Levante vs Osasuna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Fri, 8 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Levante LVT
3 Winner 2
Osasuna OSA
Full Time Fri, 8 May 7:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Karl Etta Eyong - 90'
Víctor García - 37', 35'
Goal
|
Goal
Ante Budimir - 11'
Jeremy Toljan - 3' (Own Goal)
|
Red Card Sergio Herrera 45'

CONTEXT

Levante clinched a dramatic 3-2 home win against Osasuna in a high-scoring affair. The teams were locked at 2-2 at halftime, reflecting an even and open first period. Levante asserted dominance with 67% possession compared to Osasuna's 33%, creating numerous chances. Despite Osasuna entering as the stronger team, a red card to the visitors in the second half shifted momentum decisively. Levante exploited the numerical advantage to score the winner, overcoming the away side's resilience. The result showed minimal structural deviation at 3% favoring the hosts, with efficiency remaining in line with expectations. No xG data was available to further analyze chance quality. This victory highlights Levante's ability to capitalize on key moments against a favored opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 3%, favoring Levante.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations not assessable without data.
  • Event impact: Osasuna's red card significantly altered game dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card to Osasuna distorted second-half structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Munuera Montero

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Díaz González

2nd Assistant

Spain

A. Martínez Moreno

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Manrique Antequera

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.49
Yellow cards / match 3.77
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.27
Levante L. Ferreira de Castro
L. Ferreira de Castro
VS
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: 83 L
Espanyol Rank: 72 D
Sevilla Rank: 73 W
Getafe Rank: 76 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Sevilla Rank: 72 W
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
Girona Rank: 75 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Levante
96.95%
Draw
2.85%
Away Osasuna
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.49
77.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Levante
Osasuna
Power Score
62.49
77.59
League Position
19
10
Global Rank
124
82

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Levante — Opponent-weighted form score
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Levante Osasuna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Levante

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Levante ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.06
16.97
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.97
58.06
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Levante +3.72 Efficiency Index
vs
Osasuna -3.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Levante
Osasuna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Levante ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Levante Osasuna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Levante Osasuna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Levante
Osasuna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Levante
vs
Osasuna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Levante Osasuna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Levante 0.45
Osasuna 0.42
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Levante Osasuna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Levante 0.17
Osasuna 0.04
Levante
Osasuna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LVT had peak pressure around 57'.
  • OSA started the game with stronger pressure.
LVT Pressure OSA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LVT reached the top pressure at 57' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Levante LVT Home
19 matches
Osasuna OSA Away
Match Record
5
Wins
11
3
Draws
3
11
Losses
5
Goals
16
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
16
-17
Goal Difference
+17

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:02:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Ryan
Australia
13 M. Ryan
J. Toljan
Germany
22 J. Toljan
A. De la Fuente Barquilla
Substitution
Spain
4 A. De la Fuente Barquilla
M. Moreno
Argentina
2 M. Moreno
M. Sánchez De La Peña
Substitution
Spain
23 M. Sánchez De La Peña
K. Tunde Ruiz
Substitution
26 K. Tunde Ruiz
O. Rey Erenas
Spain
20 O. Rey Erenas
P. Martínez Andrés
Substitution
Spain
10 P. Martínez Andrés
V. García Raja
Substitution
Spain
17 V. García Raja
J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
Spain
8 J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
C. Espí Escrihuela
Spain
19 C. Espí Escrihuela
Pitch
S. Herrera Pirón
Spain
1 S. Herrera Pirón
A. Bretones Cruz
Spain
23 A. Bretones Cruz
F. Boyomos
Cameroon
22 F. Boyomos
A. Catena Marugán
Spain
24 A. Catena Marugán
V. Rosier
France
19 V. Rosier
I. Muñoz Cameros
Substitution
Spain
8 I. Muñoz Cameros
J. Moncayola Tollar
Spain
7 J. Moncayola Tollar
R. Moro Prescoli
Substitution
Spain
18 R. Moro Prescoli
A. Oroz
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Oroz
R. García Santos
Substitution
Spain
14 R. García Santos
A. Budimir
Substitution
Croatia
17 A. Budimir

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity :
26354
Attendance :
19974
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Adrián Díaz González
José Luis Munuera Montero
Antonio Ramón Martínez Moreno
Juan Antonio Manrique Antequera

Statistics

Possession
LVT
63%
OSA
37%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 3
78 Dangerous attacks 12
67 Possession 33
15 Corners 1
13 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 86
14 Successful Headers 6
12 Dribble Attempts 7
25 Throwins 10
3 Assists 1
2 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Goal Kicks 17
5 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
28 Goal Attempts 4
65 Ball Safe 80

Attacking

137 Attacks 56
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

512 Passes 267
19 Successful Long Passes 30
447 Successful Passes 196
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
46 Long Passes 72
87 Successful Passes Percentage 73
26 Key Passes 3

