Leganés vs FC Andorra Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM

La Liga 2

Leganés LEG

FC Andorra AND

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Théo Le Normand - 80'

Josep Cerdà - 64'

Diego Alende - 53'

Marc Cardona - 44'

CONTEXT

FC Andorra delivered a commanding 0-4 victory over Leganés, overturning pre-match expectations where Leganés held a 41.2% implied probability compared to Andorra's 30.6%. Andorra dominated possession with 57% to Leganés' 43% and led 1-0 at halftime before scoring three second-half goals. No red cards were issued, allowing the game to proceed without disciplinary disruptions. This result marked a significant 69.4% structural deviation favoring Andorra, the identified stronger team. Efficiency metrics for both sides stayed in line with expectations, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Andorra's clinical finishing and control exposed Leganés' defensive frailties, resulting in a market-misaligned outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: FC Andorra's 0-4 win showed a significant 69.4% deviation from pre-match structural expectations favoring Leganés.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing assessment of outcome alignment with expected goals.
Market alignment: The result did not align with pre-match market probabilities that favored Leganés.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to lack of data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events notably impacted the match flow.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary measures.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

No referee statistics available.

I. Oca Pulido

C. Manso Rubio

1.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.42

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 3 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Leganés

41.2%

Draw

28.25%

FC Andorra

30.55%

Movement

Changes since opening

Leganés

+40.71%

Draw

+26.34%

FC Andorra

-67.05%

Team Power Ranking

24.47

30.61

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Leganés

FC Andorra

Power Score

24.47

30.61

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score

FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés FC Andorra

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy FC Andorra

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Leganés FC Andorra

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Leganés FC Andorra

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Leganés

FC Andorra

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Leganés

FC Andorra

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Leganés FC Andorra

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Leganés FC Andorra

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Leganés

FC Andorra

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

LEG had peak pressure around 83'.
AND started the game with stronger pressure.

LEG Pressure AND Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: LEG reached the top pressure at 83' (92.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home

6 matches

FC Andorra AND Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T16:02:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 J. Soriano Oropesa

36 M. Leiva Calvo

6 G. Aguilar López

2 M. Antolín Garzón

17 N. García García

20 Ó. Plano Pedreño

24 A. Diawara

8 S. Cisse

11 L. Lopes

23 A. Millán Iranzo

10 J. Díaz Espósito

13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng

20 M. Vilà García

23 D. Alende López

4 G. Alonso Moreno

17 T. Carrique

6 D. Villahermosa Martínez

18 M. Costa

8 E. Akman

21 J. Cerdà Amengual

22 M. Cardona Rovira

9 M. Nieto Sánchez

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Capacity :

12454

Attendance :

9877

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Roberto Tejero García

Ángel Munuera Montero

Gonzalo González Páez

Statistics

Possession

LEG

46%

AND

54%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4

3 Big Chances Created 5

17 Shots 15

60 Dangerous attacks 56

43 Possession 57

9 Corners 5

13 Free kicks 12

5 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Assists 3

24 Throwins 15

15 Goal Attempts 15

7 Goal Kicks 10

82 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

9 Successful Dribbles 4

85 Ball Safe 92

11 Dribble Attempts 8

5 Substitutions 5

0 Injuries 1

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

75 Attacks 75

3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

267 Successful Passes 392

80 Successful Passes Percentage 84

45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

53 Long Passes 64

24 Successful Long Passes 29

332 Passes 467

14 Key Passes 13

Defensive

54 Duels Won 44

6 Saves 8

13 Tackles 15

5 Interceptions 6

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 7

7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Manager ▼

I. Oca Pulido Coach

Starting XI ▼

Juan Soriano Goalkeeper

6.99

Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender

6.83

Lalo Aguilar Defender

6.86

Naim García Defender

6.8

Marcos Leiva Calvo Defender

6.66

Dani Rodríguez

Midfielder63'

7.16

Seydouba Cissé Midfielder

6.95

Carlos Guirao

Midfielder57'

6.57

Óscar Plano Midfielder

6.85

Roberto López

Midfielder57'

6.76

Amadou Diawara Midfielder

6.88

Juan Cruz Attacker

6.99

Duk Attacker

6.84

Andrés Campos

Attacker85'

6.65

Álex Millán Attacker

6.74

Luis Asué

Attacker57'

6.57

Substitutes ▼

Carlos Guirao

Midfielder57'

6.57

Luis Asué

Attacker57'

6.57

Roberto López

Midfielder57'

6.76

Dani Rodríguez

Midfielder63'

7.16

Andrés Campos

Attacker85'

6.65

Bench ▼

Miguel San Román Goalkeeper

Javi Garrido Goalkeeper

Rubén Pulido Defender

Enric Franquesa Defender

6.75

Sebastián Figueredo Defender

6.38

Diego García Attacker

6.61

Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos