorobyev
5th Substitution
69'
64'
Event
Jhon Durán → Aleksandr Sobolev
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Andrey Mostovoy → Maksim Glushenkov
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Román Vega → Douglas Santos
3rd Substitution
Event
Daniil Chevardin → Aleksandr Rudenko
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Maksim Glushenkov
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Aleksey Batrakov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Aleksandr Rudenko
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
8'
Event
Douglas Santos
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Lokomotiv Moskva and Zenit exemplifies a classic case of defensive solidity neutralizing possession dominance, with Lokomotiv's 40% share proving sufficient for a share of the spoils. Zenit, despite 60% possession and stronger pre-match status, could not breach a resolute backline, marking a notable deviation in their performance. Market alignment confirms the result fell within anticipated ranges, unmarred by red cards or major events. This stalemate boosts Lokomotiv's confidence while prompting Zenit to refine their conversion rates ahead of future fixtures.

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Zenit preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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