Lokomotiv Moskva vs Zenit Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

RZD Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 4:45 PM

Premier League

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva

0 – 0

Zenit ZSP

Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 4:45 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lokomotiv Moskva hosted Zenit in a tightly contested match that ended in a 0-0 draw, mirroring the halftime scoreline with no goals in either half. Lokomotiv managed just 40% possession compared to Zenit's dominant 60%, yet their defensive organization frustrated the visitors' attacks. As the stronger team on paper, Zenit controlled much of the play but lacked clinical finishing, resulting in a significant structural deviation from expectations where they failed to secure a victory. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments from either side. The clean sheet for Lokomotiv underscores their resilience, while Zenit's inability to capitalize on superiority led to a point shared. This outcome aligns with pre-match market indications despite the possession disparity.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Result showed a significant 100% deviation for Zenit, who underperformed relative to expectations in a 0-0 draw.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match assessments.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with expected goals cannot be determined.
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of data.
Event impact: No key events such as second-half adjustments influenced the 0-0 scoreline.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion to match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Sukhoy

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Demeshko

1st Assistant

A. Bogdanov

2nd Assistant

A. Prokopov

4th Official

M. Galaktionov

S. Semak

1.69

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.46

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

10 - 17 - 18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lokomotiv Moskva

Draw

Zenit

Team Power Ranking

24.84

41.09

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

Power Score

24.84

41.09

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Zenit

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zenit

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

37.63

23.75

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

23.75

37.63

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Lokomotiv Moskva +1.60 Efficiency Index

Zenit -1.60 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zenit

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ZSP had peak pressure around 40'.
Lokomotiv Moskva started the game with stronger pressure.

Lokomotiv Moskva Pressure ZSP Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ZSP reached the top pressure at 40' (73.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home

45 matches

Zenit ZSP Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-19

Goal Difference

+19

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 A. Mitryushkin

45 A. Silyanov

85 E. Morozov

23 C. Montes Castro

3 Lucas Fasson

25 D. Prutsev

93 A. Karpukas

7 Z. Bakaev

83 A. Batrakov

19 A. Rudenko

10 D. Vorobyev

16 D. Adamov

3 D. dos Santos Justino de Melo

33 M. Mota Filho

78 I. Diveev

6 V. Drkušić

8 M. Valle da Silva

5 W. Barrios Terán

20 P. Silva dos Santos

10 M. Glushenkov

11 L. Rosa da Silva

7 A. Sobolev

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 22, 2026, 04:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium :

RZD Arena

Capacity :

28800

Attendance :

17082

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Aleksey Sukhoy

Igor Demeshko

Aleksandr Bogdanov

Andrey Prokopov

Statistics

Possession

Lokomotiv Moskva

42%

ZSP

58%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 0

5 Shots 5

41 Dangerous attacks 45

40 Possession 60

3 Corners 3

14 Free kicks 16

5 Yellow Cards 7

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Successful Dribbles 8

1 Penalties 0

70 Ball Safe 86

5 Substitutions 5

9 Goal Attempts 4

1 Injuries 2

6 Goal Kicks 8

13 Throwins 25

20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67

10 Dribble Attempts 12

21 Successful Headers 18

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0

86 Attacks 91

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 81

270 Successful Passes 433

57 Long Passes 68

26 Successful Long Passes 30

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

358 Passes 532

Defensive

14 Tackles 16

11 Interceptions 11

1 Saves 5

47 Duels Won 57

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 13

4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2

17 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Aleksey Sukhoy

Manager ▼

M. Galaktionov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper

6.87

Lucas Fasson Defender

6.89

Maksim Nenakhov

Defender84'

6.57

César Montes Defender

7.1

Alexander Silyanov Defender

6.87

Evgeniy Morozov Defender

6.68

Zelimkhan Bakaev Midfielder

6.76

Sergey Pinyaev

Midfielder74'

6.66

Aleksandr Rudenko Midfielder

6.86

Daniil Chevardin

Defender46'

6.58

Danil Prutsev Midfielder

6.28

Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder

7.76

Artem Karpukas Midfielder

6.91

Lucas Vera

Midfielder74'

6.66

Dmitry Vorobyev Attacker

7.18

Nikolay Komlichenko

Attacker69'

6.91

Substitutes ▼

Daniil Chevardin

Defender46'

6.58

Nikolay Komlichenko

Attacker69'

6.91

Sergey Pinyaev

Midfielder74'

6.66

Lucas Vera

Midfielder74'

6.66

Maksim Nenakhov

Defender84'

6.57

Bench ▼

Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper

6.45

Gerzino Nyamsi Defender

6.78

Egor Pogostnov Defender

6.49

Vladislav Sarvelyi Midfielder

6.48

Nikita Saltykov Midfielder

6.58

Danila Godyaev Midfielder

6.54

Artem Timofeev Midfielder

Referee : Aleksey Sukhoy