Las Palmas vs Granada Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio de Gran Canaria Thu, 2 Apr - 5:00 PM

La Liga 2

Las Palmas LPA

Granada GRA

Full Time Thu, 2 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Cristian Gutiérrez - 88'

Taisei Miyashiro - 49'

CONTEXT

The match between Las Palmas and Granada has officially finished, with the hosts securing a 2-0 victory at full-time. Following an evenly matched first half that ended 0-0, Las Palmas broke the deadlock in the second period to claim the win. The outcome was firmly aligned with the pre-match market. Although Granada was designated as the overall stronger team, Las Palmas entered the game as clear betting favorites with a 55.4% win probability, compared to a 27.6% chance for a draw and 17% for Granada. The final result represented a significant deviation level of 44.6% associated with Las Palmas. On the pitch, the match flow was perfectly balanced, highlighted by an exact 50-50 possession split between the two sides. While specific expected goals (xG) data is unavailable to assess underlying chance creation, the game's overall efficiency shift was strictly in line with general expectations. Furthermore, the fixture remained free of any red card incidents, allowing Las Palmas to secure a straightforward home victory that accurately validated the pre-game betting forecasts.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Las Palmas showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Lax Franco

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Fernández Correas

1st Assistant

R. Landrove Lago

2nd Assistant

M. Gil Soriano

4th Official

L. García Fernández

J. Rojo Martín

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 5 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Las Palmas

55.42%

Draw

27.55%

Granada

17.03%

Team Power Ranking

62.98

66.38

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Las Palmas

Granada

Power Score

62.98

66.38

League Position

Global Rank

181

275

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score

Granada — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Granada

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Granada

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Granada

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

18.70

22.80

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

22.80

18.70

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Las Palmas -0.42 Efficiency Index

Granada +0.42 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Las Palmas

Granada

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Granada

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Las Palmas Granada

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Las Palmas Granada

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Las Palmas

Granada

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home

13 matches

Granada GRA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Data last updated: 2026-04-03T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 D. Horkaš

17 V. Álvarez Rozada

4 Á. Suárez

3 M. Marmol Medina

5 E. Clemente Maza

18 T. Miyashiro

12 E. Loiodice

16 L. Amatucci

22 P. García Mejías

49 I. Bravo Solanilla

14 M. Fuster Lázaro

13 A. Astralaga Aranguren

3 D. Hormigo Iturralde

24 L. Ntambue Kayumba

5 M. Maroto

17 B. Diaby

20 S. Ruiz Alonso

4 R. Alcaraz Jiménez

21 P. Saenz Ezquerra

11 J. Arnáiz Díaz

19 J. Pascual Medina

7 A. Sola López Ocaña

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 02, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Capacity :

32392

Attendance :

16689

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Diego Fernández Correas

Ricardo Landrove Lago

María Eugenia Gil Soriano

Salvador Lax Franco

Statistics

Possession

LPA

50%

GRA

50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

2 Big Chances Created 2

3 Shots 5

27 Dangerous attacks 28

50 Possession 50

4 Corners 3

12 Free kicks 9

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1

2 Injuries 1

8 Goal Attempts 9

4 Successful Dribbles 4

1 Assists 0

53 Ball Safe 61

19 Throwins 22

67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

5 Substitutions 5

6 Dribble Attempts 7

9 Goal Kicks 7

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 2

87 Attacks 71

Possession

59 Long Passes 45

32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

393 Passes 399

316 Successful Passes 330

19 Successful Long Passes 16

80 Successful Passes Percentage 83

5 Key Passes 10

Defensive

6 Interceptions 8

12 Tackles 8

3 Saves 2

32 Duels Won 32

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 7

11 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

9 Fouls 12

2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Salvador Lax Franco

Manager ▼

L. García Fernández Coach

Starting XI ▼

Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper

Mika Mármol Defender

Álex Suárez Defender

Juanma Herzog

Defender80'

Enrique Clemente Defender

Viti Rozada Defender

Enzo Loiodice Midfielder

Kirian Rodríguez

Midfielder11'

Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder

Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder

Ale García Midfielder

Cristian Gutiérrez

Defender80'

Manu Fuster Attacker

Jonathan Viera

Midfielder61'

Iker Bravo Attacker

Jesé

Attacker60'

Substitutes ▼

Kirian Rodríguez

Midfielder11'

Jesé

Attacker60'

Jonathan Viera

Midfielder61'

Juanma Herzog

Defender80'

Cristian Gutiérrez

Defender80'

Bench ▼

José Antonio Caro Goalkeeper

Adri Suárez Goalkeeper

Sergio Barcia Defender

Iván Gil Midfielder

Iñaki González Midfielder

Pejiño Attacker

Estanis Pedrola Attacker

Referee : Salvador Lax Franco