Lokomotiv Moskva vs Akron Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
RZD Arena Sun, 22 Mar - 4:00 PM
Premier League Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva 
5 
1
1
Akron Akron Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 4:00 PM
Round 22 · Regular Season
Aleksey Batrakov - 39'
Dmitry Vorobyev - 28'
Zelimkhan Bakaev - 26'
Aleksandr Rudenko - 23'
César Montes - 6'
|
K. Arévalo - 13'
|
Rodrigo Escoval 70' STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
The match between Lokomotiv Moskva and Akron has officially finished, concluding with a surprising 0-1 full-time victory for the away side, Akron. This final result is unusual given the halftime scoreline, which recorded Lokomotiv Moskva leading 5-1 before the match concluded with Akron ahead. Pre-match market probabilities stood flat at 0% across the board, though Lokomotiv Moskva was recognized as the fundamentally stronger team. Consequently, Akron’s triumph represents a significant deviation in their favor from general expectations. Lokomotiv Moskva dictated the tempo throughout the contest by holding 61% possession, while Akron managed only 39% of the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams, meaning no comparison could be made between the final scoreline and the underlying shot quality. However, the overall efficiency shift was broadly in line with expectations, and the final result was deemed aligned with the pre-match market. A major turning point was the dismissal of an Akron player, resulting in one away red card. This numerical disadvantage forced crucial second-half adjustments and created a notable red card distortion on the pitch. Despite playing a man down, Akron resiliently held off the hosts to seal their improbable victory.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Akron showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
- Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
M. Galaktionov
VS
Z. Tedeev
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: 60 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 58 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 W
Sochi Rank: 49 W
Rostov Rank: 60 W
Krasnodar Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
Spartak Moskva Rank: 71 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 L
Zenit Rank: 80 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 L
Sochi Rank: 49 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Lokomotiv Moskva0%
Draw
0%
Akron0%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.69 54.75 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiv Moskva AkronPower Score
71.69
54.75
League Position
3
11
Global Rank
161
639
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Akron
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
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Lokomotiv Moskva
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Akron
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.69
33.08
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.08
38.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lokomotiv Moskva +0.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Akron -0.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiv Moskva
Akron
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lokomotiv Moskva ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lokomotiv Moskva Akron Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lokomotiv Moskva Akron Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiv Moskva
Akron
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home
3 matches
Akron Akron Away
Match Record 2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals 8
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
8
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:07+00:00
STARTING XI
Lokomotiv Moskva Akron Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
1 (C) A. Mitryushkin
45 A. Silyanov
85 E. Morozov
23 C. Montes Castro
3 Lucas Fasson
L. Vera
#3279'
25 D. Prutsev
93 A. Karpukas
V. Sarveli
#862'
7 Z. Bakaev
N. Saltykov
#1484'
83 A. Batrakov
D. Chevardin
#7479'
19 A. Rudenko
N. Komlichenko
#2763'
10 D. Vorobyev
32 I. Terekhovskiy
21 R. Fernández Toro
19 M. Bokoev
M. Kuzmin
#646'
24 I. Nedelcearu
71 D. Pestryakov
A. Đurasović
#546'
15 S. Loncar
J. Pereira Escoval
#2646'
80 K. Khosonov
N. Bazilevskiy
#8172'
35 I. Đakovac
10 K. Arévalo Díaz
22 (C) A. Dzyuba
Y. Rocha Rodriguez
#276'
91 M. Boldyrev
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 04:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 22 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
RZD Arena
👥 Capacity :
28800
🎟️ Attendance :
8273
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Sergey Tsyganok
Dmitri Ermakov
