LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Cherkasy Arena Mon, 13 Apr - 10:00 AM

Premier League

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy

2 – 2

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK

Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 10:00 AM

Round 23 Regular Season

Mark Assinor - 45+4'

Valeriy Bondar - 28' (Own Goal)

Eguinaldo - 34'

Artur Ryabov - 11' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

The match between LNZ Cherkasy and Shakhtar Donetsk is now finished, ending in a 2-2 draw. All four goals arrived before half-time, leaving the scoreline unchanged across a tense second period. Pre-match expectations positioned Shakhtar Donetsk as the stronger side and clear favorites for victory. The final result, however, represented a significant deviation from those forecasts, particularly for the visitors. Shakhtar controlled the game with 68 percent possession to LNZ Cherkasy’s 32 percent yet could not convert that dominance into a win. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, but the outcome did not align with the pre-match projection of a Shakhtar success. No red cards were shown and no major disciplinary events altered the flow. The draw therefore reflected a resilient defensive effort from the home side against a team expected to claim all three points.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Shakhtar Donetsk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

O. Shandor

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Marchenko

1st Assistant

S. Marulin

2nd Assistant

O. Kogut

4th Official

V. Ponomarov

A. Turan

2.57

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.54

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

LNZ Cherkasy

22.11%

Draw

30.02%

Shakhtar Donetsk

47.87%

Movement

Changes since opening

LNZ Cherkasy

+16.79%

Draw

-57.71%

Shakhtar Donetsk

+40.92%

Team Power Ranking

35.16

41.2

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

LNZ Cherkasy

Shakhtar Donetsk

Power Score

35.16

41.2

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score

Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.91

32.65

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

32.65

28.91

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

LNZ Cherkasy -0.38 Efficiency Index

Shakhtar Donetsk +0.38 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

LNZ Cherkasy

Shakhtar Donetsk

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk

Created Set-piece attacking threat

LNZ Cherkasy Shakhtar Donetsk

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

LNZ Cherkasy Shakhtar Donetsk

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

LNZ Cherkasy

Shakhtar Donetsk

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy

Shakhtar Donetsk

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

LNZ Cherkasy Shakhtar Donetsk

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

LNZ Cherkasy Shakhtar Donetsk

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

LNZ Cherkasy

Shakhtar Donetsk

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 30'.
LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.

LNZ Cherkasy Pressure SHK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 30' (75.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home

5 matches

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-10

Goal Difference

+10

Data last updated: 2026-04-15T11:31:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

12 O. Palamarchuk

11 G. Pasich

25 O. Gorin

34 (C) N. Muravskyi

14 A. Drambayev

17 D. Kuzyk

16 A. Ryabov

29 R. Didyk

19 Y. Pastukh

23 D. Kravchuk

90 M. Assinor

31 D. Riznyk

13 P. Azevedo Pereira

4 M. Santos da Silva Barbosa

5 V. Bondar

26 Y. Konoplia

29 E. Nazaryna

7 E. de Sousa Lemos

10 P. Delmino da Silva

21 A. Bondarenko

30 A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca

2 L. Traore

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 13, 2026, 10:00 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 23 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Cherkasy Arena

Capacity :

10321

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Oleksandr Shandor

Denys Marchenko

Stanislav Marulin

Oleg Kogut

Statistics

Possession

LNZ Cherkasy

36%

SHK

64%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

2 Shots 6

45 Dangerous attacks 44

32 Possession 68

7 Corners 4

1 Free kicks 2

0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 6

0 Assists 1

20 Throwins 20

12 Dribble Attempts 15

5 Successful Dribbles 7

42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

71 Attacks 68

Possession

175 Successful Passes 494

249 Passes 552

32 Successful Long Passes 30

70 Successful Passes Percentage 89

56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 64

57 Long Passes 47

Defensive

5 Saves 1

5 Tackles 5

7 Interceptions 19

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4

16 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

9 Fouls 7

1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Shandor

Manager ▼

V. Ponomarov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper

7.25

Gennadiy Pasich Defender

5.95

Oleksandr Drambayev Defender

6.3

Denys Kuzyk Defender

6.55

Oleg Gorin Defender

6.74

Nazariy Muravskyi (C) Defender

6.56

Artur Ryabov Midfielder

6.44

Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder

5.93

Roman Didyk Midfielder

6.15

Danylo Kravchuk Attacker

6.6

Yegor Tverdokhlib

Attacker79'

6.51

Mark Assinor Attacker

6.99

Artur Mykytyshyn

Attacker63'

6.69

Substitutes ▼

Artur Mykytyshyn

Attacker63'

6.69

Yegor Tverdokhlib

Attacker79'

6.51

Bench ▼

Dmytro Ledviy Goalkeeper

6.15

Kirill Samoylenko Goalkeeper

Ajdi Dajko Defender

6.27

Ilya Putrya Defender

7.08

Shota Nonikashvili Midfielder

6.54

Adam Yakubu Hassan Midfielder

6.56

Orest Lepskyi Midfielder

Jewison Bennette Midfielder

6.43

Referee : Oleksandr Shandor