Lechia Gdańsk vs Piast Gliwice Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Energa Gdańsk Mon, 20 Apr - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk LGD 
1 – 1
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Full Time Mon, 20 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 29 · Regular Season
Ivan Zhelizko - 63'
|
Patryk Dziczek - 85' (P)
|
Ema Twumasi 24' STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Lechia Gdańsk hosted Piast Gliwice in an Ekstraklasa encounter that ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw, defying pre-match expectations for the home side. As the stronger team with 55% possession, Lechia controlled much of the game but struggled to convert dominance into victory. The first half finished 0-0, with both outfits trading chances in a cagey opening period. Tension escalated after the break when Piast received a red card, handing Lechia a man advantage. Yet, Piast's tenacity shone through; they clawed back from a deficit to secure a point through stout defending and clinical finishing. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation for Lechia, who entered as favorites but settled for parity. Piast's resilience under numerical duress proved decisive, reshaping the contest's flow and underscoring the away side's grit.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Lechia Gdańsk recorded a significant 75% structural deviation by drawing as the stronger home team.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
- xG alignment: xG alignment remains undetermined due to unavailable match data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment failed as the draw diverged from pre-match projections.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated owing to absent data.
- Event impact: Piast Gliwice's red card altered game dynamics in the second half.
- Red card distortion: Red card distortion was the primary second-half adjustment factor.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
P. Raczkowski
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
J. Winkler
1st Assistant
F. Sierant
2nd Assistant
D. Sulikowski
4th Official
J. Carver
VS
D. Myśliwiec
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.56
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: L
Radomiak Radom Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 6 - 11
11
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Lechia Gdańsk46.57%
Draw
24.98%
Piast Gliwice28.44%
Movement
Changes since opening Lechia Gdańsk+40.29%
Draw
-66.45%
Piast Gliwice+26.14%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.73 27.57 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lechia Gdańsk Piast GliwicePower Score
28.73
27.57
League Position
9
15
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Lechia Gdańsk
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Piast Gliwice
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lechia Gdańsk ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Piast Gliwice
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.27
22.00
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.00
41.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lechia Gdańsk +1.78 Efficiency Index
vs
Piast Gliwice -1.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lechia Gdańsk
Piast Gliwice
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lechia Gdańsk ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Piast Gliwice
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lechia Gdańsk
Piast Gliwice
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Lechia Gdańskvs
Piast Gliwice
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lechia Gdańsk 0.26
Piast Gliwice 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lechia Gdańsk 0.03
Piast Gliwice 0.01
Lechia Gdańsk
Piast Gliwice
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LGD had peak pressure around 93'.
- LGD started the game with stronger pressure.
LGD Pressure Piast Gliwice Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LGD reached the top pressure at 93' (78.36).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Lechia Gdańsk LGD Home
33 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Away
Match Record 16
Wins
11
6
Draws
6
11
Losses
16
Goals 45
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
45
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:01:16+00:00
STARTING XI
Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
18 A. Paulsen
B. Kłudka
#246'
33 T. Wójtowicz
4 B. Pllana
80 M. Rodin
M. Kalahur
#2390+5'
27 M. Vojtko
B. V'Yunnik
#762'
99 T. Neugebauer
5 I. Zhelizko
11 C. Mena Márquez
A. Tsarenko
#1746'
79 K. Sezonienko
8 A. Ćirković
89 T. Bobček
30 D. Holec
36 J. Lewicki
29 I. Drapiński
5 J. Rivas Margalef
55 E. Twumasi
H. Vallejo Avilés
#8067'
20 G. Tomasiewicz
10 P. Dziczek
S. Mucha
#2376'
11 Leandro Sanca
F. Borowski
#2828'
31 O. Leśniak
J. Czerwiński
#446'
98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo
A. Katsantonis
#7076'
7 J. Muñoz García
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
👥 Capacity :
41984
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ , Clear