Andrey Vereteshkin
Mikhail Cheremnykh
Next Match
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
Spartak Moskva
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 5 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Away
Akron
vs
CSKA Moskva
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 10:00 AM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Possession
Lokomotiv Moskva
58%
Akron
42%
Top Statistics
5 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
11 Shots 4
52 Dangerous attacks 38
61 Possession 39
9 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 17
0 Red Cards 1
Match Overview
17 Throwins 21
13 Successful Headers 16
5 Assists 1
7 Goal Kicks 6
10 Dribble Attempts 11
1 Injuries 0
14 Goal Attempts 9
73 Ball Safe 64
5 Substitutions 5
3 Successful Dribbles 5
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
Attacking
88 Attacks 68
0 Big Chances Missed 1
Possession
382 Successful Passes 220
83 Successful Passes Percentage 75
62 Long Passes 58
33 Successful Long Passes 29
461 Passes 294
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
Defensive
11 Interceptions 15
3 Saves 6
13 Tackles 8
Build-up
8 Accurate Crosses 6
23 Total Crosses 15
Discipline
17 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
Lineup
Lokomotiv Moskva Referee : Sergey Tsyganok
Manager ▼
M. Galaktionov Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Anton Mitryushkin (C) Goalkeeper
6.843 Lucas Fasson Defender
7.2523 César Montes Defender
45 Alexander Silyanov Defender
6.9685 Evgeniy Morozov Defender
6.387 Zelimkhan Bakaev Midfielder
8Vladislav Sarvelyi
6.48Midfielder62'
19 Aleksandr Rudenko Midfielder
74Daniil Chevardin
6.47Defender79'
25 Danil Prutsev Midfielder
6.7332Lucas Vera
6.79Midfielder79'
83 Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder
14Nikita Saltykov
6.52Midfielder84'
93 Artem Karpukas Midfielder
7.4810 Dmitry Vorobyev Attacker
27Nikolay Komlichenko
6.82Attacker63'
Substitutes ▼
8Vladislav Sarvelyi
6.48Midfielder62'
27Nikolay Komlichenko
6.82Attacker63'
32Lucas Vera
6.79Midfielder79'
74Daniil Chevardin
6.47Defender79'
14Nikita Saltykov
6.52Midfielder84'
Bench ▼
16
Daniil Veselov Goalkeeper
22
Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper
5
Gerzino Nyamsi Defender
59
Egor Pogostnov Defender
90 Danila Godyaev Midfielder
94
Artem Timofeev Midfielder
99 Ruslan Myalkovskiy Attacker
Akron Referee : Sergey Tsyganok
Manager ▼
Z. Tedeev Coach
Starting XI ▼
32 Ignat Terekhovskiy Goalkeeper
6.9719 Marat Bokoev Defender
6.7821 Roberto Fernández Defender
6.424 Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
5.676Maksim Kuzmin
7.06Midfielder46'
71 Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
6.4515 Stefan Loncar Midfielder
6.075Aleksa Djurasovic
6.45Midfielder46'
35 Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
6.381Nikita Bazilevskiy
6.81Attacker72'
80 Khetag Khosonov Midfielder
6.226Rodrigo Escoval
Defender46'
4.56
10 K. Arévalo Attacker
22 Artem Dzyuba (C) Attacker
7.0391 Maksim Boldyrev Attacker
6.372Yomar Rocha
6.57Defender76'
Substitutes ▼
26Rodrigo Escoval
Defender46'
4.56
6Maksim Kuzmin
7.06Midfielder46'
5Aleksa Djurasovic
6.45Midfielder46'
81Nikita Bazilevskiy
6.81Attacker72'
2Yomar Rocha
6.57Defender76'
Bench ▼
78
Aleksandr Vasyutin Goalkeeper
88
Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper
7
Edgar Sevikyan Midfielder
8 Konstantin Maradishvili Midfielder
89 Denis Popenkov Midfielder
69 Arseniy Dmitriev Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Nikita Saltykov → Aleksey Batrakov
10th Substitution
84'
Lucas Vera → Danil Prutsev
9th Substitution
79'
Daniil Chevardin → Aleksandr Rudenko
8th Substitution
79'
76'
Yomar Rocha → Maksim Boldyrev
7th Substitution
Nikolay Komlichenko
Goal disallowed
74'
72'
Nikita Bazilevskiy → Ifet Djakovac
6th Substitution
70'
Rodrigo Escoval
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Nikolay Komlichenko → Dmitry Vorobyev
5th Substitution
63'
Vladislav Sarvelyi → Zelimkhan Bakaev
4th Substitution
62'
46'
Rodrigo Escoval → Khetag Khosonov
2nd Substitution
46'
Maksim Kuzmin → Ionuț Nedelcearu
3rd Substitution
46'
Aleksa Djurasovic → Stefan Loncar
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Aleksey Batrakov
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
39'
Dmitry Vorobyev
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
28'
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
26'
Aleksandr Rudenko
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
23'
13'
K. Arévalo
Header / 2nd Goal
César Montes
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
6'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Akron exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
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