Las Palmas vs Leganés Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio de Gran Canaria Fri, 17 Apr - 7:00 PM

La Liga 2

Las Palmas LPA

Leganés LEG

Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 7:00 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

Manu Fuster - 68'

Estanis Pedrola - 20'

CONTEXT

Las Palmas claimed a 2-0 home win against Leganés, establishing a 1-0 lead by halftime and adding a second goal after the break. Despite Leganés controlling 55% possession compared to Las Palmas' 45%, the hosts converted their opportunities more effectively, maintaining defensive solidity throughout. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing a straightforward contest where Las Palmas, deemed the stronger side pre-match, delivered on expectations. The result reflects their clinical finishing against a possession-dominant but toothless Leganés attack. Pre-match projections favored Las Palmas at 55.7% probability, with the outcome showing a significant 44.3% deviation in their favor, though market alignment held true. Efficiency remained in line with anticipated levels, underscoring a disciplined performance.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Las Palmas posted a significant 44.3% structural deviation in their favor.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without underlying data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the result.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Ais Reig

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Cantón Vitoria

1st Assistant

R. Esteve Valenzuela

2nd Assistant

J. Manrique Antequera

4th Official

L. García Fernández

I. Oca Pulido

1.62

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 3 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Las Palmas

55.68%

Draw

24.63%

Leganés

19.69%

Movement

Changes since opening

Las Palmas

-42.16%

Draw

+22.71%

Leganés

+19.45%

Team Power Ranking

25.77

24.56

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Las Palmas

Leganés

Power Score

25.77

24.56

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score

Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Leganés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Leganés

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

30.33

24.18

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.18

30.33

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Las Palmas +0.62 Efficiency Index

Leganés -0.62 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Las Palmas

Leganés

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Leganés

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Las Palmas Leganés

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Las Palmas Leganés

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Las Palmas

Leganés

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Las Palmas

Leganés

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Las Palmas Leganés

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Las Palmas Leganés

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Las Palmas

Leganés

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

LEG had peak pressure around 10'.
LEG started the game with stronger pressure.

LPA Pressure LEG Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: LEG reached the top pressure at 10' (64.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home

15 matches

Leganés LEG Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:03:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 D. Horkaš

2 M. Olawale Akinlabi Park

6 S. Barcia Laranxeira

3 M. Marmol Medina

5 E. Clemente Maza

20 K. Rodríguez Concepción

16 L. Amatucci

22 P. García Mejías

14 M. Fuster Lázaro

39 E. Pedrola Fortuny

10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

1 J. Soriano Oropesa

17 N. García García

2 M. Antolín Garzón

5 I. Miquel i Pons

36 M. Leiva Calvo

24 A. Diawara

26 C. Guirao Mora

10 J. Díaz Espósito

8 S. Cisse

11 L. Lopes

23 A. Millán Iranzo

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 17, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Capacity :

32392

Attendance :

16128

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

David Cantón Vitoria

Ricard Esteve Valenzuela

Juan Antonio Manrique Antequera

Saúl Ais Reig

Statistics

Possession

LPA

46%

LEG

54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 0

4 Shots 7

33 Dangerous attacks 46

45 Possession 55

5 Corners 5

9 Free kicks 17

3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

14 Throwins 19

14 Dribble Attempts 19

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

6 Goal Kicks 5

7 Successful Dribbles 10

5 Substitutions 5

1 Assists 0

86 Ball Safe 81

8 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0

80 Attacks 95

Possession

34 Long Passes 60

50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

330 Successful Passes 409

83 Successful Passes Percentage 86

397 Passes 478

17 Successful Long Passes 30

7 Key Passes 7

Defensive

41 Duels Won 47

1 Saves 3

18 Tackles 13

6 Interceptions 13

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 18

1 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

0 Offsides 1

17 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Saúl Ais Reig

Manager ▼

L. García Fernández Coach

Starting XI ▼

Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper

6.83

Marvin Park Defender

6.85

Iván Gil

Midfielder73'

6.74

Mika Mármol Defender

7.04

Enrique Clemente Defender

7.03

Sergio Barcia Defender

7.05

Manu Fuster Midfielder

7.18

Juanma Herzog

Defender87'

6.7

Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder

6.99

Kirian Rodríguez Midfielder

6.75

Ale García Midfielder

6.84

Pejiño

Attacker72'

6.77

Estanis Pedrola Midfielder

6.87

Viti Rozada

Midfielder59'

6.67

Jesé Attacker

6.91

Iker Bravo

Attacker72'

6.61

Substitutes ▼

Viti Rozada

Midfielder59'

6.67

Iker Bravo

Attacker72'

6.61

Pejiño

Attacker72'

6.77

Iván Gil

Midfielder73'

6.74

Juanma Herzog

Defender87'

6.7

Bench ▼

José Antonio Caro Goalkeeper

6.75

Adri Suárez Goalkeeper

Álex Suárez Defender

6.58

Cristian Gutiérrez Defender

6.65

Nicolás Benedetti Midfielder

6.61

Jonathan Viera Midfielder

6.94

Iñaki González Midfielder

6.79

Referee : Saúl Ais Reig