Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Elland Road Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Leeds United LEE
Versus
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leeds United host Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (Regular Season) at Elland Road. Domestically, Leeds United sit 14th in the table while Brighton & Hove Albion are 7th. Power ranking favours Leeds United by 13.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Leeds United enjoy a 13.6-point power score advantage and home venue at Elland Road over Brighton.
  • Form: Brighton & Hove Albion hold a slight form edge with 24.61 versus Leeds United's 23.44.
  • Squad: Leeds United sit 14th in the league while Brighton & Hove Albion are 7th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis limited by absence of specific metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both sides.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics not provided in current dataset.
  • Market: Leeds United 29.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | Brighton & Hove Albion 44.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leeds United D. Farke
D. Farke
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Newcastle United Rank: 88 L
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Burnley Rank: 78 W
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 6 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leeds United
29.67%
Draw
25.99%
Away Brighton & Hove Albion
44.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.18
73.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
Power Score
87.18
73.58
League Position
14
7
Global Rank
23
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leeds United — Opponent-weighted form score
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leeds United LEE Home
21 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
13
6
Draws
6
13
Losses
2
Goals
19
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
19
-19
Goal Difference
+19

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:07:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Darlow
26 K. Darlow
J. Rodon
6 J. Rodon
J. Bijol
15 J. Bijol
S. Bornauw
23 S. Bornauw
J. Bogle
2 J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
4 E. Ampadu
A. Tanaka
22 A. Tanaka
J. Justin
24 J. Justin
B. Aaronson
11 B. Aaronson
A. Stach
18 A. Stach
D. Calvert-Lewin
9 D. Calvert-Lewin
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
1 B. Verbruggen
M. De Cuyper
29 M. De Cuyper
L. Dunk
5 L. Dunk
J. van Hecke
6 J. van Hecke
F. Kadıoğlu
24 F. Kadıoğlu
P. Groß
30 P. Groß
C. Noom Quomah
17 C. Noom Quomah
Y. Minteh
11 Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
13 J. Hinshelwood
J. Veltman
34 J. Veltman
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Elland Road
Capacity :
40242
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stuart Burt
Samuel Allison
Michael Oliver
James Mainwaring

Expected Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

26
Karl Darlow
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Jayden Bogle
Jayden Bogle Midfielder
6.6
11
Brenden Aaronson
Brenden Aaronson Midfielder
6.75
18
Anton Stach
Anton Stach Midfielder
7.25
24
James Justin
James Justin Midfielder
6.92
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Centre Forward
6.92
4
Ethan Ampadu
Ethan Ampadu Central Midfield
6.99
6
Joe Rodon
Joe Rodon Right Back
6.75
15
Jaka Bijol
Jaka Bijol Centre Back
6.92
22
Ao Tanaka
Ao Tanaka Central Midfield
6.81
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
Sebastiaan Bornauw Left Back
6.66
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
6.84
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Centre Forward
6.84
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Left Wing
6.93
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Attacking Midfield
6.73
29
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper Left Back
6.77
34
Joël Veltman
Joël Veltman Right Wing
6.74
5
Lewis Dunk
Lewis Dunk Left Back
6.95
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Right Back
7.07
17
Carlos Baleba
Carlos Baleba Defensive Midfield
6.63
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Right Back
6.84
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Defensive Midfield
7.21

CONCLUSION

Leeds United's power dominance of 13.6 points positions them well to leverage home advantage against Brighton, despite the visitors' higher league standing and marginally superior form. Without efficiency or set-piece insights, the contest likely pivots on structural balance and transition effectiveness. Brighton's 7th place reflects consistency, but Leeds' 87.18 rating underscores potential for control. Expect a closely fought match where the hosts' overall strength challenges Brighton's momentum, with key moments deciding vital points in the regular season race.

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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