Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskva Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Samara Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM

Premier League

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov

1 – 1

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 11:30 AM

Round 25 Regular Season

I. Oleynikov - 65'

Sergey Bozhin - 75' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Russian Premier League encounter, Krylya Sovetov secured a valuable 1-1 draw against stronger visitors CSKA Moskva at their home ground. The first half passed without goals, as CSKA controlled 58% possession but struggled to penetrate the hosts' organized defense. Tension mounted post-interval, with both sides netting once in the second half to share the spoils. Despite Krylya Sovetov's lower 42% possession, their resilience frustrated CSKA's superiority, resulting in a deadlock. No red cards disrupted play, and the even halftime score set the stage for a balanced finish. This outcome marked a significant deviation for CSKA, who entered as favorites but couldn't convert dominance into victory, highlighting Krylya Sovetov's tactical discipline.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation occurred as the draw defied CSKA Moskva's pre-match strength advantage.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with overall expectations throughout the match.
xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be evaluated due to unavailable expected goals data.
Market alignment: Final result fully aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
xG expectations: xG expectations remain unassessable without provided expected goals metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or notable events influenced the match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the result faced no disciplinary distortions.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

P. Shadykhanov

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Demeshko

1st Assistant

A. Bogdanov

2nd Assistant

Y. Khromey

4th Official

S. Bulatov

F. Celestini

0.77

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 8 - 25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Krylya Sovetov

Draw

CSKA Moskva

Team Power Ranking

15.49

21.5

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Krylya Sovetov

CSKA Moskva

Power Score

15.49

21.5

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score

CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

35.95

15.52

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

15.52

35.95

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Krylya Sovetov +2.35 Efficiency Index

CSKA Moskva -2.35 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Krylya Sovetov

CSKA Moskva

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Krylya Sovetov

CSKA Moskva

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Krylya Sovetov

CSKA Moskva

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Krylya Sovetov

CSKA Moskva

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Krylya Sovetov had peak pressure around 40'.
Krylya Sovetov started the game with stronger pressure.

Krylya Sovetov Pressure CSKA Moskva Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Krylya Sovetov reached the top pressure at 40' (81.87).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home

37 matches

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-44

Goal Difference

+44

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:01:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

30 S. Pesyakov

22 F. Peixoto Costanza

23 N. Chernov

47 S. Bozhin

2 K. Pechenin

15 N. Rasskazov

8 M. Vityugov

6 S. Babkin

77 I. Akhmetov

11 A. Rahmanović

19 I. Oleynikov

49 V. Torop

3 D. Krugovoi

79 K. Danilov

6 D. Barinov

22 M. Gajić

31 M. Kislyak

10 I. Oblyakov

17 K. Glebov

18 D. Kozlov

37 H. Fabiano do Carmo

9 L. Gondou

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Samara Arena

Capacity :

44918

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Igor Demeshko

Aleksandr Bogdanov

Yaroslav Khromey

Pavel Shadykhanov

Statistics

Possession

Krylya Sovetov

45%

CSKA Moskva

55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

2 Shots 0

42 Dangerous attacks 60

42 Possession 58

11 Corners 4

14 Free kicks 13

4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 0

21 Throwins 13

2 Injuries 2

10 Goal Attempts 4

5 Substitutions 4

66 Ball Safe 65

17 Dribble Attempts 14

5 Successful Dribbles 5

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

7 Goal Kicks 11

9 Successful Headers 8

Attacking

62 Attacks 90

Possession

308 Passes 441

50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

26 Successful Long Passes 22

238 Successful Passes 378

77 Successful Passes Percentage 86

52 Long Passes 37

Defensive

12 Tackles 15

0 Saves 1

37 Duels Won 41

10 Interceptions 9

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 4

26 Total Crosses 26

Discipline

0 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov

Manager ▼

S. Bulatov Coach

Starting XI ▼

S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper

6.88

Kirill Pechenin Defender

6.72

Fernando Costanza Defender

6.85

Nikita Chernov Defender

6.75

Sergey Bozhin Defender

6.88

S. Babkin Midfielder

6.67

Artem Shumanskiy

Attacker90+3'

6.67

M. Vityugov Midfielder

6.55

K. Stolbov

Midfielder84'

6.39

N. Rasskazov Midfielder

6.48

I. Akhmetov Midfielder

6.88

Jimmy Marín

Midfielder76'

6.59

A. Rahmanović Attacker

6.7

V. Ignatenko

Attacker76'

6.66

I. Oleynikov Attacker

6.74

Mihajlo Banjac

Midfielder76'

6.69

Substitutes ▼

Mihajlo Banjac

Midfielder76'

6.69

V. Ignatenko

Attacker76'

6.66

Jimmy Marín

Midfielder76'

6.59

K. Stolbov

Midfielder84'

6.39

Artem Shumanskiy

Attacker90+3'

6.67

Bench ▼

E. Frolov Goalkeeper

Nikita Kokarev Goalkeeper

T. Galdames Defender

6.45

D. Oroz Defender

6.62

I. Lepskiy Defender

6.66

R. Evgenyev Defender

6.62

Vladimir Khubulov Midfielder

6.33

Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov