LNZ Cherkasy vs SK Poltava Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Cherkasy Arena Wed, 13 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
2 Winner 0
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Full Time Wed, 13 May 12:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Denys Kuzyk - 73'
Yegor Tverdokhlib - 8'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy secured a 2-0 victory over SK Poltava, asserting dominance from start to finish. They opened the scoring in the first half to lead 1-0 at halftime and added a second goal after the break to complete the win. Home possession reached 68% compared to Poltava's 32%, allowing LNZ Cherkasy to dictate the tempo and create numerous chances. Identified as the stronger team beforehand, they delivered a performance featuring a significant 20.1% structural deviation in their favor. No red cards marred the contest, maintaining a fluid structure. Efficiency remained in line with assessments, and the outcome aligned with pre-match evaluations despite unavailable xG data. This result highlights LNZ Cherkasy's control and clinical edge.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: LNZ Cherkasy recorded a significant 20.1% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment determination.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments influenced proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards resulted in no distortion to match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Kogut

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Debenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

T. Klymenko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

O. Solovyan

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.99
Yellow cards / match 3.03
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.26
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
VS
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
2.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.4
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LNZ Cherkasy
79.93%
Draw
14.16%
Away SK Poltava
5.91%

Movement

Changes since opening
LNZ Cherkasy
-17.39%
Draw
+12.25%
SK Poltava
+5.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.77
35.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
Power Score
58.77
35.96
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
543
1180

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy SK Poltava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LNZ Cherkasy SK Poltava
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy SK Poltava
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LNZ Cherkasy
vs
SK Poltava
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LNZ Cherkasy SK Poltava
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
SK Poltava 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy SK Poltava
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
SK Poltava 0.00
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 19'.
  • LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.
LNZ Cherkasy Pressure SK Poltava Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 19' (66.45).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home
1 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T12:30:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
A. Ryabov
Substitution
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
R. Didyk
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
Y. Pastukh
Substitution
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
E. Tverdokhlib
Substitution
Ukraine
22 E. Tverdokhlib
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
A. Mykytyshyn
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Mykytyshyn
Pitch
M. Minchev
Ukraine
1 M. Minchev
A. Savenkov
Ukraine
12 A. Savenkov
E. Misyura
Ukraine
20 E. Misyura
V. Pidlepych
Ukraine
5 V. Pidlepych
I. Ukhan
Substitution
Ukraine
24 I. Ukhan
V. Danilenko
Ukraine
15 V. Danilenko
D. Plakhtyr
Substitution
Ukraine
44 D. Plakhtyr
D. Galenkov
Ukraine
7 D. Galenkov
V. Sad
Substitution
Ukraine
10 V. Sad
V. Odariuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 V. Odariuk
D. Sukhoruchko
Substitution
Ukraine
38 D. Sukhoruchko

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Cherkasy Arena
Capacity :
10321
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oleg Kogut
Igor Debenko
Taras Klymenko
Oleksandr Solovyan

Statistics

Possession
LNZ Cherkasy
60%
SK Poltava
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
9 Shots 4
86 Dangerous attacks 40
68 Possession 32
7 Corners 0
10 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

108 Attacks 105

Defensive

1 Saves 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Oleg Kogut

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.61
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
6.51
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.69
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.69
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
6.73
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
6.56
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn Midfielder
6.45
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari
Midfielder62'
6.58
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
6.61
4
Ajdi Dajko
Ajdi Dajko
Defender87'
6.27
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.3
8
Adam Yakubu Hassan
Adam Yakubu Hassan
Midfielder78'
6.56
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
6.46
6
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
Midfielder62'
6.49
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.77
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk
Attacker78'
6.72
Referee : Oleg Kogut

Starting XI ▼

1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
6.58
5
Vadim Pidlepych
Vadim Pidlepych Defender
6.03
12
Andriy Savenkov
Andriy Savenkov Defender
6.07
20
Yevgen Misyura
Yevgen Misyura Defender
6.08
24
Ilya Ukhan
Ilya Ukhan Defender
6.07
19
Mykola Buzhyn
Mykola Buzhyn
Defender45'
6.07
7
Denys Galenkov
Denys Galenkov Midfielder
6.32
8
Volodymyr Odaryuk
Volodymyr Odaryuk Midfielder
6.35
—
Volodymyr Odaryuk
70'
15
Vladyslav Danylenko
Vladyslav Danylenko Midfielder
6.36
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr Midfielder
6.35
14
Maksym Marusych
Maksym Marusych
Attacker72'
6.47
10
V. Sad
V. Sad Attacker
6.65
11
O. Piatov
O. Piatov
Midfielder81'
6.33
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
6.71
93
Bogdan Kobzar
Bogdan Kobzar
Attacker70'
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ajdi Dajko → Artur Ryabov
10th Substitution
87'
81'
Event
O. Piatov → V. Sad
9th Substitution
Event
Danylo Kravchuk → Mark Assinor
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Adam Yakubu Hassan → Yevgeniy Pastukh
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Denys Kuzyk
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
73'
72'
Event
Maksym Marusych → Dmytro Plakhtyr
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Oleksandr Vivdych → Volodymyr Odaryuk
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Bogdan Kobzar → Danyil Sukhoruchko
4th Substitution
Event
Muharrem Jashari → Artur Mykytyshyn
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi → Yegor Tverdokhlib
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Artur Ryabov
1st Yellowcard
54'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Mykola Buzhyn → Ilya Ukhan
1st Substitution
Event
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
8'

Match Commentary

87
Update Update
Ajdi Dajko comes on for Artur Riabov.
81
Update Update
Oleksandr Pyatov comes on for Valeriy Sad.
78
Update Update
Danylo Kravchuk comes on for Mark Assinor.
78
Substitution Substitution
Yakubu Adam is substituted for Yevgeniy Pastukh.
72
Update Update
Maksym Marusych is on, and Dmytro Plakhtyr is off.
70
Update Update
Bogdan Kobzar comes on for Danyil Sukhoruchko.
70
Update Update
Maksym Marusych is on, and Dmytro Plakhtyr is off.
61
Update Update
Muharrem Jashari comes on for Artur Mykytyshyn.
61
Substitution Substitution
Vyacheslav Tankovskiy is substituted off for Yegor Tverdokhlib.
46
Update Update
Mykola Buzhyn replaces Illia Pavlovych Ukhan.

CONCLUSION

LNZ Cherkasy's 2-0 win over SK Poltava exemplified their superiority, with a 1-0 halftime lead extending into a solid second half. Boasting 68% possession, they overwhelmed SK Poltava without facing red card threats or disruptive events. The significant 20.1% structural deviation underscores their overachievement, while market alignment confirms the expected hierarchy. Efficiency held steady, though absent xG data limits granular insights into chance quality. This clean-sheet triumph reinforces LNZ Cherkasy's tactical discipline and attacking intent, positioning them strongly in the standings.

LNZ Cherkasy vs SK Poltava preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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