Kudrivka vs Rukh Vynnyky Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Thu, 14 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kudrivka Kudrivka
2 Winner 1
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky
Full Time Thu, 14 May 10:00 AM
Round 28 Regular Season
Andriy Storchous - 13', 10'
Goal
|
Goal
Vitaliy Roman - 86'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kudrivka 2–1 Rukh Vynnyky. The result saw Kudrivka take the points. Kudrivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kudrivka's 2-1 win showed a 55.9% significant deviation from pre-match structural expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment with final score.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG data precludes evaluation against performance expectations.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events shifted match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Maksim Koziryatskiy

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Dariichuk

1st Assistant

Ukraine

M. Yukhymenko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

S. Zadyran

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.93
Yellow cards / match 3.19
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.27
Kudrivka O. Protchenko
O. Protchenko
VS
Rukh Vynnyky I. Fedyk
I. Fedyk
0.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 58 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 48 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: 48 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 L
Karpaty Rank: 53 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 58 L
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kudrivka
44.05%
Draw
28.21%
Away Rukh Vynnyky
27.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.15
43.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kudrivka
Rukh Vynnyky
Power Score
41.15
43.05
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
993
948

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Rukh Vynnyky — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kudrivka Rukh Vynnyky

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rukh Vynnyky

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.26
15.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.36
25.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kudrivka +1.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Rukh Vynnyky -1.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Rukh Vynnyky
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kudrivka Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kudrivka Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Rukh Vynnyky
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kudrivka
vs
Rukh Vynnyky
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kudrivka Rukh Vynnyky
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kudrivka 0.39
Rukh Vynnyky 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kudrivka Rukh Vynnyky
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kudrivka 0.03
Rukh Vynnyky 0.06
Kudrivka
Rukh Vynnyky
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Home
1 matches
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T00:02:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 (C) A. Yashkov
A. Machelyuk
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
B. Veklyak
Ukraine
22 B. Veklyak
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Substitution
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
M. Farina
Ukraine
74 M. Farina
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
Substitution
Brazil
14 K. Makosso Faites Prevu
A. Dumanyuk
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
O. Kozak
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
A. Storchous
Substitution
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
A. Hlushchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Hlushchenko
R. Frimpong Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 R. Frimpong Owusu
Pitch
Y. Klymenko
28 Y. Klymenko
V. Roman
Ukraine
93 V. Roman
D. Pidgurskyi
Ukraine
15 (C) D. Pidgurskyi
D. Sliusar
Substitution
Ukraine
17 D. Sliusar
Y. Kopyna
Ukraine
23 Y. Kopyna
M. Boyko
Substitution
Ukraine
56 M. Boyko
B. Almazbekov
Substitution
Kyrgyz Republic
77 B. Almazbekov
T. Brener de Paula
Brazil
30 T. Brener de Paula
O. Prytula
Ukraine
10 O. Prytula
S. Diallo
Substitution
Senegal
14 S. Diallo
I. Neves Alves
Substitution
Brazil
9 I. Neves Alves

General Information

Date & Time :
May 14, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
Capacity :
5100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Serhii Dariichuk
Mykhailo Yukhymenko
Maksim Koziryatskiy
Sergiy Zadyran

Statistics

Possession
Kudrivka
56%
Rukh Vynnyky
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
8 Shots 3
33 Dangerous attacks 29
58 Possession 42
2 Corners 5
19 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 5

Attacking

76 Attacks 56

Defensive

1 Saves 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak Defender
6.26
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
6.26
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.5
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev
Defender46'
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna Defender
6.26
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
2
6.5
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder64'
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
6.37
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso Midfielder
6.5
29
Denys Nagnoynyi
Denys Nagnoynyi
Midfielder76'
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
6.37
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.5
7
Oleksandr Belyaev
Oleksandr Belyaev
Midfielder64'
24
Raymond Owusu
Raymond Owusu Attacker
6.46
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker84'
Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

28
Yehor Klymenko
Yehor Klymenko Goalkeeper
5.89
23
Yurii Kopyna
Yurii Kopyna Defender
6.05
93
Vitaliy Roman
Vitaliy Roman Defender
6.05
10
Ostap Prytula
Ostap Prytula Midfielder
6.27
14
Samba Diallo
Samba Diallo Midfielder
6.27
65
Dmytro Sebro
Dmytro Sebro
Attacker72'
15
Denys Pidgurskyi
Denys Pidgurskyi (C) Midfielder
6.27
17
Denys Slyusar
Denys Slyusar Midfielder
6.27
8
Vlad Raileanu
Vlad Raileanu
Midfielder84'
30
Talles
Talles Midfielder
6.27
56
Maksym Boyko
Maksym Boyko Midfielder
6.27
75
Andriy Kitela
Andriy Kitela
Defender46'
77
Beknaz Almazbekov
Beknaz Almazbekov Midfielder
6.27
11
Vasyl Runich
Vasyl Runich
Midfielder46'
9
Igor Neves
Igor Neves Attacker
6.43
50
Ivan Denysov
Ivan Denysov
Midfielder63'

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Vitaliy Roman
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Raymond Owusu
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Vlad Raileanu → Denys Slyusar
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Yurii Kopyna
5th Yellowcard
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi → Kaya Makosso
8th Substitution
76'
72'
Event
Dmytro Sebro → Samba Diallo 
7th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Belyaev → Anton Glushchenko
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Denys Svityukha → Andriy Storchous
6th Substitution
64'
63'
Event
Ivan Denysov → Igor Neves
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Igor Neves
4th Yellowcard
Event
Oleksiy Gusev → Jair Collahuazo
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Andriy Kitela → Maksym Boyko
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Vasyl Runich → Beknaz Almazbekov
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Talles
3rd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Denys Pidgurskyi
2nd Yellowcard
21'
Event
Denys Slyusar
1st Yellowcard
Event
Andriy Storchous
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
13'
Event
Andriy Storchous
Field Goal / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vitaliy Roman scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Talles.
83
Update Update
Artem Legostaev replaces Raymond Frimpong Owusu.
83
Update Update
Vlad Raileanu comes on for Denis Slyusar.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yuri Kopyna receives a yellow card.
75
Update Update
Denys Nagnoynyi comes on for Kaya Makosso.
70
Update Update
Dmytro Sebro comes on for Samba Diallo.
65
Update Update
Denys Svityukha replaces Andriy Storchous.
65
Update Update
Oleksandr Belyaev is on, and Anton Glushchenko is off.
62
Update Update
Ivan Denysov replaces Igor Neves Alves.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Igor Neves Alves receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Oleksiy Gusev comes on for Jair Collahuazo.
46
Update Update
Andriy Kitela comes on for Maksym Boyko.
46
Substitution Substitution
Vasyl Runich is substituted for Beknaz Almazbekov.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Talles.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denys Pidgurskyi receives a yellow card.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denis Slyusar receives a yellow card.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andriy Storchous scores, making it 2-0.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andriy Storchous scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Kaya Makosso.

CONCLUSION

Kudrivka's triumph underscores their ability to capitalize on early momentum, surging to a 2-0 halftime advantage before weathering Rukh Vynnyky's second-half response. With 58% possession and no disciplinary interruptions, the hosts executed a tactical masterclass against a stronger opponent. This significant deviation highlights Kudrivka's growing potency, turning perceived weakness into victory through sharp finishing and solid defending. Rukh Vynnyky's single goal exposed vulnerabilities in Kudrivka's backline late on, but it wasn't enough to salvage a point. The result boosts Kudrivka's confidence, positioning them favorably in the standings while prompting Rukh Vynnyky to refine their approach against resilient sides.

Kudrivka vs Rukh Vynnyky preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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