Krylya Sovetov vs Dynamo Makhachkala Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 8 Mar - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
2 Winner 0
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:30 AM
Chinedu Geoffrey - 25', 9'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Krylya Sovetov 2–0 Dynamo Makhachkala. The result saw Krylya Sovetov take the points. Krylya Sovetov showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Krylya Sovetov showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Sukhoy

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Demeshko

1st Assistant

A. Bogdanov

2nd Assistant

E. Rubtsov

4th Official

Krylya Sovetov M. Adiev
M. Adiev
VS
Dynamo Makhachkala V. Evseev
V. Evseev
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.83
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Krasnodar Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
Zenit Rank: D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Sochi Rank: D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Makhachkala
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
33.33
30
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
Power Score
33.33
30
League Position
12
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Makhachkala

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.20
19.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.91
21.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Krylya Sovetov +0.15 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Makhachkala -0.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
3 matches
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
0
-7
Goal Difference
+7

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:03:43+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 08, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Stadium :
Samara Arena
Capacity :
44918
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Aleksey Sukhoy
Igor Demeshko
Aleksandr Bogdanov
Efim Rubtsov

Statistics

Possession
Krylya Sovetov
48%
Dynamo Makhachkala
52%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 8
35 Dangerous attacks 35
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 7
13 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
14 Dribble Attempts 12
8 Successful Dribbles 5
4 Goal Kicks 7
20 Throwins 24
14 Successful Headers 15
2 Assists 0

Attacking

87 Attacks 85
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

266 Successful Passes 335
370 Passes 438
72 Successful Passes Percentage 76
20 Successful Long Passes 18
55 Long Passes 62
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

3 Saves 2
18 Interceptions 7
21 Tackles 13

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 25
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Serder Serderov → Jan Dapo
8th Substitution
Event
N. Rasskazov → Gonzalo Requena 
7th Substitution
80'
Event
V. Ignatenko → Chinedu Geoffrey
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Sergey Bozhin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Mihajlo Banjac → K. Stolbov
4th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Hazem Mastouri → Gamid Agalarov
5th Substitution
Event
Fernando Costanza → I. Akhmetov
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
I. Oleynikov → Artem Shumansky
3rd Substitution
66'
46'
Event
Miro → Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Mohamed Azzi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Chinedu Geoffrey
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
25'
Event
Chinedu Geoffrey
Header / 1st Goal
9'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Krylya Sovetov exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Krylya Sovetov vs Dynamo Makhachkala preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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