LNZ Cherkasy vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Cherkasy Arena Sat, 9 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
0 – 0
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
Full Time Sat, 9 May 12:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy and Dynamo Kyiv finished in a tense 0-0 draw in their league encounter, with the halftime score also locked at 0-0. Dynamo Kyiv, considered the stronger side, controlled possession at 58% compared to LNZ's 42%, yet struggled to convert dominance into goals. LNZ Cherkasy mounted a resilient defensive display, frustrating Dynamo's attacks throughout the match. No red cards were issued, maintaining a full complement of players on both sides. The result reflects a moderate structural deviation of 11.4% attributed to Dynamo Kyiv, indicating they fell short of expected output relative to their favoritism. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with preseason assessments, and the outcome proved consistent with broader expectations despite the lack of xG data. Second-half play saw no notable tactical adjustments, as both teams adhered to cautious strategies. This stalemate underscores LNZ's ability to neutralize superior opposition.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 11.4% deviation occurred, attributed to Dynamo Kyiv.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: No key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards resulted in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Romanov

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Zaporozhenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

A. Semenov

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

O. Kalyonov

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.74
Yellow cards / match 2.96
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.22
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 51 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
Karpaty Rank: 54 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LNZ Cherkasy
5.37%
Draw
88.55%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
6.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
LNZ Cherkasy
-4.32%
Draw
+10.52%
Dynamo Kyiv
-6.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.6
65.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
58.6
65.79
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
541
305

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy Dynamo Kyiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
14.17
22.93
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.93
14.17
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
LNZ Cherkasy -0.89 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Kyiv +0.89 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LNZ Cherkasy Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LNZ Cherkasy
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LNZ Cherkasy Dynamo Kyiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
Dynamo Kyiv 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Dynamo Kyiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
Dynamo Kyiv 0.00
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DYN had peak pressure around 19'.
  • DYN started the game with stronger pressure.
LNZ Cherkasy Pressure DYN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DYN reached the top pressure at 19' (64.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home
5 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:01:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 N. Muravskyi
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
A. Ryabov
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
R. Didyk
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
A. Mykytyshyn
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Mykytyshyn
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
Pitch
R. Neshcheret
Ukraine
35 R. Neshcheret
V. Dubinchak
Ukraine
44 V. Dubinchak
T. Mykhavko
Ukraine
32 T. Mykhavko
K. Bilova
Substitution
Ukraine
40 K. Bilova
M. Korobov
Substitution
Ukraine
13 M. Korobov
M. Shaparenko
Substitution
Ukraine
10 M. Shaparenko
M. Mykhailenko
Ukraine
91 M. Mykhailenko
O. Pikhalyonok
Ukraine
8 O. Pikhalyonok
O. Ogundana
Substitution
16 O. Ogundana
E. Guerrero Lozcano
Substitution
Panama
39 E. Guerrero Lozcano
N. Voloshyn
Ukraine
9 N. Voloshyn

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Cherkasy Arena
Capacity :
10321
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Vitaliy Romanov
Dmytro Zaporozhenko
Andrii Semenov
Oleksandr Kalyonov

Statistics

Possession
LNZ Cherkasy
41%
DYN
59%

Top Statistics

1 Shots 2
39 Dangerous attacks 66
42 Possession 58
2 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 5
3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

76 Attacks 109

Defensive

2 Saves 0

Discipline

5 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Vitaliy Romanov

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi Defender
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn Midfielder
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Midfielder25'
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
18
Abdul Awudu
Abdul Awudu
Midfielder81'
Referee : Vitaliy Romanov

Starting XI ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
13
Maksym Korobov
Maksym Korobov Defender
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev
Defender46'
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
40
Kristian Bilovar
Kristian Bilovar Defender
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Defender57'
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Midfielder73'
16
Shola Ogundana
Shola Ogundana Midfielder
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko
Midfielder73'
91
Mykola Mykhaylenko
Mykola Mykhaylenko Midfielder
39
Eduardo Guerrero
Eduardo Guerrero Attacker
77
Vladislav Blănuță
Vladislav Blănuță
Attacker86'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Danylo Kravchuk → Yegor Tverdokhlib
8th Substitution
90'
86'
Event
Vladislav Blănuță → Eduardo Guerrero
7th Substitution
Event
Abdul Awudu → Mark Assinor
6th Substitution
81'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
80'
Event
Oleksandr Drambayev
2nd Yellowcard
79'
73'
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi   → Mykola Shaparenko
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko → Shola Ogundana
5th Substitution
Event
Oleg Gorin
1st Yellowcard
61'
57'
Event
Vladyslav Zakharchenko → Kristian Bilovar
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Oleksandr Karavaev → Maksym Korobov
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Yegor Tverdokhlib → Artur Mykytyshyn
1st Substitution
25'
21'
Event
Eduardo Guerrero
Offside / Goal Disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Danylo Kravchuk is on, and Yegor Tverdokhlib is off.
86
Update Update
Vladislav Blanuta comes on for Eduardo Guerrero.
80
Substitution Substitution
Abdul Awudu is substituted for Mark Assinor.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mark Assinor receives a yellow card.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Alexander Drambayev.
73
Update Update
Vitaliy Buyalskyi replaces Mykola Shaparenko.
73
Update Update
Andriy Yarmolenko comes on for Ogundana Shola.
57
Update Update
Vladyslav Zakharchenko is on, and Kristian Bilovar is off.
46
Update Update
Oleksandr Karavaev comes on for Maksym Korobov.
25
Update Update
Yegor Tverdokhlib comes on for Artur Mykytyshyn.
21
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Eduardo Guerrero.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Dynamo Kyiv exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Dynamo Kyiv preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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