La Louvière vs Zulte-Waregem Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Tivoli Sun, 19 Apr - 5:15 PM
Pro League La Louvière RAAL 
0 
2
2
Zulte-Waregem ZUL Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 5:15 PM
Round 3 · Relegation Round
|
Anosike Ementa - 90+5'
Marley Ake - 30'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 14
CONTEXT
La Louvière, considered the stronger team, suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Zulte-Waregem in a match that defied expectations. The hosts controlled possession with 52% to the visitors' 48% but failed to convert chances into goals. Zulte-Waregem struck first before halftime, leading 1-0, and added a second in the second half to secure the victory. Despite La Louvière's dominance in ball control, their attack lacked potency, while Zulte-Waregem capitalized efficiently on limited opportunities. No red cards disrupted the flow, and the game remained competitive throughout. This result highlights Zulte-Waregem's clinical finishing against a possession-heavy opponent.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Zulte-Waregem achieved victory with minimal 4.8% deviation from expected structure.
- Efficiency shift: Both teams operated in line with efficiency norms.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
- Event impact: No significant second-half adjustments or events altered the match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion in game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
W. Smet
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
G. De Beuckelaer
2nd Assistant
G. Seeldraeyers
1st Assistant
A. Letellier
4th Official
F. Taquin
VS
S. Colpaert
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge Rank: L
Dender Rank: L
Genk Rank: D
Cercle Brugge Rank: W
Antwerp Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender Rank: W
Cercle Brugge Rank: D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Gent Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 4 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) La Louvière0.19%
Draw
4.58%
Zulte-Waregem95.23%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.13 17.64 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
La Louvière Zulte-WaregemPower Score
19.13
17.64
League Position
14
13
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Zulte-Waregem — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) La Louvière Zulte-Waregem
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
La Louvière
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Zulte-Waregem
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
La Louvière ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Zulte-Waregem
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.75
18.75
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.75
23.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
La Louvière +0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Zulte-Waregem -0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
La Louvière
Zulte-Waregem
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
La Louvière ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Zulte-Waregem
Created Set-piece attacking threat
La Louvière Zulte-Waregem Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
La Louvière Zulte-Waregem Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
La Louvière
Zulte-Waregem
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
La Louvièrevs
Zulte-Waregem
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
La Louvière Zulte-Waregem Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
La Louvière 0.21
Zulte-Waregem 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
La Louvière Zulte-Waregem Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
La Louvière 0.05
Zulte-Waregem 0.00
La Louvière
Zulte-Waregem
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RAAL had peak pressure around 37'.
- RAAL started the game with stronger pressure.
RAAL Pressure ZUL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAAL reached the top pressure at 37' (58.59).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
La Louvière RAAL Home
4 matches
Zulte-Waregem ZUL Away
Match Record 0
Wins
0
4
Draws
4
0
Losses
0
Goals 4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:06:28+00:00
STARTING XI
La Louvière Zulte-Waregem Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
21 M. Peano
13 M. Maisonneuve
99 Y. Okou
25 D. Lamego
11 J. Liongola
15 S. Lahssaini
N. Makembo-Ntemo
#2069'
28 B. Soumaré
N. Nsingi
#2776'
8 S. Gueulette
3 N. Gillot
22 J. Afriyie
O. Maes
#9869'
7 P. Fall
13 B. Gabriel
31 L. Willen
5 J. Kiilerich
4 L. Lemoine
B. De Jaegere
#4584'
55 Y. Cappelle
40 D. Asare
6 E. Lofolomo
B. Nyssen
#1970'
12 W. Paugain
T. Claes
#890+2'
39 M. Ake
18 A. Ementa
S. Ujka
#3670'
22 J. Amankwaah Opoku
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 19, 2026, 05:15 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Relegation Round
🏟️ Stadium :
Stade du Tivoli
👥 Capacity :
12500
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Wim Smet
Gilles De Beuckelaer
Gianni Seeldraeyers
Anthony Letellier
Next Match
La Louvière
vs
Zulte-Waregem
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 5:15 PM
Venue: Elindus Arena
Zulte-Waregem
vs
La Louvière
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 5:15 PM
Venue: Elindus Arena
Statistics
Possession
RAAL
51%
ZUL
49%
Top Statistics
0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 4
10 Shots 7
47 Dangerous attacks 40
52 Possession 48
7 Corners 1
11 Free kicks 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
Match Overview
0 Injuries 1
78 Ball Safe 97
0 Assists 2
4 Goal Kicks 14
28 Throwins 22
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
17 Dribble Attempts 15
9 Successful Dribbles 5
7 Goal Attempts 6
3 Substitutions 4
Attacking
3 Big Chances Missed 2
108 Attacks 79
Possession
334 Successful Passes 320
5 Key Passes 7
81 Successful Passes Percentage 79
28 Successful Long Passes 29
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
413 Passes 404
58 Long Passes 57
Defensive
50 Duels Won 61
1 Saves 2
18 Tackles 21
13 Interceptions 6
Build-up
27 Total Crosses 8
5 Accurate Crosses 2
Discipline
0 Offsides 1
20 Fouls 11
Lineup
La Louvière Referee : Wim Smet
Manager ▼
F. Taquin Coach
Starting XI ▼
21 Marcos Peano Goalkeeper
7.113 Maxence Maisonneuve Defender
6.7425 Djibril Lamego Defender
6.7199 Yllan Okou Defender
6.96
3 Nolan Gillot Midfielder
6.938 Samuel Gueulette Midfielder
6.627Nachon Nsingi
6.38Attacker76'
11 Jordi Liongola Midfielder
6.8715 Sami Lahssaini Midfielder
6.7928 Bryan Soumaré Midfielder
6.6220Noah Makembo-Ntemo
6.3Midfielder69'
7 Pape Moussa Fall Attacker
7.0698Owen Maës
6.47Midfielder69'
22 Jerry Afriyie Attacker
6.67
Substitutes ▼
98Owen Maës
6.47Midfielder69'
20Noah Makembo-Ntemo
6.3Midfielder69'
27Nachon Nsingi
6.38Attacker76'
Bench ▼
1
Célestin Eric De Schrevel Goalkeeper
5
Thierry Lutonda Defender
6.5219
Darío Benavides Defender
6.7123
Joël Ito Midfielder
6.6529
Cristian Makaté Attacker
6.59 Zulte-Waregem Referee : Wim Smet
Manager ▼
S. Colpaert Coach
Starting XI ▼
13 Brent Gabriel Goalkeeper
6.924 Laurent Lemoine Defender
6.895 Jakob Kiilerich Defender
6.6731 Lukas Willen Defender
6.666 Enrique Lofolomo Midfielder
6.6412 Wilguens Paugain Midfielder
6.7719Benoit Nyssen
6.66Defender70'
40 Dirk Asare Midfielder
6.9855 Yannick Cappelle Midfielder
6.7945Benoit De Jaegere
6.54Defender84'
18 Anosike Ementa Attacker
22 Joseph Okopu Attacker
6.8936Serxho Ujka
6.75Midfielder70'
39 Marley Ake Attacker
8Thomas Claes
6.9Midfielder90+2'
Substitutes ▼
19Benoit Nyssen
6.66Defender70'
36Serxho Ujka
6.75Midfielder70'
45Benoit De Jaegere
6.54Defender84'
8Thomas Claes
6.9Midfielder90+2'
Bench ▼
1
Louis Bostyn Goalkeeper
11
Stavros Gavriel Defender
6.627
Nikola Mituljikić Attacker
6.549
Jelle Vossen Attacker
6.7320
Tobias Hedl Attacker
6.45Events
2ND-HALF
90+7'
Anosike Ementa
Goal awarded
90+5'
Anosike Ementa
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Yllan Okou
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
90+4'
90+2'
Thomas Claes → Marley Ake
7th Substitution
84'
Benoit De Jaegere → Yannick Cappelle
6th Substitution
Nachon Nsingi → Samuel Gueulette
5th Substitution
76'
70'
Benoit Nyssen → Wilguens Paugain
3rd Substitution
70'
Serxho Ujka → Joseph Okopu
4th Substitution
Owen Maës → Pape Moussa Fall
1st Substitution
69'
Noah Makembo-Ntemo → Bryan Soumaré
2nd Substitution
69'
Jordi Liongola
Penalty cancelled
55'
1ST-HALF
Jerry Afriyie
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'
30'
Marley Ake
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Zulte-Waregem's 2-0 win over stronger La Louvière underscores their opportunistic play, turning slight possession disadvantage into a clean-sheet triumph. Home side's 52% possession yielded zero goals, exposing finishing woes despite control. Visitors' first-half lead set the tone, with second-half insurance sealing it. Minimal structural deviation and market alignment affirm the result's consistency, absent xG insights. This upset boosts Zulte-Waregem's momentum while prompting La Louvière to refine attack.
La Louvière vs Zulte-Waregem preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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