Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Hirnyk Sun, 26 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
5 Winner 6
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 25 Regular Season
Maksym Zaderaka - 73'
Gleiker Mendoza - 45+2', 34', 29', 13'
Goal
|
Goal
Andriy Yarmolenko - 87', 76'
Vitaliy Buyalskyi   - 69'
Nazar Voloshyn - 64'
Taras Mykhavko - 48'
Matviy Ponomarenko - 15'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Ukrainian Premier League clash, Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih hosted Dynamo Kyiv, ending in a dramatic 5-6 away victory. The home side exploded into a 4-1 halftime lead, capitalizing on early chances despite holding only 42% possession. Dynamo Kyiv, dominating with 58% of the ball, orchestrated a stunning second-half turnaround, netting five goals to flip the script and claim the points. No red cards disrupted play, allowing continuous high-octane action. As the pre-designated stronger team, Dynamo Kyiv's performance marked a significant 33.2% structural deviation, underscoring their resilience. The efficiency shift stayed in line with norms, while the result aligned with pre-match market views. This high-scoring thriller highlighted tactical adaptability and clinical finishing from the visitors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 33.2% structural deviation in favor of Dynamo Kyiv.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without provided data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion in proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Shandor

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Tsybulko

4th Official

D. Marchenko

1st Assistant

S. Marulin

2nd Assistant

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Kudrivka Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: L
Oleksandria Rank: W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
13.02%
Draw
20.19%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
66.79%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
+12.39%
Draw
+15.63%
Dynamo Kyiv
-28.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.32
34.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
24.32
34.01
League Position
7
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Dynamo Kyiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.95
40.95
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.95
20.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -2.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Kyiv +2.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Dynamo Kyiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Dynamo Kyiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Dynamo Kyiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.19
Dynamo Kyiv 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Dynamo Kyiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.06
Dynamo Kyiv 0.14
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Dynamo Kyiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DYN had peak pressure around 6'.
  • DYN started the game with stronger pressure.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Pressure DYN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DYN reached the top pressure at 6' (69.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home
7 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
7
0
Draws
0
7
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
3
-14
Goal Difference
+14

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
A. Bekavac
Substitution
Croatia
5 A. Bekavac
M. Zaderaka
Ukraine
94 M. Zaderaka
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
Y. Shevchenko
8 Y. Shevchenko
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin
V. Mulyk
Substitution
Ukraine
24 V. Mulyk
G. Mendoza Barrios
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
Pitch
R. Neshcheret
Ukraine
35 R. Neshcheret
V. Dubinchak
Substitution
Ukraine
44 V. Dubinchak
T. Mykhavko
Ukraine
32 T. Mykhavko
V. Zakharchenko
Ukraine
34 V. Zakharchenko
M. Korobov
Substitution
Ukraine
13 M. Korobov
M. Shaparenko
Ukraine
10 M. Shaparenko
V. Brazhko
Ukraine
6 V. Brazhko
O. Pikhalyonok
Substitution
Ukraine
8 O. Pikhalyonok
B. Redushko
70 B. Redushko
M. Ponomarenko
Ukraine
11 M. Ponomarenko
N. Voloshyn
Substitution
Ukraine
9 N. Voloshyn

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Hirnyk
Capacity :
2700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oleksandr Shandor
Evgen Tsybulko
Denys Marchenko
Stanislav Marulin

Statistics

Possession
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
37%
DYN
63%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 6
7 Shots 9
36 Dangerous attacks 95
42 Possession 58
1 Corners 11
2 Free kicks 1
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
18 Goal Kicks 0
5 Assists 6

Attacking

71 Attacks 115

Defensive

3 Saves 2

Discipline

6 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Shandor

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
6.35
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.28
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
6.45
5
Ante Bekavac
Ante Bekavac Defender
6.23
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango
Defender71'
6.51
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
6.8
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.47
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Midfielder
4
6.82
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
6.49
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Midfielder
6.63
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert
Attacker71'
6.45
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka Midfielder
6.49
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk Attacker
6.46
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco
Attacker60'
6.69
Referee : Oleksandr Shandor

Starting XI ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
6.3
13
Maksym Korobov
Maksym Korobov Defender
6.45
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev
Defender46'
6.52
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
6.48
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
6.39
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
6.37
2
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
Defender46'
6.54
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
6.75
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder
6.72
40
Kristian Bilovar
Kristian Bilovar
Defender90+1'
6.48
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder
6.65
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko
Midfielder73'
2
6.74
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
6.75
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Midfielder
6.85
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
7.11

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Kristian Bilovar → Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko
Right foot shot / 11th Goal
76'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko
Right foot shot / 10th Goal
Event
Maksym Zaderaka
Right foot shot / 9th Goal
73'
73'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko → Nazar Voloshyn
6th Substitution
Event
Giovany Herbert → Bar Lin
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Yvan Dibango → Ante Bekavac
4th Substitution
71'
69'
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi  
Right foot shot / 8th Goal
64'
Event
Nazar Voloshyn
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
Event
Carlos Paraco → Volodymyr Mulyk
3rd Substitution
60'
58'
Event
Nazar Voloshyn
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Andrusw Araujo
2nd Yellowcard
54'
48'
Event
Taras Mykhavko
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
46'
Event
Oleksandr Karavaev → Maksym Korobov
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko → Vladyslav Dubinchak
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
45+2'
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
34'
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
29'
25'
Event
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
1st Yellowcard
15'
Event
Matviy Ponomarenko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Dynamo Kyiv's 6-5 triumph over Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih epitomized comeback mastery, erasing a 4-1 halftime deficit through superior second-half execution and 58% possession dominance. The visitors, affirmed as the stronger side, navigated a high-scoring affair without red card interruptions, delivering a performance with notable 33.2% structural deviation. Market alignments held true, and efficiency stayed consistent, reinforcing Dynamo's quality. Kryvbas's early blitz faded, unable to withstand the pressure. This result boosts Dynamo's momentum while exposing Kryvbas's vulnerability in sustaining leads.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Dynamo Kyiv preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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