Lokomotiv Moskva vs Dynamo Makhachkala Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

RZD Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 1:30 PM

Premier League

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva

1 – 1

Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 1:30 PM

Round 24 Regular Season

César Montes - 87'

Hazem Mastouri - 63' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Lokomotiv Moskva and Dynamo Makhachkala is finished, with the full-time score 1-1. The teams were level at 0-0 during the interval, and the stalemate persisted despite Lokomotiv enjoying the bulk of territorial control. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, particularly for Lokomotiv Moskva, who entered the fixture as the stronger side yet could only secure a share of the points. Lokomotiv dominated possession at 68 percent to Dynamo Makhachkala’s 32 percent, but neither team generated decisive chances. No expected goals data is available to measure underlying quality, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with projections. The draw ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection, even if the home side’s performance fell short of what had been anticipated. There were no red cards or other disruptive events to alter the flow of the contest.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Lokomotiv Moskva showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

K. Levnikov

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Ermakov

1st Assistant

A. Vereteshkin

2nd Assistant

E. Rubtsov

4th Official

M. Galaktionov

V. Evseev

1.75

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 2 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lokomotiv Moskva

Draw

Dynamo Makhachkala

Team Power Ranking

26.47

18.75

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dynamo Makhachkala

Power Score

26.47

18.75

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Dynamo Makhachkala

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.75

24.53

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.53

28.75

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Lokomotiv Moskva +0.49 Efficiency Index

Dynamo Makhachkala -0.49 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dynamo Makhachkala

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dynamo Makhachkala

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dynamo Makhachkala

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dynamo Makhachkala

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Lokomotiv Moskva had peak pressure around 142'.
Lokomotiv Moskva started the game with stronger pressure.

Lokomotiv Moskva Pressure Dynamo Makhachkala Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Lokomotiv Moskva reached the top pressure at 142' (69.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home

3 matches

Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:04:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 A. Mitryushkin

24 M. Nenakhov

5 G. Nyamsi

23 C. Montes Castro

45 A. Silyanov

25 D. Prutsev

93 A. Karpukas

7 Z. Bakaev

83 A. Batrakov

19 A. Rudenko

27 N. Komlichenko

27 D. Volk

13 S. Kagermazov

5 J. Tabidze

43 I. Akhmedov

22 M. Azzi

77 T. Sundukov

6 E. Moubarik

16 H. Eddine Mrezigue

47 N. Glushkov

11 V. Pinto Domingos

25 G. Agalarov

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 01:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 24 · Regular Season

Stadium :

RZD Arena

Capacity :

28800

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Kirill Levnikov

Dmitri Ermakov

Andrey Vereteshkin

Efim Rubtsov

Statistics

Possession

Lokomotiv Moskva

63%

Dynamo Makhachkala

37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

0 Big Chances Created 1

5 Shots 2

71 Dangerous attacks 37

68 Possession 32

7 Corners 1

9 Free kicks 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 2

9 Goal Attempts 5

5 Substitutions 4

1 Assists 0

88 Ball Safe 95

0 Injuries 4

29 Successful Headers 24

8 Dribble Attempts 15

25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

7 Goal Kicks 11

24 Throwins 16

2 Successful Dribbles 9

Attacking

110 Attacks 81

Possession

452 Successful Passes 162

60 Long Passes 74

551 Passes 260

82 Successful Passes Percentage 62

35 Successful Long Passes 23

58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

10 Tackles 16

9 Interceptions 11

1 Saves 4

Build-up

37 Total Crosses 12

7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

14 Fouls 7

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Kirill Levnikov

Manager ▼

M. Galaktionov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper

Gerzino Nyamsi Defender

Lucas Vera

Midfielder80'

César Montes Defender

Maksim Nenakhov Defender

Vladislav Sarvelyi

Midfielder56'

Alexander Silyanov Defender

Zelimkhan Bakaev Midfielder

Nikita Saltykov

Midfielder71'

Aleksandr Rudenko Midfielder

Lucas Fasson

Defender56'

Danil Prutsev Midfielder

Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder

Artem Karpukas Midfielder

Daniil Chevardin

Defender71'

Nikolay Komlichenko Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Lucas Fasson

Defender56'

Vladislav Sarvelyi

Midfielder56'

Nikita Saltykov

Midfielder71'

Daniil Chevardin

Defender71'

Lucas Vera

Midfielder80'

Bench ▼

Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper

Bogdan Sheyko Goalkeeper

Egor Pogostnov Defender

Mikhail Shchetinin Midfielder

Danila Godyaev Midfielder

Artem Timofeev Midfielder

Ruslan Myalkovskiy Attacker

Referee : Kirill Levnikov