Krylya Sovetov vs Akron Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
4 Winner 1
Akron Akron
Full Time Sun, 17 May 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
N. Rasskazov - 43'
M. Vityugov - 41', 34'
A. Rahmanović - 12' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Nikita Bazilevskiy - 85' (P)

CONTEXT

Krylya Sovetov secured a convincing 4-1 win over Akron in a match defined by an explosive opening period. The home side raced into a 4-0 halftime lead through clinical finishing that overwhelmed the visitors early on. Akron responded with greater possession at 60 percent but managed only a single second-half goal to reduce the deficit. Krylya Sovetov maintained defensive composure despite holding just 40 percent of the ball and preserved their advantage until the final whistle. The performance underscored the home team's ability to convert limited opportunities into a decisive lead. This outcome reflected the stronger side's dominance from the outset and left Akron with little chance of a comeback after the interval.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Krylya Sovetov 4-1 Akron. Krylya Sovetov showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall output.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be confirmed because numerical values were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with market projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed unmeasured in the absence of concrete data.
  • Event impact: The four first-half goals created a decisive event impact on the contest.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with both sides completing the match at full strength.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Levnikov

Russia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Ermakov

1st Assistant

Russia

A. Vereteshkin

2nd Assistant

Russia

Y. Matveev

4th Official

Russia

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 28.16
Yellow cards / match 4.08
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.65
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.64
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orenburg Rank: 53 L
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 71 W
Sochi Rank: 52 L
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rostov Rank: 60 L
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
Rubin Kazan Rank: 63 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 71 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akron
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.05
52.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Akron
Power Score
58.05
52.91
League Position
11
13
Global Rank
544
690

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Akron

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.13
32.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.67
44.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Krylya Sovetov +1.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Akron -1.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Akron
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Krylya Sovetov Akron
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov Akron
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Akron
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Krylya Sovetov
vs
Akron
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Krylya Sovetov Akron
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Krylya Sovetov 0.48
Akron 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov Akron
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Krylya Sovetov 0.02
Akron 0.12
Krylya Sovetov
Akron
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Akron had peak pressure around 89'.
  • Akron started the game with stronger pressure.
Krylya Sovetov Pressure Akron Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Akron reached the top pressure at 89' (88.75).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
3 matches
Akron Akron Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
1
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T01:03:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
S. Pesyakov
Substitution
Russia
30 S. Pesyakov
A. Oroz
Substitution
Croatia
5 A. Oroz
N. Chernov
Russia
23 N. Chernov
S. Bozhin
Russia
47 S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
Belarus
2 K. Pechenin
S. Babkin
Russia
6 S. Babkin
M. Vityugov
Substitution
Russia
8 M. Vityugov
N. Rasskazov
Russia
15 N. Rasskazov
M. Banjac
Substitution
Serbia
14 M. Banjac
I. Oleynikov
Russia
19 I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 A. Rahmanović
Pitch
A. Vasyutin
Russia
78 A. Vasyutin
R. Fernández Toro
Substitution
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
I. Nedelcearu
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
Y. Rocha Rodriguez
Bolivia
2 Y. Rocha Rodriguez
K. Maradishvili
Substitution
Russia
8 K. Maradishvili
A. Đurasović
Substitution
Serbia
5 A. Đurasović
I. