La Louvière vs Dender Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Pro League
Dender DENSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between La Louvière and Dender has officially finished with a 0-1 full-time scoreline in favour of the visitors. Following an evenly contested first half that ended completely scoreless, Dender managed to find the crucial breakthrough in the second period to secure the victory. The match concluded without any red cards, meaning both sides finished with their full starting numbers on the pitch. This away victory represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. La Louvière initially entered the fixture as the clear favourites, backed by a 49.4% implied probability of winning in the market, while a Dender win sat at just 23.1% (with a draw at 27.5%). Because Dender secured the upset, the final outcome was fundamentally not aligned with the pre-match market. In terms of match control, La Louvière enjoyed the majority of possession, holding 54% of the ball compared to Dender's 46%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined whether the final result aligned with the underlying chance creation metrics. Nevertheless, the overall efficiency shift for the match was evaluated to be in line with typical performance expectations, allowing Dender to efficiently turn their minority share of possession into a definitive away win.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Dender showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
B. Van Driessche
Other match officials
Y. De Neve
1st Assistant
Q. Lesceux
2nd Assistant
M. Allaerts
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
La Louvière
DenderTeam Power Ranking
i
57
61.59
La Louvière
DenderForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
La Louvière
Dender

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
La Louvière ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
La Louvière ⚠ Proxy
La Louvière Dender
La Louvière Dender
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
La Louvière
La Louvière Dender


La Louvière Dender


Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:03:32+00:00
STARTING XI
La Louvière
Dender


















































General Information
Next Match

La Louvière
vs

Cercle Brugge
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Away

Dender
vs

Zulte-Waregem
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 5:15 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
La LouvièreManager ▼

Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼






DenderManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼





Events
CONCLUSION
La Louvière vs Dender preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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