Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Hirnyk Sun, 17 May - 11:35 AM
Premier League
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
2 Winner 3
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Full Time Sun, 17 May 11:35 AM
Round 29 Regular Season
Yaroslav Shevchenko - 88'
Gleiker Mendoza - 62'
Goal
|
Goal
Prosper Obah - 69', 45'
Lassina Traoré - 43'

CONTEXT

Following an intense match between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Shakhtar Donetsk, the away side emerged victorious with a final score of 2-3. The first half saw Shakhtar establish a strong lead, going into halftime 0-2 ahead. Kryvbas, playing at home, struggled with only 23 percent possession while Shakhtar controlled 77 percent of the ball. In the second half, the home team fought back valiantly, scoring two goals, but it was not enough to overcome the deficit as Shakhtar added one more to seal the win. This outcome was consistent with the stronger team's capabilities, showing a significant deviation level of 34.6 percent favoring the visitors. The absence of any red cards ensured a complete and uninterrupted contest from start to finish. Overall, the match demonstrated Shakhtar's tactical superiority and ability to withstand pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the stronger team's overall performance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remains undetermined as expected goals data was not available.
  • Market alignment: The final result was aligned with pre-match market projections for the away team.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were set due to the lack of available metrics for both teams.
  • Event impact: The second half comeback by Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a notable event impact but fell short of victory.
  • Red card distortion: With zero red cards issued to either side, there was no red card distortion in the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Zabroda

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Korniyko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

V. Skoblya

1st Assistant

Ukraine

M. Kozyryatskiy

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.84
Yellow cards / match 3.18
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.63
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: 48 W
Karpaty Rank: 55 W
SK Poltava Rank: 33 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 41 W
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
14.26%
Draw
20.31%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
65.42%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
-0.35%
Draw
-0.09%
Shakhtar Donetsk
+0.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.94
75.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
56.94
75.09
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
581
106

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
9.78
1.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
1.43
9.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +0.85 Efficiency Index
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.85 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Shakhtar Donetsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.40
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.50
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.40
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Shakhtar Donetsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had peak pressure around 16'.
  • Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Pressure SHK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih reached the top pressure at 16' (39.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home
7 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
0
Goals
9
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
9
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:59:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jones
Substitution
Panama
15 J. Jones
A. Bekavac
Substitution
Croatia
5 A. Bekavac
G. Herbert
Substitution
Panama
10 G. Herbert
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
Y. Shevchenko
8 Y. Shevchenko
A. Seck
Substitution
Senegal
14 A. Seck
V. Mulyk
Ukraine
24 V. Mulyk
G. Mendoza Barrios
Venezuela
7 (C) G. Mendoza Barrios
Pitch
D. Tvardovskyi
Ukraine
48 D. Tvardovskyi
P. Azevedo Pereira
Brazil
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
E. Nazaryna
Ukraine
29 E. Nazaryna
V. Bondar
Ukraine
5 (C) V. Bondar
A. Ghram
Substitution
Tunisia
18 A. Ghram
D. Kryskiv
Ukraine
8 D. Kryskiv
E. de Sousa Lemos
Substitution
Brazil
7 E. de Sousa Lemos
I. Severino Silva
14 I. Severino Silva
A. Bondarenko
Ukraine
21 A. Bondarenko
L. dos Santos Ferreira
Substitution
37 L. dos Santos Ferreira
L. Traore
Substitution
Burkina Faso
2 L. Traore

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 11:35 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Hirnyk
Capacity :
2700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oleksandr Korniyko
Vitaliy Skoblya
Maksim Kozyryatskiy
Klym Zabroda

Statistics

Possession
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
33%
SHK
67%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
1 Shots 1
5 Dangerous attacks 2
23 Possession 77
1 Corners 0
1 Free kicks 2
5 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
0 Substitutions 1

