LASK Linz vs SK Rapid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Raiffeisen Arena Mon, 4 May - 6:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
LASK Linz ASK
3 Winner 1
SK Rapid SCR
Full Time Mon, 4 May 6:30 PM
Round 8 Championship Round
Moses Usor - 75'
Samuel Adeniran - 63' (P)
Sascha Horvath - 52'
Goal
|
Goal
Janis Antiste - 12'
|
Red Card Matthias Seidl 90+7'

CONTEXT

LASK Linz secured a convincing 3-1 victory over SK Rapid in a thrilling Austrian Bundesliga encounter. Trailing 0-1 at halftime despite holding their own, LASK Linz flipped the script in the second half. With only 42% possession compared to Rapid's 58%, the home side capitalized on their opportunities masterfully. SK Rapid's dismissal of a player via red card proved pivotal, distorting the game's flow and allowing LASK to dominate proceedings. The stronger team on paper, LASK Linz lived up to expectations, netting three goals post-interval to seal the win. This result underscores their resilience and clinical finishing, turning a precarious position into a statement performance. Minimal structural deviations highlighted the match's alignment with pre-game assessments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal deviation of 2.1% favored LASK Linz in the final outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: SK Rapid's red card significantly altered second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Away team's red card caused notable second-half distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Harkam

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Ebner

4th Official

Austria

A. Gutschi

2nd Assistant

Austria

A. Heidenreich

1st Assistant

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.77
Yellow cards / match 3.38
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.3
LASK Linz D. Kühbauer
D. Kühbauer
VS
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
1.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hartberg Rank: 60 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 68 D
Salzburg Rank: 69 W
Austria Wien Rank: 64 W
SK Rapid Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Salzburg Rank: 69 W
Hartberg Rank: 60 L
Hartberg Rank: 59 D
Austria Wien Rank: 64 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 L
LASK Linz Rank: 68 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 12 - 22
22

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LASK Linz
97.89%
Draw
1.92%
Away SK Rapid
0.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.06
59.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LASK Linz
SK Rapid
Power Score
68.06
59.74
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
252
490

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LASK Linz SK Rapid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.19
13.53
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.53
46.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
LASK Linz +2.74 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Rapid -2.74 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
LASK Linz
SK Rapid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LASK Linz SK Rapid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LASK Linz SK Rapid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LASK Linz
SK Rapid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LASK Linz
vs
SK Rapid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LASK Linz SK Rapid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LASK Linz 0.35
SK Rapid 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LASK Linz SK Rapid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LASK Linz 0.03
SK Rapid 0.06
LASK Linz
SK Rapid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ASK had peak pressure around 23'.
  • SCR started the game with stronger pressure.
ASK Pressure SCR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ASK reached the top pressure at 23' (81.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 47 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LASK Linz ASK Home
47 matches
SK Rapid SCR Away
Match Record
13
Wins
22
12
Draws
12
22
Losses
13
Goals
60
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
60
-25
Goal Difference
+25
Expected Goals
0.88
xG
1.73
1.73
xGA
0.88

Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:03:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Jungwirth
Austria
1 L. Jungwirth
K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
Substitution
Denmark
20 K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
M. Cissé
48 M. Cissé
J. Tornich
Brazil
43 J. Tornich
A. Andrade Cedeño
Panama
16 A. Andrade Cedeño
G. Bello
United States
2 G. Bello
K. Daněk
Substitution
Czech Republic
9 K. Daněk
M. Bogarde
Netherlands
6 M. Bogarde
S. Horvath
Substitution
Austria
30 S. Horvath
S. Kalajdzic
Substitution
Austria
10 S. Kalajdzic
S. Adeniran
Substitution
United States
7 S. Adeniran
Pitch
N. Hedl
Austria
1 N. Hedl
K. Ahoussou
Substitution
Ivory Coast
20 K. Ahoussou
S. Raux Yao
France
6 S. Raux Yao
J. Schöller
Substitution
Austria
4 J. Schöller
J. Horn
Germany
38 J. Horn
M. Seidl
Austria
18 M. Seidl
A. Romeo
Ivory Coast
29 A. Romeo
B. Bolla
Hungary
77 B. Bolla
P. Dahl
Substitution
Norway
10 P. Dahl
J. Antiste
Substitution
France
90 J. Antiste
E. Kara
Substitution
Austria
9 E. Kara

General Information

Date & Time :
May 04, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Raiffeisen Arena
Capacity :
19080
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stefan Ebner
Amina Gutschi
Alexander Harkam
Andreas Heidenreich

Statistics

Possession
ASK
45%
SCR
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 4
48 Dangerous attacks 37
42 Possession 58
4 Corners 0
10 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 9
15 Throwins 11
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
99 Ball Safe 105
0 Injuries 2
5 Substitutions 5
8 Goal Kicks 9
10 Dribble Attempts 17
10 Goal Attempts 4
2 Assists 1
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

72 Attacks 99
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes 20
359 Passes 503
298 Successful Passes 434
50 Long Passes 40
83 Successful Passes Percentage 86
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
12 Key Passes 6

Defensive

12 Tackles 18
36 Duels Won 49
10 Interceptions 8
0 Saves 1

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 16
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Alexander Harkam

