Lech Poznań vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Thu, 12 Mar - 5:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Lech Poznań Lech Poznań
1 Winner 3
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 5:45 PM
Mikael Ishak - 70'
Goal
|
Goal
Isaque - 85'
Newerton - 48'
Marlon Gomes - 36'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Shakhtar Donetsk securing a comprehensive 3-1 victory over Lech Poznań. The away side established their momentum early on, taking a 1-0 lead into the halftime break before ultimately extending their advantage in the second half. Heading into the fixture, the pre-match market anticipated a remarkably tight contest. Lech Poznań was given a 36% chance of winning, while a draw sat at 27.5%, and Shakhtar Donetsk held a marginal 36.5% edge. The final outcome successfully aligned with this market expectation, as the designated stronger team claimed the win. However, the decisive nature of the victory resulted in a significant 63.5% deviation in Shakhtar Donetsk's favor compared to baseline pre-match projections. On the pitch, Shakhtar controlled the overall tempo, holding 56% of the possession to Lech Poznań's 44%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so statistical alignment with xG cannot be evaluated. Nevertheless, the efficiency shift was entirely in line with the outcome, highlighting Shakhtar's clinical execution. With no red cards issued to either team, the match flowed without any major disciplinary events disrupting the tactical landscape.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Shakhtar Donetsk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Saggi

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Olav Dale

1st Assistant

J. Valstadsve

2nd Assistant

D. Higraff

4th Official

Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
KuPS Rank: W
KuPS Rank: W
Sigma Olomouc Rank: 57 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 79 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 72 D
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Shamrock Rovers Rank: W
Breidablik Rank: W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 62 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lech Poznań
35.99%
Draw
27.52%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
36.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.24
53.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lech Poznań
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
52.24
53.76
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
211
125

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lech Poznań Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lech Poznań

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lech Poznań ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.84
32.68
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.68
22.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lech Poznań -0.81 Efficiency Index
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk +0.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lech Poznań
Shakhtar Donetsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lech Poznań ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lech Poznań Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lech Poznań Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lech Poznań
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lech Poznań Lech Poznań Home
0 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T00:59:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
B. Mrozek
Poland
41 B. Mrozek
J. Vieira Pereira
Portugal
2 J. Vieira Pereira
W. Mońka
Poland
27 W. Mońka
A. Milić
Croatia
16 A. Milić
M. Gurgul
Substitution
Poland
15 M. Gurgul
P. Delgado
Substitution
Spain
99 P. Delgado
A. Kozubal
Poland
43 A. Kozubal
A. Gholizadeh
Substitution
Iran
8 A. Gholizadeh
L. Palma Oseguera
Substitution
Honduras
77 L. Palma Oseguera
L. Bengtsson
Substitution
Sweden
14 L. Bengtsson
M. Ishak
Sweden
9 (C) M. Ishak
Pitch
D. Riznyk
Ukraine
31 D. Riznyk
P. Azevedo Pereira
Brazil
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
Brazil
4 M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
V. Bondar
Ukraine
5 (C) V. Bondar
V. Tobias da Silva
Brazil
17 V. Tobias da Silva
P. Delmino da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
10 P. Delmino da Silva
D. Kryskiv
Substitution
Ukraine
8 D. Kryskiv
O. Ocheretko
Ukraine
27 O. Ocheretko
N. Martins da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
11 N. Martins da Silva
K. Elias Nogueira
Brazil
19 K. Elias Nogueira
A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
Substitution
Brazil
30 A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 12, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadium :
,
Capacity :
N/A
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rohit Saggi
Anders Olav Dale
Jørgen Rønning Valstadsve
Daniel Higraff

Statistics

Possession
Lech Poznań
44%
SHK
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 16
41 Dangerous attacks 46
44 Possession 56
0 Corners 1
8 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

58 Ball Safe 67
0 Injuries 1
5 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 10
18 Dribble Attempts 27
6 Successful Dribbles 16
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59
6 Goal Kicks 4
1 Assists 1

Attacking

87 Attacks 107
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

6 Key Passes 9
349 Successful Passes 492
34 Long Passes 48
19 Successful Long Passes 29
423 Passes 551
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60
83 Successful Passes Percentage 89

Defensive

4 Saves 2
9 Interceptions 11
22 Tackles 18

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 6
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

11 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

41
Bartosz Mrozek
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper
6.64
2
Joel Pereira
Joel Pereira Defender
7.84
15
Michal Gurgul
Michal Gurgul Defender
6.06
4
João Moutinho
João Moutinho
Defender61'
6
16
Antonio Milic
Antonio Milic Defender
6.03
27
Wojciech Monka
Wojciech Monka Defender
6.91
8
Ali Gholizadeh
Ali Gholizadeh Midfielder
6.74
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark
Midfielder61'
6.81
14
Leo Bengtsson
Leo Bengtsson Midfielder
6.2
6
Timothy Ouma
Timothy Ouma
Midfielder46'
6.5
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder
6.12
77
Luis Palma
Luis Palma Midfielder
6.32
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
Taofeek Ismaheel
Midfielder61'
6.57
99
Pablo Rodríguez
Pablo Rodríguez Midfielder
6.68
7
Yannick Agnero
Yannick Agnero
Attacker83'
6.45
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak (C) Attacker
7.18
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
6.71
4
Marlon
Marlon Defender
6.56
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar (C) Defender
6.79
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
6.82
17
Vinícius Tobias
Vinícius Tobias Defender
7.38
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv Midfielder
6.55
6
Marlon Gomes
Marlon Gomes
Midfielder27'
7.13
10
Pedrinho
Pedrinho Midfielder
7.57
68
Prosper Obah
Prosper Obah
Midfielder89'
6.46
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko Midfielder
6.99
11
Newerton
Newerton Attacker
7.37
14
Isaque
Isaque
Midfielder75'
7.08
19
Kauã Elias
Kauã Elias Attacker
7.69
30
Alisson
Alisson Attacker
7.13
37
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira
Midfielder75'
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Isaque
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Prosper Obah → Pedrinho
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Isaque
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Antonio Milic
Off the ball foul / 5th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Yannick Agnero → Pablo Rodríguez
9th Substitution
83'
75'
Event
Isaque → Newerton
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Lucas Ferreira → Alisson
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Newerton
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Yegor Nazaryna → Marlon Gomes
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Valeriy Bondar
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mikael Ishak
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
70'
Event
João Moutinho → Michal Gurgul
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Taofeek Ismaheel → Luis Palma
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Patrik Wålemark → Ali Gholizadeh
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Ali Gholizadeh
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
48'
Event
Newerton
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Timothy Ouma → Leo Bengtsson
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Marlon Gomes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
Event
Marlon Gomes
1st Yellowcard
36'
Event
Delay of game / 7th Yellowcard
27'
Event
Marlon Gomes → Dmytro Kryskiv
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Wojciech Monka from Lech Poznan earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Isaque from Shakhtar Donetsk receives a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Wojciech Monka from Lech Poznań earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Corner Corner
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Lucas Ferreira from Shakhtar Donetsk took a left-footed strike from the middle of the area, but Bartosz Mrozek of Lech Poznan managed to make a save, diving to the bottom right corner. The attempt was set up by Prosper Obah.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Lech Poznan 1, Shakhtar Donetsk 3.
90
Update Update
João Moutinho commits a foul for Lech Poznan.
90
Update Update
Vinícius Tobias from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Prosper Obah from Shakhtar Donetsk commits a handball.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Taofeek Ismaheel of Lech Poznan took a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but Dmytro Riznyk of Shakhtar Donetsk made a solid save right in the center of the net. The effort was set up by Wojciech Monka.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Shakhtar Donetsk: Prosper Obah comes on to take the place of Pedrinho.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lech Poznan 1, Shakhtar Donetsk 3. Isaque scores for Shakhtar Donetsk with a right-footed strike from the center of the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner of the net.
84
Update Update
Antonio Milic from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Milic from Lech Poznan receives a yellow card.
84
Update Update
Antonio Milic from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
83
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Pedro Henrique from Shakhtar Donetsk took a left-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it sails over the crossbar. He was set up by Oleh Ocheretko.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: Yannick Agnero comes on to take the place of Pablo Rodríguez.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Yehor Nazaryna from Shakhtar Donetsk takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails just over the bar following a direct free kick.
80
Update Update
Pedrinho from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
80
Update Update
João Moutinho commits a foul for Lech Poznan.
79
Attempt Attempt
Kauã Elias from Shakhtar Donetsk tries a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. He received assistance from Pedrinho.
77
Update Update
Pablo Rodríguez from Lech Poznan earns a free kick on the right flank.
77
Update Update
Isaque commits a foul for Shakhtar Donetsk.
75
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Pablo Rodríguez from Lech Poznan takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sails over the crossbar. He was set up by Timothy Ouma.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Shakhtar Donetsk: Isaque comes on to take the place of Newerton.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Shakhtar Donetsk: Lucas Ferreira comes on to take the place of Pedrinho.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Newerton has received a yellow card in the match against Shakhtar Donetsk.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Shakhtar Donetsk: Yehor Nazaryna comes on to replace Marlon Gomes, who has been injured.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Valerii Bondar from Shakhtar Donetsk receives a yellow card.
71
Update Update
Oleh Ocheretko from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal denied. Taofeek Ismaheel from Lech Poznan takes a right-footed attempt from the center of the area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lech Poznan 1, Shakhtar Donetsk 2. Mikael Ishak scores for Lech Poznan with a right-footed strike from just a short distance.
66
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Pablo Rodríguez from Lech Poznan took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Dmytro Riznyk from Shakhtar Donetsk made a great save, pushing it away to the top right corner. The assist came from Taofeek Ismaheel.
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Pablo Rodríguez from Lech Poznan takes a right-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: Taofeek Ismaheel comes on to take the place of Luis Palma.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: Patrik Wålemark comes on to take the place of Ali Gholizadeh.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: João Moutinho comes on to take the place of Michal Gurgul.
58
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Newerton from Shakhtar Donetsk takes a right-footed attempt from the center of the box, but Bartosz Mrozek of Lech Poznan makes a save in the bottom left corner.
58
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Newerton of Shakhtar Donetsk takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ali Gholizadeh from Lech Poznan receives a yellow card due to a serious foul.
56
Update Update
Ali Gholizadeh from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
56
Update Update
Newerton has been awarded a free kick in the attacking half against Shakhtar Donetsk.
54
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Shakhtar Donetsk after Antoni Kozubal allowed the ball to go out.
54
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Pedrinho from Shakhtar Donetsk tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The pass came from Alisson Santana.
52
Update Update
Offside call against Shakhtar Donetsk. Kauã Elias has been flagged for being offside.
52
Update Update
Ali Gholizadeh from Lech Poznan is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
52
Update Update
Marlon Gomes commits a foul for Shakhtar Donetsk.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lech Poznan 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 2. Newerton scores for Shakhtar Donetsk with a right-footed shot from the middle of the box straight into the center of the net.
48
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Lech Poznan 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 2. Newerton scores for Shakhtar Donetsk with a right-footed shot from the middle of the box straight into the center of the net.
47
Update Update
Luis Palma from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
47
Update Update
Vinícius Tobias from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
46
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Oleh Ocheretko from Shakhtar Donetsk took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed just over the crossbar. Newerton provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score at Lech Poznan 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Pedrinho from Shakhtar Donetsk takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails just over the crossbar. He was set up by Alisson Santana.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: Timothy Ouma comes on to take the place of Leo Bengtsson.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lech Poznan: Timothy Ouma comes on to take the place of Leo Bengtsson.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Leo Bengtsson of Lech Poznan.
44
Update Update
Vinícius Tobias from Shakhtar Donetsk is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive half.
42
Update Update
Marlon from Shakhtar Donetsk commits a foul.
42
Update Update
Luis Palma of Lech Poznan is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive half.
42
Update Update
Luis Palma of Lech Poznan earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
41
Update Update
The match between Newerton and Shakhtar Donetsk is currently paused due to an injury.
41
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
40
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luis Palma from Lech Poznan takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lech Poznan 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 1. Marlon Gomes scores for Shakhtar Donetsk with a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, placing the ball into the bottom right corner. The assist came from Kauã Elias after a quick counterattack.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marlon Gomes from Shakhtar Donetsk receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
30
Update Update
Leo Bengtsson from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
30
Update Update
Vinícius Tobias from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
29
Attempt Attempt
The shot was blocked. Newerton from Shakhtar Donetsk took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Bartosz Mrozek from Lech Poznan made a save right in the middle of the goal. The attempt was set up by Pedro Henrique.
28
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Pablo Rodríguez from Lech Poznan tries a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
27
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Shakhtar Donetsk: Marlon Gomes comes on to replace Dmytro Kryskiv, who has sustained an injury.
26
Update Update
The game has been paused due to an injury to Bartosz Mrozek from Lech Poznan.
26
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Dmytro Kryskiv from Shakhtar Donetsk.
26
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
20
Corner Corner
A shot from outside the penalty area by Kauã Elias of Shakhtar Donetsk is denied as Bartosz Mrozek of Lech Poznan makes a save in the bottom left corner.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Leo Bengtsson of Lech Poznan.
18
Update Update
Vinícius Tobias from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
17
Attempt Attempt
Attempt goes wide. Joel Pereira from Lech Poznan takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Antoni Kozubal of Lech Poznan.
15
Update Update
Pedrinho from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive half.
9
Update Update
Marlon from Shakhtar Donetsk earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
9
Update Update
Luis Palma from Lech Poznan commits a foul.
6
Update Update
Marlon from Shakhtar Donetsk commits a foul.
6
Update Update
Mikael Ishak from Lech Poznan is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
5
Update Update
Newerton commits a foul against Shakhtar Donetsk.
5
Update Update
Joel Pereira from Lech Poznan earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
4
Update Update
Valerii Bondar from Shakhtar Donetsk commits a foul.
4
Update Update
Mikael Ishak from Lech Poznan is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Shakhtar Donetsk exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Lech Poznań vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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Europa Conference League, Europe View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