LASK Linz vs Austria Wien Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Raiffeisen Arena Sun, 5 Apr - 12:30 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

LASK Linz ASK

Austria Wien FAK

Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 12:30 PM

Round 3 Championship Round

Sasa Kalajdzic - 32'

Moses Usor - 13'

Kasper Jørgensen - 12'

Modou Kéba Cissé - 4'

Tae-seok Lee - 16'

Tin Plavotic 11'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with LASK Linz securing a commanding 4-1 victory over Austria Wien. The game was effectively decided early, as all five goals were scored in an action-packed first half, making it 4-1 at the break. Entering the fixture, LASK Linz were the favorites with a 45.4% implied probability of winning, compared to a 27.3% chance for both an away win and a draw. Since the stronger team won, the result aligned perfectly with the pre-match market. However, the dominant margin yielded a significant performance deviation in favor of LASK Linz. LASK Linz completely controlled the flow of the game, holding a massive 74% possession while restricting the visitors to just 26%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this match, meaning we cannot accurately assess if the final scoreline aligned with underlying chance quality. Austria Wien’s struggles were severely compounded by disciplinary issues, as they received a red card. Playing with ten men created a noticeable red card distortion in the second half, stifling any chance of a comeback. Despite the lack of xG metrics, the overall efficiency shift was in line with expectations, as the home side utilized their numerical superiority to comfortably seal the win.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Semler

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Borucki

2nd Assistant

A. Harkam

4th Official

M. Kolbitsch

1st Assistant

D. Kühbauer

S. Helm

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.73

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 11 - 14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

LASK Linz

45.39%

Draw

27.3%

Austria Wien

27.3%

Team Power Ranking

64.92

64.62

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

LASK Linz

Austria Wien

Power Score

64.92

64.62

League Position

Global Rank

315

323

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score

Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LASK Linz Austria Wien

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Austria Wien

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

35.81

16.35

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

16.35

35.81

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

LASK Linz +1.60 Efficiency Index

Austria Wien -1.60 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

LASK Linz

Austria Wien

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Austria Wien

Created Set-piece attacking threat

LASK Linz Austria Wien

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

LASK Linz Austria Wien

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

LASK Linz

Austria Wien

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

LASK Linz

Austria Wien

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

LASK Linz Austria Wien

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

LASK Linz Austria Wien

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

LASK Linz

Austria Wien

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LASK Linz ASK Home

40 matches

Austria Wien FAK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:02:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 L. Jungwirth

48 M. Cissé

43 J. Tornich

16 A. Andrade Cedeño

20 K. Mølgaard Jørgensen

4 I. Coulibaly

30 S. Horvath

6 M. Bogarde

8 M. Usor

10 S. Kalajdzic

7 S. Adeniran

1 S. Sahin-Radlinger

24 T. Plavotic

15 A. Dragović

28 P. Wiesinger

17 T. Lee

16 Lee Kang-Hee

6 P. Maybach

26 R. Ranftl

5 A. Bari

30 M. Fischer

19 J. Eggestein

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 05, 2026, 12:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 3 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Raiffeisen Arena

Capacity :

19080

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Jakob Semler

Alexander Borucki

Alexander Harkam

Maximilian Kolbitsch

Statistics

Possession

ASK

71%

FAK

29%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1

6 Big Chances Created 0

10 Shots 1

90 Dangerous attacks 25

74 Possession 26

9 Corners 3

7 Free kicks 13

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

28 Dribble Attempts 11

19 Successful Dribbles 3

25 Throwins 15

3 Assists 0

68 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

103 Ball Safe 68

18 Goal Attempts 3

5 Goal Kicks 12

2 Hit Woodwork 0

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

128 Attacks 58

3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

567 Successful Passes 157

89 Successful Passes Percentage 72

634 Passes 219

34 Long Passes 48

16 Key Passes 1

22 Successful Long Passes 13

65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27

Defensive

20 Tackles 20

3 Interceptions 5

59 Duels Won 46

0 Saves 5

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 9

9 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Semler

Manager ▼

D. Kühbauer Coach

Starting XI ▼

Lukas Jungwirth Goalkeeper

Andrés Andrade Defender

Xavier Mbuyamba

Defender87'

Alemão Defender

Modou Kéba Cissé Defender

Ismaila Coulibaly Midfielder

Melayro Bogarde Midfielder

Kasper Jørgensen Midfielder

Florian Flecker

Attacker78'

Sascha Horvath Midfielder

Christoph Lang

Attacker87'

Samuel Adeniran Attacker

Maximilian Entrup

Attacker78'

Moses Usor Attacker

Sasa Kalajdzic Attacker

Substitutes ▼

—

Unknown

71'

Maximilian Entrup

Attacker78'

Florian Flecker

Attacker78'

Christoph Lang

Attacker87'

Xavier Mbuyamba

Defender87'

Bench ▼

Tobias Schützenauer Goalkeeper

Emmanuel Michael Defender

A. Adeshina Midfielder

Lukas Kacavenda Midfielder

Referee : Jakob Semler