Lillestrøm vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 5:15 PM
Eliteserien
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
0 Winner 2
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 5:15 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
|
Goal
Kasper Høgh - 48'
Håkon Evjen - 37'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lillestrøm 0–2 Bodø / Glimt. The result saw Bodø / Glimt take the points. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant 49.2% structural deviation in their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned fully with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations available due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Hansen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Engan

1st Assistant

M. Lundberg

2nd Assistant

H. Holthe

4th Official

Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
VS
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
2.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.09
2.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: D
Start Rank: W
Molde Rank: W
Aalesund Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: D
Viking Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: W
HamKam Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lillestrøm
27.62%
Draw
21.61%
Away Bodø / Glimt
50.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lillestrøm
+27.4%
Draw
+19.69%
Bodø / Glimt
-47.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.2
33.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
Bodø / Glimt
Power Score
35.2
33.31
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Bodø / Glimt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.20
23.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.90
26.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lillestrøm +0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lillestrøm
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm Bodø / Glimt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lillestrøm 0.16
Bodø / Glimt 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Bodø / Glimt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lillestrøm 0.03
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
Lillestrøm
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 46'.
  • Lillestrøm started the game with stronger pressure.
Lillestrøm Pressure BOD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 46' (94.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Home
24 matches
Bodø / Glimt BOD Away
Match Record
6
Wins
10
8
Draws
8
10
Losses
6
Goals
31
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
31
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:20:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
P. Dahlberg
Sweden
12 P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
Norway
2 L. Ranger
L. Gabrielsen
Norway
28 L. Gabrielsen
U. Yttergård Jenssen
Norway
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen
S. Ottesen
Norway
3 S. Ottesen
Y. Ibrahimaj
Kosovo
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
S. Drammeh
Substitution
Gambia
15 S. Drammeh
M. Karlsbakk
Norway
8 M. Karlsbakk
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Substitution
Norway
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
V. António Félix
Substitution
Angola
20 V. António Félix
T. Lehne Olsen
Substitution
Norway
10 T. Lehne Olsen
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Bjørkan
Norway
15 F. Bjørkan
H. Aleesami
Norway
5 H. Aleesami
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
H. Evjen
Substitution
Norway
26 H. Evjen
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
S. Auklend
Substitution
Norway
8 S. Auklend
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
Substitution
Denmark
9 K. Høgh

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity :
12250
Attendance :
10368
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jan Erik Engan
Magnus Lundberg
Herman Holthe
Tore Hansen

Statistics

Possession
Lillestrøm
49%
BOD
51%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 4
62 Dangerous attacks 59
50 Possession 50
5 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 8

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
4 Substitutions 5
6 Goal Kicks 5
25 Throwins 18
24 Dribble Attempts 15
9 Successful Dribbles 8
5 Goal Attempts 2
70 Ball Safe 71
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

80 Attacks 94
0 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

541 Passes 532
84 Successful Passes Percentage 86
49 Long Passes 56
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
23 Successful Long Passes 29
455 Successful Passes 456
6 Key Passes 3

Defensive

2 Saves 1
48 Duels Won 58
17 Tackles 33
13 Interceptions 9

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 2
8 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
7.62
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Defender
7.32
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
7.09
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Defender
6.74
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
6.93
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
7.36
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
6.81
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen
Midfielder87'
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Midfielder
6.82
19
Camil Jebara
Camil Jebara
Attacker80'
6.67
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Midfielder
7.26
7
Linus Alperud
Linus Alperud
Midfielder63'
6.39
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Midfielder
7.11
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker
7.17
9
Kparobo Arierhi
Kparobo Arierhi
Attacker80'
6.79
Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7.12
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6.97
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
7.06
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
7.02
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.18
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.35
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
6.84
22
A. Klynge
A. Klynge
Midfielder90+1'
7.16
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Midfielder
7.2
24
Daniel Bassi
Daniel Bassi
Attacker88'
6.45
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen Midfielder
6.67
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet
Midfielder76'
6.61
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
7.02
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen
Attacker76'
6.46
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.13
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender76'
6.64

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
A. Klynge → Sondre Auklend
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
8th Substitution
Event
Harald Woxen → Gustav Nyheim
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Kparobo Arierhi → Thomas Lehne Olsen
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Camil Jebara → Salieu Drammeh
6th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Ole Didrik Blomberg
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Sondre Fet → Håkon Evjen
2nd Substitution
Event
Linus Alperud → Felix Vá
1st Substitution
63'
48'
Event
Kasper Høgh
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Håkon Evjen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt's 0-2 triumph over Lillestrøm underscores their ability to deliver under pressure, securing a vital away win with goals framing each half. Even possession failed to translate into results for the hosts, exposing vulnerabilities in finishing despite their stronger billing. This market-aligned result, free of red card chaos, reflects Bodø / Glimt's structural edge and efficiency. Lillestrøm must address conversion issues to rebound, while Bodø / Glimt builds confidence for upcoming fixtures. The deviation highlights visitors' overperformance, setting a positive tone in the league race.

Lillestrøm vs Bodø / Glimt preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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