Attacking

6 Attacks 6

Lineup

Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
5.68
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
5.88
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
5.86
5
Ante Bekavac
Ante Bekavac Defender
5.88
—
Ante Bekavac
74'
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
5.86
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango
Defender84'
6.5
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.13
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza (C) Midfielder
6.37
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
6.37
14
Assane Seck
Assane Seck Midfielder
6.27
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin
Midfielder47'
6.37
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert Attacker
6.39
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco
Attacker60'
6.55
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk Attacker
6.38
Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

48
Denys Tvardovskyi
Denys Tvardovskyi Goalkeeper
5.88
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar (C) Defender
6.05
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
6.05
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram Defender
6.5
16
Irakli Azarovi
Irakli Azarovi
Defender14'
6.16
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv Midfielder
6.27
14
Isaque
Isaque Midfielder
6.23
21
Artem Bondarenko
Artem Bondarenko Midfielder
6.27
29
Yegor Nazaryna
Yegor Nazaryna Midfielder
6.27
37
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira Midfielder
6.37
9
Maryan Shved
Maryan Shved
Midfielder80'
6.37
2
Lassina Traoré
Lassina Traoré Attacker
6.82
49
Luca Meirelles
Luca Meirelles
Attacker80'
6.46
7
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo Attacker
6.5
68
Prosper Obah
Prosper Obah
Attacker23'
2
7.06

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
88'
Event
Yvan Dibango → Joseph Jones
10th Substitution
84'
80'
Event
Maryan Shved → Lucas Ferreira
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Luca Meirelles → Lassina Traoré
8th Substitution
Event
Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges → Ante Bekavac
7th Substitution
74'
69'
Event
Prosper Obah
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Giovany Herbert
5th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Tymur Butenko
6th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
62'
Event
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Carlos Paraco → Giovany Herbert
6th Substitution
60'
60'
Event
5th Substitution
Event
Joseph Jones
4th Yellowcard
53'
Event
Bar Lin → Assane Seck
3rd Substitution
47'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Prosper Obah
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
Event
Lassina Traoré
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
35'
Event
Isaque
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Volodymyr Vilivald
2nd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Andrusw Araujo
1st Yellowcard
24'
23'
Event
Prosper Obah → Eguinaldo
2nd Substitution
14'
Event
Irakli Azarovi → Alaa Ghram
1st Substitution
6'
Event
Artem Bondarenko
Video review / Goal Disallowed

Match Commentary

83
Update Update
Junior Yvan Nyabeye Dibango replaces Joseph Jones.
79
Update Update
Maryan Shved comes on for Lucas Ferreira.
79
Update Update
Luca Meirelles comes on for Lassina Traore.
73
Update Update
Thiago Borges is on, and Ante Bekavac is off.
60
Update Update
Carlos Paraco is on, and Giovany Herbert is off.
60
Update Update
Tymur Butenko is on, and Volodymyr Mulyk is off.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Giovany Herbert.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joseph Jones receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Oleh Ocheretko is on, and Isaque is off.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Prosper Obah scores, making it 0-2.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Prosper Obah scores, making it 0-2.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lassina Traore scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Irakli Azarov.
22
Update Update
Prosper Obah replaces Eguinaldo.
14
Update Update
Irakli Azarov comes on for Alaa Ghram.
6
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Artem Bondarenko.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Klym Zabroda.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, Shakhtar Donetsk's triumph over Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih highlights their continued dominance in the league. Despite a resilient second-half performance from the hosts that brought the score to 2-3, the visitors' early advantage proved decisive. With no red cards affecting the game, both teams played to their full potential, resulting in an exciting and competitive affair. The efficiency remained in line with expectations for the stronger side, and market alignment confirmed the predictability of the result. This victory adds to Shakhtar's impressive record, while Kryvbas will look to improve their structural approach in future encounters. The significant deviation observed underscores the challenges faced by underdogs against top teams. Fans can expect more thrilling matches as the season progresses.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.