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Paweł Raczkowski
Jacub Winkler
Filip Sierant
Dominik Sulikowski
Next Match
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
Raków Częstochowa
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 3:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Piast Gliwice
vs
Arka Gdynia
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Miejski
Statistics
Possession
LGD
55%
Piast Gliwice
45%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 2
74 Dangerous attacks 38
55 Possession 45
11 Corners 0
9 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
Match Overview
32 Throwins 15
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
20 Dribble Attempts 23
7 Goal Kicks 7
9 Successful Dribbles 10
4 Substitutions 5
73 Ball Safe 84
8 Goal Attempts 4
0 Penalties 1
0 Injuries 1
Attacking
114 Attacks 89
3 Big Chances Missed 1
Possession
79 Successful Passes Percentage 80
13 Key Passes 7
409 Passes 348
61 Long Passes 50
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
324 Successful Passes 277
27 Successful Long Passes 23
Defensive
20 Tackles 16
6 Interceptions 9
1 Saves 5
54 Duels Won 54
Build-up
31 Total Crosses 9
9 Accurate Crosses 2
Discipline
1 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 9
Lineup
Lechia Gdańsk Referee : Paweł Raczkowski
Manager ▼
J. Carver Coach
Starting XI ▼
18 Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
6.764 Bujar Pllana Defender
6.7627 Matus Vojtko Defender
6.6923Milosz Kalahur
6.28Defender90+5'
33 Tomasz Wojtowicz Defender
6.682Bartlomiej Kludka
6.65Defender46'
80 Matej Rodin Defender
6.95
5 Ivan Zhelizko Midfielder
8 Aleksandar Cirkovic Midfielder
711 Camilo Mena Midfielder
7.0779 Kacper Sezonienko Midfielder
6.8717Anton Tsarenko
6.53Midfielder46'
99 Tomasz Neugebauer Midfielder
6.727Bogdan Viunnyk
6.71Attacker62'
89 Tomas Bobcek Attacker
7.31Substitutes ▼
17Anton Tsarenko
6.53Midfielder46'
2Bartlomiej Kludka
6.65Defender46'
7Bogdan Viunnyk
6.71Attacker62'
23Milosz Kalahur
6.28Defender90+5'
Bench ▼
1 Szymon Weirauch Goalkeeper
6.5929
Bogdan Sarnavskyi Goalkeeper
6.9976 Indrit Mavraj Defender
21 Michal Glogowski Attacker
6.3849 Igor Bambecki Attacker
Piast Gliwice Referee : Paweł Raczkowski
Manager ▼
D. Myśliwiec Coach
Starting XI ▼
30 Dominik Holec Goalkeeper
7.545 Juande Rivas Defender
7.0329 Igor Drapinski Defender
6.85
36 Jakub Lewicki Defender
6.7455 Ema Twumasi Defender
6.64
10 Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
11 Leandro Sanca Midfielder
6.9823Szczepan Mucha
6.45Midfielder76'
20 Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder
6.8280Hugo Vallejo
6.77Attacker67'
31 Oskar Lesniak Midfielder
6.8128Filip Borowski
6.44Defender28'
98 Jason Lokilo Midfielder
6.844Jakub Czerwinski
Defender46'
6.69
7 Jorge Félix Attacker
6.8770Andreas Katsantonis
6.68Attacker76'
Substitutes ▼
28Filip Borowski
6.44Defender28'
4Jakub Czerwinski
Defender46'
6.69
80Hugo Vallejo
6.77Attacker67'
70Andreas Katsantonis
6.68Attacker76'
23Szczepan Mucha
6.45Midfielder76'
Bench ▼
33 Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper
6.433
Elton Fikaj Defender
6.4922 Tomasz Mokwa Defender
6.326
Michal Chrapek Midfielder
6.7518 Oliwier Maziarz Midfielder
9
Adrián Dalmau Attacker
6.63Events
2ND-HALF
Milosz Kalahur → Matus Vojtko
9th Substitution
90+5'
88'
Jakub Czerwinski
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Patryk Dziczek
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Matej Rodin
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
82'
Juande Rivas
Penalty awarded
76'
Andreas Katsantonis → Jorge Félix
7th Substitution
76'
Szczepan Mucha → Leandro Sanca
8th Substitution
73'
Patryk Dziczek
Handball / 2nd Yellowcard
67'
Hugo Vallejo → Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
6th Substitution
Ivan Zhelizko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
63'
Bogdan Viunnyk → Tomasz Neugebauer
5th Substitution
62'
Anton Tsarenko → Kacper Sezonienko
4th Substitution
46'
Bartlomiej Kludka → Tomasz Wojtowicz
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Jakub Czerwinski → Jason Lokilo
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Igor Drapinski
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
28'
Filip Borowski → Oskar Lesniak
1st Substitution
24'
Ema Twumasi
Foul / 1st Redcard
23'
Ema Twumasi
Card adjusted
CONCLUSION
The 1-1 stalemate at Lechia Gdańsk's ground encapsulates Piast Gliwice's fighting spirit amid adversity. Trailing numerically after the red card, Piast regrouped effectively, neutralizing Lechia's possession edge and snatching a vital equalizer. For the home team, this draw stings as a missed opportunity against a depleted foe, highlighting conversion issues despite superiority. Pre-match favoritism toward Lechia amplified the result's surprise factor, with the 75% deviation underscoring unpredictability. Both clubs take a point, but Piast gains momentum from their comeback resilience, while Lechia must sharpen finishing. This clash exemplifies how discipline and resolve can overturn structural advantages in tight fixtures.
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