Lillestrøm vs Kristiansund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion Wed, 20 May - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
1 Winner 2
Kristiansund Kristiansund
Full Time Wed, 20 May 5:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Salieu Drammeh - 55'
Goal
|
Goal
L. Alvheim - 56'
A. Rønning - 14'
Harald Woxen 45+5' Second yellow card
Espen Garnås 69' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lillestrøm 1–2 Kristiansund. The result saw Kristiansund take the points. Kristiansund showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 67%–33%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Lillestrøm 1-2 Kristiansund. Kristiansund showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Amland

Norway 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.52
Yellow cards / match 3.22
Red cards / match 0.14
Penalties / match 0.24
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
VS
Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
2.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
Rosenborg Rank: 62 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 66 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
HamKam Rank: 59 D
Aalesund Rank: 45 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lillestrøm
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Away Kristiansund
95.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lillestrøm
0%
Draw
-0.38%
Kristiansund
+0.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.74
56.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
Kristiansund
Power Score
51.74
56.2
League Position
4
10
Global Rank
568
602

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Kristiansund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kristiansund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.48
49.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
49.55
24.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lillestrøm -2.54 Efficiency Index
vs
Kristiansund +2.54 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Kristiansund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kristiansund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm Kristiansund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Kristiansund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Kristiansund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lillestrøm
vs
Kristiansund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm Kristiansund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lillestrøm 0.19
Kristiansund 0.56
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Kristiansund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lillestrøm 0.07
Kristiansund 0.01
Lillestrøm
Kristiansund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Lillestrøm had peak pressure around 26'.
  • Lillestrøm started the game with stronger pressure.
Lillestrøm Pressure Kristiansund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Lillestrøm reached the top pressure at 26' (81.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Home
12 matches
Kristiansund Kristiansund Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
2
Goals
14
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
14
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-21T00:01:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Dahlberg
Sweden
12 P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
Norway
2 L. Ranger
S. Foss
Substitution
Norway
5 S. Foss
L. Gabrielsen
Norway
28 L. Gabrielsen
Y. Paintsil
Substitution
Norway
26 Y. Paintsil
H. Woxen
6 H. Woxen
C. Jebara
Substitution
Sweden
19 C. Jebara
M. Karlsbakk
Norway
8 M. Karlsbakk
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Substitution
Norway
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
S. Drammeh
Gambia
15 S. Drammeh
V. António Félix
Substitution
Angola
20 V. António Félix
Pitch
M. Lansing
United States
1 M. Lansing
F. Flex
Denmark
3 F. Flex
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 D. Ulvestad
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
A. Munksgaard
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Isaksen
Substitution
Norway
6 J. Isaksen
W. Igor
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
S. Hestetun Kilen
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
H. Gikling Bruseth
Substitution
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
A. Kurd Rønning
Substitution
Norway
27 A. Kurd Rønning
L. Alvheim
Norway
19 L. Alvheim

General Information

Date & Time :
May 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity :
12250
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sivert Amland

Statistics

Possession
Lillestrøm
62%
Kristiansund
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Shots 6
68 Dangerous attacks 27
67 Possession 33
8 Corners 3
17 Free kicks 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
2 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 12
21 Dribble Attempts 12
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
17 Throwins 23
11 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Assists 2
84 Ball Safe 76
11 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

1 Counter Attacks 3
134 Attacks 69

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 24
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
82 Successful Passes Percentage 74
502 Successful Passes 218
63 Long Passes 62
10 Key Passes 11
609 Passes 294

Defensive

9 Interceptions 16
18 Tackles 17
4 Saves 4
59 Duels Won 43

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 12
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

9 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Defender
5
Sander Moen Foss
Sander Moen Foss Defender
4
Espen Garnås
Espen Garnås
Defender46'
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Defender
9
Kparobo Arierhi
Kparobo Arierhi
Attacker88'
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen Midfielder
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj
Attacker46'
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Midfielder
19
Camil Jebara
Camil Jebara Midfielder
7
Linus Alperud
Linus Alperud
Midfielder46'
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Attacker
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen
Defender71'
Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

1
M. Lansing
M. Lansing Goalkeeper
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad Defender
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
6
Jesper Isaksen
Jesper Isaksen Midfielder
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma
Attacker60'
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Midfielder
77
H. Magnússon
H. Magnússon
Midfielder79'
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Midfielder
8
N. Ødegård
N. Ødegård
Midfielder17'
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning Midfielder
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker79'
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
M. Ubandoma
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Kparobo Arierhi → Yaw Paintsil
9th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
N. Ødegård
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
82'
Event
M. Lansing
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga → A. Rønning
8th Substitution
79'
Event
H. Magnússon → S. Kilen
7th Substitution
75'
Event
S. Kilen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Sturla Ottesen → Felix Vá
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Espen Garnås
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
69'
Event
Espen Garnås
Card adjusted
68'
62'
Event
W. Igor
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
Event
M. Ubandoma → Jesper Isaksen
5th Substitution
56'
Event
L. Alvheim
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Salieu Drammeh
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
55'
Event
Espen Garnås → Sander Moen Foss
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Linus Alperud → Camil Jebara
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Y. Ibrahimaj → Gustav Nyheim
4th Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Harald Woxen
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
45+5'
45+4'
Event
Var
Event
Lars Ranger
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Harald Woxen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
17'
Event
N. Ødegård → Heine Gikling Bruseth
1st Substitution
14'
Event
A. Rønning
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Lillestrøm 1-2 Kristiansund. Structural assessment: Kristiansund exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Lillestrøm vs Kristiansund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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