Leganés vs Albacete Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sat, 11 Apr - 2:15 PM

La Liga 2

Leganés LEG

Albacete ALB

Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 2:15 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

Juan Cruz - 64'

Álex Millán - 47'

Alex Rubio - 38'

Álex Millán 90+4'

Álex Millán 90+7'

CONTEXT

The match between Leganés and Albacete is now finished, ending 2-1 to the home side. Trailing 0-1 at halftime, Leganés recovered in the second period to secure the win despite significant adversity. Pre-match expectations pointed heavily toward a Leganés victory, and the result showed only minimal deviation from that outlook, with the home team ultimately delivering as projected. Albacete entered as the stronger side on overall metrics, yet Leganés prevailed. Possession favored the winners at 57 percent to 43 percent, though no xG data was available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned fully with the pre-match projection. Two red cards for Leganés created clear red-card distortion that shaped second-half play, forcing the home team to adapt while still finding a way to turn the scoreline around. This late adjustment proved decisive in a contest that tested their resilience.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Leganés showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Palencia Caballero

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Méndez Mateo

1st Assistant

M. Ortuño Sierra

2nd Assistant

?. Canovas García Villarrubia

4th Official

I. Oca Pulido

A. González Fernández

1.12

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.35

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

6 - 1 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Leganés

95.61%

Draw

4.2%

Albacete

0.19%

Team Power Ranking

20.98

26.7

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Leganés

Albacete

Power Score

20.98

26.7

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score

Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Albacete

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Leganés ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Albacete

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

40.00

24.30

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.30

40.00

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Leganés +1.59 Efficiency Index

Albacete -1.59 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Leganés

Albacete

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Albacete

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Leganés Albacete

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Leganés Albacete

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Leganés

Albacete

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Leganés

Albacete

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Leganés Albacete

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Leganés Albacete

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Leganés

Albacete

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

LEG had peak pressure around 37'.
LEG started the game with stronger pressure.

LEG Pressure ALB Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: LEG reached the top pressure at 37' (87.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home

12 matches

Albacete ALB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-7

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:08:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 J. Soriano Oropesa

36 M. Leiva Calvo

5 I. Miquel i Pons

2 M. Antolín Garzón

15 E. Franquesa Dolz

8 S. Cisse

24 A. Diawara

11 L. Lopes

16 G. Melero Manzanares

10 J. Díaz Espósito

23 A. Millán Iranzo

13 R. Lizoáin Cruz

21 C. Neva Tey

22 L. López Mármol

24 J. Vallejo Lázaro

2 L. Aguado Herrera

16 J. Lazo Romero

6 A. Pacheco Ruiz

17 A. Meléndez Ruiz

26 H. Martínez González

10 J. Betancor Sánchez

19 A. Rubio Roldan

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 11, 2026, 02:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Capacity :

12454

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Joan Méndez Mateo

Miguel Ortuño Sierra

?. Canovas García Villarrubia

Daniel Palencia Caballero

Statistics

Possession

LEG

56%

ALB

44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 0

5 Shots 3

56 Dangerous attacks 29

57 Possession 43

10 Corners 4

13 Free kicks 16

1 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 3

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

13 Goal Attempts 6

87 Ball Safe 82

4 Goal Kicks 6

10 Dribble Attempts 6

20 Throwins 21

2 Assists 0

3 Injuries 2

4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

102 Attacks 91

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 79

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

27 Successful Long Passes 23

460 Passes 355

386 Successful Passes 281

56 Long Passes 46

17 Key Passes 7

Defensive

2 Saves 2

9 Interceptions 12

12 Tackles 13

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 3

26 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

1 Offsides 2

17 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Manager ▼

I. Oca Pulido Coach

Starting XI ▼

Juan Soriano Goalkeeper

Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender

Ignasi Miquel Defender

Enric Franquesa Defender

Marcos Leiva Calvo Defender

Seydouba Cissé Midfielder

Óscar Plano

Attacker57'

Juan Cruz Midfielder

Naim García

Attacker80'

Duk Midfielder

Gonzalo Melero Midfielder

Carlos Guirao

Midfielder67'

Amadou Diawara Midfielder

Álex Millán Attacker

Diego García

Attacker81'

Substitutes ▼

Óscar Plano

Attacker57'

Carlos Guirao

Midfielder67'

Naim García

Attacker80'

Diego García

Attacker81'

Bench ▼

Miguel San Román Goalkeeper

Javi Garrido Goalkeeper

Rubén Pulido Defender

Lalo Aguilar Defender

Sebastián Figueredo Defender

Roberto López Midfielder

Guillermo Burcio Midfielder

Andrés Campos Attacker

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero