LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Cherkasy Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM

Premier League

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy

1 – 1

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:30 PM

Round 25 Regular Season

Artur Ryabov - 55'

Peter Mandela Itodo - 70'

CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played out a 1-1 draw in a competitive encounter. The first half ended goalless at 0-0, with Metalist 1925 holding 64% possession to LNZ Cherkasy's 36%. Despite the visitors' dominance in ball control, LNZ Cherkasy, identified as the stronger team beforehand, remained disciplined defensively. Both goals arrived in the second half, leveling the scoreline and ensuring a share of the points. No red cards were issued, maintaining structural integrity throughout. The result reflects a significant 65.5% deviation, attributed to LNZ Cherkasy's performance exceeding pre-match structural assessments. Efficiency stayed in line with expectations, showcasing LNZ's ability to counter pressure effectively without major adjustments.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match resulted in a 65.5% significant structural deviation for LNZ Cherkasy.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

Maksim Koziryatskiy

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Semenov

1st Assistant

T. Chopilko

2nd Assistant

O. Omelchenko

4th Official

V. Ponomarov

M. Bartulović

2.21

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

LNZ Cherkasy

36.84%

Draw

34.46%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

28.7%

Movement

Changes since opening

LNZ Cherkasy

+29.89%

Draw

-51.63%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

+21.75%

Team Power Ranking

31.75

29.59

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

LNZ Cherkasy

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Power Score

31.75

29.59

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

19.44

10.55

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

10.55

19.44

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

LNZ Cherkasy +0.91 Efficiency Index

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv -0.91 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

LNZ Cherkasy

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Created Set-piece attacking threat

LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

LNZ Cherkasy

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

LNZ Cherkasy

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 8'.
LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.

LNZ Cherkasy Pressure Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 8' (60.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home

3 matches

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

12 O. Palamarchuk

11 G. Pasich

25 O. Gorin

34 N. Muravskyi

14 A. Drambayev

29 R. Didyk

22 E. Tverdokhlib

16 A. Ryabov

19 Y. Pastukh

17 D. Kuzyk

90 M. Assinor

30 D. Varakuta

24 O. Martynyuk

31 A. Shabanov

13 V. Salyuk

27 I. Krupskyi

26 B. Zabergja

18 Y. Pavliuk

5 I. Kaliuzhnyi

19 E. Rashica

99 C. Mba

15 D. Antyukh

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Cherkasy Arena

Capacity :

10321

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Maksim Koziryatskiy

Andrii Semenov

Taras Chopilko

Oleksandr Omelchenko

Statistics

Possession

LNZ Cherkasy

45%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

3 Shots 2

60 Dangerous attacks 55

36 Possession 64

3 Corners 7

11 Free kicks 6

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 12

1 Assists 1

3 Substitutions 3

Attacking

66 Attacks 88

Defensive

1 Saves 0

Discipline

6 Fouls 11

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Manager ▼

V. Ponomarov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper

6.59

Gennadiy Pasich Defender

6.47

Oleksandr Drambayev Defender

6.65

Denys Kuzyk Defender

6.66

Oleg Gorin Defender

6.73

Roman Didyk Defender

6.51

Muharrem Jashari

Midfielder90+4'

6.59

Nazariy Muravskyi Defender

6.54

Artur Ryabov Midfielder

6.59

Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder

6.3

Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder

6.46

Danylo Kravchuk

Attacker68'

6.72

Mark Assinor Attacker

6.78

Abdul Awudu

Midfielder75'

6.76

Substitutes ▼

Danylo Kravchuk

Attacker68'

6.72

Abdul Awudu

Midfielder75'

6.76

Muharrem Jashari

Midfielder90+4'

6.59

Bench ▼

Kirill Samoylenko Goalkeeper

Ilya Putrya Defender

6.8

Artur Mykytyshyn Midfielder

6.46

Adam Yakubu Hassan Midfielder

6.56

Jewison Bennette Midfielder

6.43

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy