Leganés vs Mirandés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 31 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Leganés LEG
1 Winner 0
Mirandés MIR
Full Time Sun, 31 May 7:00 PM
Round 42 Regular Season
Álex Millán - 69'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Leganés defeated Mirandés 1-0 after a scoreless first half in which both sides struggled to create clear openings. Mirandés controlled 64 percent of possession and entered as the stronger side yet could not break down a compact home defense. Leganés remained organized and clinical, converting their best chance in the second half to secure the points. No red cards were issued and the match stayed even at the interval. The result represented a significant deviation from pre-match indicators that had pointed toward Mirandés. Leganés demonstrated resilience and efficiency in limited possession while Mirandés left the field without reward for their territorial dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Leganés 1-0 Mirandés. Leganés showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the final performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: The solitary second-half goal proved the decisive event in the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so no distortion from disciplinary events occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Orellana Cid

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Ramos Cinos

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Sarmiento Millet

2nd Assistant

Spain

J. Roca Robles

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.77
Yellow cards / match 5.13
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.32
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: L
Huesca Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
FC Andorra Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: W
Real Sociedad II Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: L
Almería Rank: L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
43.89%
Draw
26.9%
Away Mirandés
29.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Leganés
-50.83%
Draw
+21.81%
Mirandés
+29.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.06
20.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
Mirandés
Power Score
15.06
20.07
League Position
16
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Mirandés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.11
22.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.42
26.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Leganés +0.37 Efficiency Index
vs
Mirandés -0.37 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
Mirandés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Leganés Mirandés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Leganés Mirandés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
Mirandés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Leganés
vs
Mirandés
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Leganés Mirandés
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Leganés 0.15
Mirandés 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Leganés Mirandés
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Leganés 0.00
Mirandés 0.02
Leganés
Mirandés
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIR had peak pressure around 82'.
  • LEG started the game with stronger pressure.
LEG Pressure MIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIR reached the top pressure at 82' (89.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
13 matches
Mirandés MIR Away
Match Record
7
Wins
1
5
Draws
5
1
Losses
7
Goals
19
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
19
+14
Goal Difference
-14

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:03:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Soriano Oropesa
Spain
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
R. Peña Jiménez
Substitution
Spain
7 (C) R. Peña Jiménez
G. Aguilar López
Spain
6 G. Aguilar López
I. Miquel i Pons
Spain
5 I. Miquel i Pons
M. Antolín Garzón
Spain
2 M. Antolín Garzón
A. Diawara
Guinea
24 A. Diawara
S. Cisse
Substitution
Guinea
8 S. Cisse
J. Díaz Espósito
Spain
10 J. Díaz Espósito
D. Rodríguez Vázquez
Substitution
Spain
9 D. Rodríguez Vázquez
N. García García
Substitution
Spain
17 N. García García
D. García Campos
Substitution
Spain
19 D. García Campos
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 (C) J. Gutiérrez Martínez
H. Novoa Ramos
Substitution
Spain
2 H. Novoa Ramos
R. Bauzà Sureda
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
T. Helguera Merello Volante
Substitution
Uruguay
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
A. Houary Jeddoub
Substitution
Morocco
29 A. Houary Jeddoub
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
U. del Cura Urra
Spain
48 U. del Cura Urra

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity :
12454
Attendance :
12540
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
Ángel Ramos Cinos
José Manuel Sarmiento Millet
Juan Francisco Roca Robles

Statistics

Possession
LEG
42%
MIR
58%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 12
48 Dangerous attacks 47
36 Possession 64
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 20
3 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

4 Goal Attempts 9
17 Throwins 18
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39
60 Ball Safe 63
17 Dribble Attempts 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
7 Successful Dribbles 7
8 Goal Kicks 4
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 2
79 Attacks 75

Possession

155 Successful Passes 312
27 Successful Long Passes 27
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
73 Successful Passes Percentage 82
212 Passes 382
58 Long Passes 51
5 Key Passes 6