Defensive

2 Saves 9
7 Tackles 13
6 Interceptions 6
37 Duels Won 36

Build-up

53 Total Crosses 9
18 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

13
Mathew Ryan
Mathew Ryan Goalkeeper
2
Matías Moreno
Matías Moreno Defender
4
Adrián Dela
Adrián Dela Defender
3
Alan Matturro
Alan Matturro
Defender76'
22
Jeremy Toljan
Jeremy Toljan Defender
23
Manu Sánchez
Manu Sánchez Defender
55
Tai Abed
Tai Abed
Attacker88'
10
Pablo Martínez
Pablo Martínez Midfielder
21
Karl Etta Eyong
Karl Etta Eyong
Attacker76'
17
Víctor García
Víctor García Midfielder
2
11
José Luis Morales
José Luis Morales
Attacker66'
20
Oriol Rey
Oriol Rey Midfielder
26
Kareem Tunde
Kareem Tunde Midfielder
7
Roger Brugué
Roger Brugué
Midfielder46'
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander Olasagasti Attacker
19
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí Attacker
Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

1
Sergio Herrera
Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
22
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo Defender
23
Abel Bretones
Abel Bretones Defender
24
Alejandro Catena
Alejandro Catena Defender
7
Jon Moncayola
Jon Moncayola Midfielder
8
Iker Muñoz
Iker Muñoz Midfielder
6
Lucas Torró
Lucas Torró
Midfielder62'
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
13
Aitor Fernández
Aitor Fernández
Goalkeeper45+2'
14
Rubén García
Rubén García Midfielder
2
Iker Benito
Iker Benito
Attacker82'
18
Raúl Moro
Raúl Moro Midfielder
29
Asier Osambela
Asier Osambela
Midfielder83'
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
9
Raúl García
Raúl García
Attacker62'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Karl Etta Eyong
Header / 4th Goal
90'
Event
Tai Abed → Manu Sánchez
10th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Asier Osambela → Raúl Moro
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Iker Benito → Rubén García
8th Substitution
Event
Karl Etta Eyong → Pablo Martínez
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Alan Matturro → Adrián Dela
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Matías Moreno
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
74'
Event
José Luis Morales → Víctor García
5th Substitution
66'
62'
Event
Raúl García → Ante Budimir
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Lucas Torró → Iker Muñoz
4th Substitution
Event
Roger Brugué → Kareem Tunde
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Aitor Fernández → Aimar Oroz
1st Substitution
45'
Event
Sergio Herrera
Professional handball / 1st Redcard
Event
Víctor García
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Event
Víctor García
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
37'
Event
Víctor García
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
35'
11'
Event
Ante Budimir
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'
Event
Jeremy Toljan
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Etta Eyong scores with a header.
90
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jose Luis Morales Martin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong's right-footed shot is saved.
88
Update Update
Tai Abed is on, and Manuel Sanchez De La Pena is off.
87
Attempt Attempt
Oriol Rey takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Jon Ander Olasagasti takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
83
Update Update
Asier Osambela comes on for Raul Moro Prescoli.
81
Attempt Attempt
Matias Moreno takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
80
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong's right-footed shot is saved.
80
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Jose Luis Morales Martin takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Alan Matturro replaces Adrian De La Fuente.
76
Substitution Substitution
Etta Eyong is substituted for Pablo Martinez Andres.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matias Moreno receives a yellow card.
71
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue's left-footed shot is saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Garcia Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Martinez Andres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Jose Luis Morales Martin is on, and Victor Garcia Raja is off.
62
Update Update
Lucas Torro Marset comes on for Iker Munoz Cameros.
62
Update Update
Raul Garcia de Haro comes on for Ante Budimir.
57
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
57
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
56
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Sanchez De La Pena takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue's header is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Raul Moro Prescoli takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Garcia Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Sanchez De La Pena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Roger Brugue comes on for Kareem Tunde.
45
Red Card Red Card Important
Sergio Herrera receives a red card.
45
Update Update
Aitor Fernandez Abarisketa comes on for Aimar Oroz Huarte.
45
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi took a shot with his head, but it missed.
45
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Garcia Raja receives a yellow card.
38
Attempt Attempt
Victor Arboleda takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Victor Arboleda takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
35
Attempt Attempt
Victor Arboleda takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
34
Update Update
Carlos Espi's header is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi attempted a header, but it missed the target.
28
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
24
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Martinez Andres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Victor Arboleda takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
20
Attempt Attempt
Jon Ander Olasagasti attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Update Update
Matias Moreno's header is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Ante Budimir scores with a right-footed shot.
7
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Jeremy Toljan puts the score at 0-1.
2
Attempt Attempt
Victor Arboleda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Levante's 3-2 triumph over Osasuna underscores their resilience and opportunism. Despite trailing in perceived strength and facing a level halftime score of 2-2, the hosts leveraged 67% possession and Osasuna's red card to secure the points. The minimal 3% structural deviation and aligned efficiency reflect a match that stayed close to form, barring the sending-off's impact. Without xG figures, shot quality remains speculative, but Levante's control proved decisive. This result boosts their campaign, proving they can upset stronger sides through discipline and second-half adjustments.

Levante vs Osasuna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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