Leganés vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 8 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
Leganés LEG
0 Winner 1
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 5:30 PM
|
Goal
Peru Nolaskoain - 28'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Leganés 0–0 SD Eibar. The match ended in a draw. SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Lax Franco

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Grande Rabadán

1st Assistant

D. Fernández Correas

2nd Assistant

V. Broncano Suárez

4th Official

Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
Granada Rank: W
Burgos Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Almería Rank: W
Granada Rank: D
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 6 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
35.85%
Draw
31.42%
Away SD Eibar
32.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.17
47.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
SD Eibar
Power Score
41.17
47.13
League Position
17
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.03
24.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.73
36.03
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Leganés +1.15 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -1.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Leganés SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Leganés SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
7 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:21:36+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 08, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity :
12454
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Salvador Lax Franco
Carlos Grande Rabadán
Diego Fernández Correas
Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez

Statistics

Possession
LEG
61%
EIB
39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
20 Shots 8
54 Dangerous attacks 23
63 Possession 37
10 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
3 Goal Kicks 14
16 Dribble Attempts 14
20 Throwins 10
10 Successful Dribbles 5
8 Goal Attempts 5
64 Ball Safe 65
0 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 3
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

130 Attacks 60
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
15 Key Passes 6
532 Passes 320
462 Successful Passes 256
36 Long Passes 66
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
18 Successful Long Passes 27

Defensive

17 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 9
5 Saves 3

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2
33 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dani Rodríguez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Gonzalo Melero → Sebastián Figueredo
8th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia → Adu Ares
7th Substitution
Event
Álex Millán
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Álex Millán → Seydouba Cissé
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Duk → Juan Cruz
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Sebastián Figueredo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
Sergio Álvarez → Jon Guruzeta
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Jon Bautista → Javi Martón
4th Substitution
Event
Amadou Diawara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
66'
Event
Luis Asué → Diego García
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Óscar Plano → Naim García
2nd Substitution
65'
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Peru Nolaskoain
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Leganés vs SD Eibar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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