Defensive

26 Tackles 18
9 Interceptions 5
5 Saves 1
57 Duels Won 71

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 6
16 Total Crosses 24

Discipline

20 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
7.72
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender
6.89
5
Ignasi Miquel
Ignasi Miquel Defender
7.05
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Defender
7.15
7
Rubén Peña
Rubén Peña (C) Defender
7.05
4
Rubén Pulido
Rubén Pulido
Defender75'
6.5
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Midfielder
6.81
20
Óscar Plano
Óscar Plano
Attacker82'
6.42
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Midfielder
6.91
26
Carlos Guirao
Carlos Guirao
Midfielder75'
6.5
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Midfielder
6.14
17
Naim García
Naim García Midfielder
7.51
15
Enric Franquesa
Enric Franquesa
Defender75'
6.35
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Midfielder
6.8
19
Diego García
Diego García Attacker
6.57
23
Álex Millán
Álex Millán
Attacker55'
6.99
Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
6.76
2
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa Defender
6.06
42
Julen Martínez Landa
Julen Martínez Landa
Attacker75'
6.47
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
7.05
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
7.33
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez (C) Defender
7.04
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Midfielder
7.01
4
Martín Pascual
Martín Pascual
Defender75'
6.46
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
7.05
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Midfielder
6.57
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary Midfielder
6.6
8
Aarón Martin
Aarón Martin
Midfielder66'
6.46
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
6.57
17
Pablo Pérez
Pablo Pérez
Defender83'
6.49
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacker
6.68

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Aarón Martin
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Juanpa Palomares
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+6'
84'
Event
Unax del Cura
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Pablo Pérez → Salim El Jebari
9th Substitution
Event
Óscar Plano → Seydouba Cissé
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Carlos Guirao → Dani Rodríguez
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Rubén Pulido → Rubén Peña
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Enric Franquesa → Naim García
3rd Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Julen Martínez Landa → Hugo Novoa
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Martín Pascual → Thiago Helguera
6th Substitution
Event
Juan Cruz
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Álex Millán
Header / 1st Goal
69'
66'
Event
Aarón Martin → Ali Houary
2nd Substitution
Event
Álex Millán → Diego García
1st Substitution
55'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Salim El Jebari
Goal disallowed
34'
Event
Javi Hernández
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Diego García
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
25'
18'
Event
Juan Gutiérrez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Javier Hernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Unax del Cura receives a yellow card.
83
Update Update
Pablo Perez Rico comes on for Salim El Jebari.
82
Update Update
Oscar Plano Pedreno comes on for Seydouba Cisse.
81
Attempt Attempt
Salim El Jebari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Millan Iranzo attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Martin Pascual attempted a header but missed the shot.
75
Update Update
Ruben Pulido is on, and Ruben Pena Jimenez is off.
75
Update Update
Enric Franquesa is on, and Naim Garcia is off.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Martin Pascual comes on for Thiago Helguera.
75
Update Update
Ruben Pulido is on, and Ruben Pena Jimenez is off.
75
Update Update
Ruben Pulido is on, and Ruben Pena Jimenez is off.
72
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Cabello's header is saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejandro Millan Iranzo results in a goal with a header.
66
Update Update
Aaron Martin Luis replaces Ali Houary.
65
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza's shot with another body part is saved.
55
Update Update
Alejandro Millan Iranzo comes on for Diego Garcia Campos.
49
Attempt Attempt
Naim Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Update Update
Salim El Jebari scores with a header.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Salim El Jebari scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Hugo Novoa Ramos.
45
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Salim El Jebari.
38
Attempt Attempt
Juan Gutierrez attempts a header but misses the shot.
29
Update Update
Lalo Aguilar's header is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Javier Hernandez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Pena Jimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Naim Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ali Houary takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Pena Jimenez takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Manuel Orellana.

CONCLUSION

Leganés claimed a valuable 1-0 win by staying compact and exploiting one clear opportunity after a goalless opening period. Mirandés enjoyed greater possession but lacked the final penetration needed to test the home goalkeeper consistently. The absence of red cards kept both teams at full strength throughout and allowed the contest to be decided by tactical discipline rather than numerical advantage. Leganés will take confidence from their defensive organization while Mirandés must address their inability to convert territorial control into goals. The narrow margin highlights how small margins continue to shape outcomes in this division.

Leganés vs Mirandés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.