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Jungwirth
Lukas Jungwirth Goalkeeper
6.8
2
George Bello
George Bello Defender
6.8
16
Andrés Andrade
Andrés Andrade Defender
7.22
20
Kasper Jørgensen
Kasper Jørgensen Defender
6.97
29
Florian Flecker
Florian Flecker
Attacker83'
6.52
43
Alemão
Alemão Defender
6.82
48
Modou Kéba Cissé
Modou Kéba Cissé Defender
7.04
6
Melayro Bogarde
Melayro Bogarde Midfielder
7.01
9
Krystof Danek
Krystof Danek Midfielder
6.85
8
Moses Usor
Moses Usor
Attacker70'
7.25
30
Sascha Horvath
Sascha Horvath Midfielder
6.99
27
Christoph Lang
Christoph Lang
Attacker90+1'
6.82
7
Samuel Adeniran
Samuel Adeniran Attacker
6.98
4
Ismaila Coulibaly
Ismaila Coulibaly
Midfielder90+1'
6.74
10
Sasa Kalajdzic
Sasa Kalajdzic Attacker
7.05
3
Xavier Mbuyamba
Xavier Mbuyamba
Defender82'
6.82
Referee : Alexander Harkam

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
6.81
4
Jakob Schöller
Jakob Schöller Defender
6.33
17
Tobias Gulliksen
Tobias Gulliksen
Midfielder81'
6.51
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
6.92
20
Ange Ahoussou
Ange Ahoussou Defender
6.74
16
Tobias Børkeeiet
Tobias Børkeeiet
Midfielder81'
6.58
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Midfielder
7.21
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Midfielder
6.96
38
Jannes Horn
Jannes Horn Midfielder
6.86
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder
7.07
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara Attacker
6.83
26
Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann
Attacker71'
6.62
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker
6.74
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Attacker71'
6.8
90
Janis Antiste
Janis Antiste Attacker
6.71
22
Yusuf Demir
Yusuf Demir
Attacker63'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
90+9'
90+9'
Event
Tobias Børkeeiet
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Matthias Seidl
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Ismaila Coulibaly → Samuel Adeniran
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Christoph Lang → Sascha Horvath
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Var
89'
Event
Florian Flecker → Kasper Jørgensen
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Xavier Mbuyamba → Sasa Kalajdzic
7th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Tobias Gulliksen → Jakob Schöller
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Tobias Børkeeiet → Ange Ahoussou
5th Substitution
Event
Moses Usor
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
75'
71'
Event
Andreas Weimann → Ercan Kara
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Nikolaus Wurmbrand → Petter Nosa Dahl
4th Substitution
Event
Moses Usor → Krystof Danek
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Samuel Adeniran
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
63'
63'
Event
Yusuf Demir → Janis Antiste
1st Substitution
Event
Sascha Horvath
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
52'
1ST-HALF
12'
Event
Janis Antiste
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Christoph Lang replaces Sascha Horvath.
90
Update Update
Ismaila Coulibaly is on, and Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Matthias Seidl's right-footed shot is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Florian Flecker's right-footed shot is saved.
83
Update Update
Florian Flecker comes on for Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen.
82
Update Update
Xavier Mbuyamba comes on for Sasa Kalajdzic.
81
Update Update
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen is on, and Jakob Maximilian Scholler is off.
81
Update Update
Tobias Borchgrevink Borkeeiet replaces Ange Ahoussou.
80
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Goal! Moses Usor scores, making it 3-1.
75
Attempt Attempt
Moses Usor scores with a left-footed shot.
74
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Horvath takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Moses Usor takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Update Update
Andreas Weimann is on, and Ercan Kara is off.
71
Update Update
Nikolaus Wurmbrand replaces Petter Nosa Dahl.
70
Update Update
Moses Usor is on, and Krystof Danek is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
63
Update Update
Goal in the penalty shootout! Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran scores, making it 2 penalties for his team and 1 for the opponent.
63
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran scores with a left-footed shot.
63
Update Update
Yusuf Demir comes on for Janis Antiste.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
George Bello takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Horvath scores with a right-footed shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Sasa Kalajdzic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Update Update
Ercan Kara's header goes wide.
44
Attempt Attempt
Janis Antiste attempts a header but misses the shot.
39
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran attempts a header but misses the shot.
33
Attempt Attempt
Alemao takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
George Bello's left-footed shot is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Sasa Kalajdzic attempts a header but misses the shot.
21
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Modou Cisse attempts a header but misses the shot.
12
Attempt Attempt
Janis Antiste scores with a left-footed shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Alexander Harkam.

CONCLUSION

LASK Linz's 3-1 triumph over SK Rapid exemplifies their second-half prowess and ability to exploit numerical superiority after the opponent's red card. Overcoming a 0-1 halftime deficit with just 42% possession, they demonstrated superior efficiency and resolve. This minimal-deviation result reinforces LASK's status as the stronger side, aligning seamlessly with assessments. The red card's distortion handed momentum, enabling a clinical turnaround. For Rapid, the sending-off exposed vulnerabilities in discipline and depth. LASK's performance signals title-contending form, while Rapid must regroup to avoid further setbacks in the league.

LASK Linz vs SK Rapid preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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