Leganés vs Real Zaragoza Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal de Butarque Thu, 2 Apr - 7:30 PM

La Liga 2

Leganés LEG

1 – 1

Real Zaragoza ZAR

Full Time Thu, 2 Apr 7:30 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Óscar Plano - 19'

Sebas Moyano - 35'

CONTEXT

The match between Leganés and Real Zaragoza has finished in a 1-1 draw. The game was evenly balanced early on, with both teams finding the back of the net in the first half to go into the break tied at 1-1. This final result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, favoring Real Zaragoza. Leganés entered the match as favorites with a 46.3% implied win probability, while a draw was valued at 29.3% and an away victory at just 24.4%. Because the hosts failed to secure the victory, the outcome was definitively not aligned with the pre-match market. In terms of match control, Leganés held a slight advantage with 54% possession compared to Real Zaragoza's 46%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the 1-1 scoreline was consistent with the underlying chances created. Nevertheless, overall efficiency shifts were perfectly in line with expectations for the contest. The match concluded without any red cards, ensuring both sides finished the physical battle without any major disciplinary events impacting the final outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Real Zaragoza showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Fuentes Molina

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Martínez Caballero

1st Assistant

I. Hernández Ramos

2nd Assistant

J. Martínez Montalbán

4th Official

I. Oca Pulido

D. Navarro Arenaz

1.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 3 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Leganés

46.27%

Draw

29.32%

Real Zaragoza

24.41%

Team Power Ranking

59.97

60.57

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Leganés

Real Zaragoza

Power Score

59.97

60.57

League Position

Global Rank

287

451

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score

Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Real Zaragoza

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Real Zaragoza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Leganés ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Zaragoza

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

19.35

53.37

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

53.37

19.35

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Leganés -3.46 Efficiency Index

Real Zaragoza +3.46 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Leganés

Real Zaragoza

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Zaragoza

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Leganés Real Zaragoza

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Leganés Real Zaragoza

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Leganés

Real Zaragoza

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home

13 matches

Real Zaragoza ZAR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-03T00:01:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 J. Soriano Oropesa

36 M. Leiva Calvo

5 I. Miquel i Pons

2 M. Antolín Garzón

15 E. Franquesa Dolz

26 C. Guirao Mora

24 A. Diawara

11 L. Lopes

20 Ó. Plano Pedreño

10 J. Díaz Espósito

23 A. Millán Iranzo

1 E. Andrada

27 J. Larios López

16 A. Radovanović

18 J. El Yamiq

2 J. Serrano

6 K. Bare

33 Y. Saidu

17 F. Moyano Jiménez

11 R. González Bayón

23 M. Cuenca Aranda

9 D. Gómez Alcón

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 02, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Capacity :

12454

Attendance :

8637

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Carlos Martínez Caballero

Iván Hernández Ramos

José David Martínez Montalbán

Andrés Fuentes Molina

Statistics

Possession

LEG

51%

ZAR

49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 2

7 Shots 14

49 Dangerous attacks 51

54 Possession 46

3 Corners 10

9 Free kicks 16

2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

21 Throwins 22

15 Dribble Attempts 22

20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

11 Goal Kicks 5

82 Ball Safe 81

6 Goal Attempts 15

3 Successful Dribbles 8

0 Assists 1

4 Substitutions 5

0 Injuries 1

Attacking

102 Attacks 85

2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

312 Successful Passes 263

24 Successful Long Passes 24

7 Key Passes 14

81 Successful Passes Percentage 80

52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

46 Long Passes 53

383 Passes 330

Defensive

6 Saves 3

9 Interceptions 5

23 Tackles 23

54 Duels Won 67

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 6

23 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

16 Fouls 9

1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Manager ▼

I. Oca Pulido Coach

Starting XI ▼

Juan Soriano Goalkeeper

Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender

Ignasi Miquel Defender

Enric Franquesa Defender

Marcos Leiva Calvo Defender

Juan Cruz Midfielder

Luis Asué

Attacker82'

Duk Midfielder

Óscar Plano Midfielder

Dani Rodríguez

Midfielder78'

Amadou Diawara Midfielder

Carlos Guirao Midfielder

Seydouba Cissé

Midfielder46'

Álex Millán Attacker

Diego García

Attacker69'

Substitutes ▼

Seydouba Cissé

Midfielder46'

Diego García

Attacker69'

Dani Rodríguez

Midfielder78'

Luis Asué

Attacker82'

Bench ▼

Miguel San Román Goalkeeper

Javi Garrido Goalkeeper

Sebastián Figueredo Defender

Samuel Almarza Bayón Defender

Roberto López Midfielder

Guillermo Burcio Midfielder

Naim García Attacker

Andrés Campos Attacker

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina