Lausanne Sport vs Luzern Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne) Sat, 2 May - 4:00 PM
Super League
Lausanne Sport LAU
1 Winner 3
Luzern LUZ
Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:00 PM
Round 35 Relegation Round
Jamie Roche - 19'
Goal
|
Goal
Andrej Vasovic - 90+3', 66'
Tyron Owusu - 53'

CONTEXT

Lausanne Sport hosted Luzern in a thrilling Swiss Super League encounter that saw the visitors stage a remarkable comeback. The home side struck first, leading 1-0 at halftime with a goal that capitalized on their balanced possession of 48%. However, Luzern, identified as the stronger team pre-match, flipped the script in the second half, netting three unanswered goals to secure a 1-3 victory. Despite the even possession split at 52% for Luzern, their clinical finishing and resilience shone through. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing the game to unfold naturally. This result underscores Luzern's quality, aligning with expectations as the deviation remained minimal at 5.3%. Lausanne's early promise faded, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities exposed post-interval.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Luzern's 1-3 win exhibited minimal structural deviation of 5.3%.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with outcome undetermined.
  • Market alignment: Final result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events altered the contest.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to match structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Qovanaj

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Hirzel

1st Assistant

L. Hartmann

2nd Assistant

A. Kanagasingam

4th Official

Lausanne Sport M. Basha
M. Basha
VS
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.26
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Sion Rank: 59 L
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Luzern Rank: 60 L
Young Boys Rank: 62 L
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
St. Gallen Rank: 64 D
Servette Rank: 62 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 L
Lugano Rank: 65 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 11 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lausanne Sport
0.19%
Draw
5.09%
Away Luzern
94.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lausanne Sport
-0.44%
Draw
-3.57%
Luzern
+4.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.17
59.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lausanne Sport
Luzern
Power Score
56.17
59.67
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
615
492

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lausanne Sport Luzern

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Luzern

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Luzern
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.71
36.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.15
27.71
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lausanne Sport -0.76 Efficiency Index
vs
Luzern +0.76 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Luzern
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Luzern
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lausanne Sport Luzern
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lausanne Sport Luzern
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Luzern
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lausanne Sport
vs
Luzern
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lausanne Sport Luzern
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lausanne Sport 0.46
Luzern 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lausanne Sport Luzern
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lausanne Sport 0.05
Luzern 0.04
Lausanne Sport
Luzern
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LUZ had peak pressure around 91'.
  • LAU started the game with stronger pressure.
LAU Pressure LUZ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LUZ reached the top pressure at 91' (97.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lausanne Sport LAU Home
39 matches
Luzern LUZ Away
Match Record
11
Wins
17
11
Draws
11
17
Losses
11
Goals
49
Goals Scored
61
61
Goals Conceded
49
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0.86
xG
2.42
2.42
xGA
0.86

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
B. Soppy
France
2 B. Soppy
K. Mouanga
France
14 K. Mouanga
A. Sow
Switzerland
71 A. Sow
M. Poaty
Substitution
France
18 M. Poaty
N. Beloko
Substitution
Switzerland
16 N. Beloko
J. Roche
Sweden
8 J. Roche
O. Custodio Da Costa
Substitution
Switzerland
10 O. Custodio Da Costa
N. Butler-Oyedeji
England
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
T. Bair
Substitution
Canada
9 T. Bair
A. Ajdini
Substitution
Kosovo
7 A. Ajdini
Pitch
P. Loretz
Switzerland
1 P. Loretz
A. Cigaņiks
Latvia
14 A. Cigaņiks
A. Bajrami
Albania
4 A. Bajrami
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
P. Dorn
Germany
20 P. Dorn
K. Spadanuda
Substitution
Switzerland
7 K. Spadanuda
T. Abe
Japan
6 T. Abe
T. Owusu
Switzerland
24 T. Owusu
M. Di Giusto
Switzerland
11 M. Di Giusto
A. Vasovic
Switzerland
19 A. Vasovic
O. Kabwit tshikomb
DR Congo
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 35 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne)
Capacity :
12500
Attendance :
5318
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Hajrim Qovanaj
Pascal Hirzel
Leroy Hartmann
Anojen Kanagasingam

Statistics

Possession
LAU
46%
LUZ
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 2
12 Shots 16
26 Dangerous attacks 56
48 Possession 52
5 Corners 7
10 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Injuries 1
83 Ball Safe 80
9 Goal Attempts 11
14 Goal Kicks 7
21 Throwins 27
12 Dribble Attempts 8
4 Successful Dribbles 6
1 Assists 2
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75
5 Substitutions 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

74 Attacks 99
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

60 Long Passes 72
32 Successful Long Passes 43
381 Passes 401
9 Key Passes 13
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60
302 Successful Passes 327
79 Successful Passes Percentage 82

Defensive

10 Tackles 18
8 Interceptions 4
3 Saves 2

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 26
5 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

6 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Hajrim Qovanaj

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy Defender
6.75
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
7
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty Defender
6.66
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana
Defender65'
6.77
71
Karim Sow
Karim Sow Defender
6.79
8
Jamie Roche
Jamie Roche Midfielder
6.84
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio Midfielder
7.07
91
Florent Mollet
Florent Mollet
Midfielder78'
6.76
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Midfielder
6.69
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Midfielder46'
6.69
7
Alban Ajdini
Alban Ajdini Attacker
6.61
59
Oscar Renovales
Oscar Renovales
Attacker65'
6.99
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair Attacker
6.96
17
Seydou Traoré
Seydou Traoré
Attacker71'
6.76
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji Attacker
6.76
Referee : Hajrim Qovanaj

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
6.79
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
6.83
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Andrejs Ciganiks Defender
6.7
20
Pius Dorn
Pius Dorn Defender
6.82
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Defender
6.86
6
Taisei Abe
Taisei Abe Midfielder
6.8
7
Kevin Spadanuda
Kevin Spadanuda Midfielder
6.91
27
Lars Villiger
Lars Villiger
Attacker67'
6.82
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
7.47
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Midfielder
6.86
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Attacker
7.04
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
2
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Andrej Vasovic
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
80'
Event
Matteo Di Giusto
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Florent Mollet → Olivier Custodio
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Seydou Traoré → Theo Bair
5th Substitution
71'
67'
Event
Pius Dorn
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
Event
Lars Villiger → Kevin Spadanuda
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Andrej Vasovic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Sékou Fofana → Morgan Poaty
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Oscar Renovales → Alban Ajdini
3rd Substitution
65'
53'
Event
Tyron Owusu
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry → Nicky Beloko
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Olivier Custodio
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Karim Sow
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
Event
Jamie Roche
Goal awarded
19'
Event
Jamie Roche
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
89
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Renovales takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
87
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Tshikomb takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Andrejs Ciganiks takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Di Giusto receives a yellow card.
78
Update Update
Florent Mollet comes on for Olivier Custodio.
73
Update Update
Jamie Roche takes a header, but it misses the target.
72
Attempt Attempt
Seydou Traore takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Update Update
Seydou Traore is on, and Thelonius Bair is off.
67
Update Update
Lars Villiger replaces Kevin Spadanuda.
66
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
65
Substitution Substitution
Sekou Fofana is substituted for Morgan Poaty.
65
Update Update
Oscar Renovales is on, and Nathan Butler-Oyedeji is off.
64
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Mouanga attempts a header but misses the shot.
62
Attempt Attempt
Thelonius Bair takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Di Giusto takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Update Update
Goal! Tyron Owusu scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Andrejs Ciganiks.
53
Update Update
Goal! Abdou Karim Sow scores an own goal, making it 1-1.
46
Update Update
Beyatt Lekoueiry comes on for Nicky Medja Beloko.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Olivier Custodio receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Thelonius Bair takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Andrejs Ciganiks takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Spadanuda takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
33
Attempt Attempt
Andrejs Ciganiks takes a left-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Thelonius Bair takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Spadanuda takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Pius Dorn's right-footed shot is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Alban Ajdini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jamie Roche takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
16
Attempt Attempt
Abdou Karim Sow attempts a header but misses the shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Tyron Owusu takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Poaty takes a left-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Alban Ajdini takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Luzern's triumph over Lausanne Sport validates their status as the stronger outfit, overcoming a 1-0 halftime deficit to claim a decisive 3-1 win. The minimal 5.3% deviation and market alignment reflect a performance true to form, with efficiency holding steady amid balanced possession. Lausanne's failure to hold their lead exposes areas for improvement, particularly in sustaining defensive solidity. For Luzern, this victory boosts momentum, showcasing second-half dominance without reliance on disruptive events like red cards. Overall, the match delivered a clear narrative of quality prevailing, setting a positive tone for Luzern's campaign ahead.

Lausanne Sport vs Luzern preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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