Lechia Gdańsk vs Legia Warszawa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Energa Gdańsk Sun, 17 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdańsk LGD
Versus
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 3:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lechia Gdańsk host Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Energa Gdańsk. Domestically, Lechia Gdańsk sit 16th in the table while Legia Warszawa are 9th. Power ranking favours Legia Warszawa by 6.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Legia Warszawa holds a 6.5-point power advantage (65.51 vs 58.98) and sits higher in 9th place compared to Lechia Gdańsk's 16th.
  • Form: Legia Warszawa's form score stands at 30, far superior to Lechia Gdańsk's 9.17.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available; Legia Warszawa's higher power score indicates stronger overall team quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence and lack of xG metrics.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as xG add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Lechia Gdańsk 34.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ+0%) | Legia Warszawa 39.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
VS
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 61 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 55 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 7 - 22
22
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lechia Gdańsk
34.26%
Draw
26.52%
Away Legia Warszawa
39.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.98
65.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lechia Gdańsk
Legia Warszawa
Power Score
58.98
65.51
League Position
16
9
Global Rank
526
320

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lechia Gdańsk Legia Warszawa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lechia Gdańsk LGD Home
39 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Away
Match Record
10
Wins
22
7
Draws
7
22
Losses
10
Goals
33
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
33
-20
Goal Difference
+20

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:07:47+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
A. Paulsen
18 A. Paulsen
B. Kłudka
2 B. Kłudka
M. Dyachuk
15 M. Dyachuk
M. Rodin
80 M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
27 M. Vojtko
R. Kapič
10 R. Kapič
I. Zhelizko
5 I. Zhelizko
C. Mena Márquez
11 C. Mena Márquez
K. Sezonienko
79 K. Sezonienko
A. Ćirković
8 A. Ćirković
T. Bobček
89 T. Bobček
Pitch
O. Hindrich
89 O. Hindrich
R. Pankov
12 R. Pankov
R. Augustyniak
8 R. Augustyniak
K. Piątkowski
91 K. Piątkowski
P. Kun
23 P. Kun
D. Szymański
44 D. Szymański
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
B. Kapustka
67 B. Kapustka
K. Chodyna
11 K. Chodyna
J. Nsamé
18 J. Nsamé
E. Krasniqi
77 E. Krasniqi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Capacity :
41984
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

18
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
6.68
89
Tomas Bobcek
Tomas Bobcek Centre Forward
7.27
2
Bartlomiej Kludka
Bartlomiej Kludka Right Back
6.65
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Defensive Midfield
7.26
8
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic Left Wing
7.03
10
Rifet Kapic
Rifet Kapic Defensive Midfield
7.02
11
Camilo Mena
Camilo Mena Right Wing
7.02
15
Maksym Dyachuk
Maksym Dyachuk Right Back
6.69
27
Matus Vojtko
Matus Vojtko Left Back
6.67
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Attacking Midfield
6.82
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Left Back
6.95

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.81
11
Kacper Chodyna
Kacper Chodyna Midfielder
6.57
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.72
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Jean-Pierre Nsame Attacker
6.83
77
Ermal Krasniqi
Ermal Krasniqi Attacker
6.83
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Centre Back
6.68
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Left Back
6.9
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Central Midfield
7.14
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Central Midfield
6.87
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Right Back
6.87
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Central Midfield
6.96

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa arrives with momentum, leveraging a superior power score, top form rating, and better league position to challenge Lechia Gdańsk at home. Lechia's 16th-place struggle and low form score of 9.17 paint a grim picture, though Stadion Energa Gdańsk could provide a boost. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece insights, analysis hinges on Legia's 6.5-point edge and consistency. Expect Legia to dictate structure while Lechia seeks disruptions. This mismatch favors the visitors in a potentially tight affair, where execution of basics will decide the outcome.

Lechia Gdańsk vs Legia Warszawa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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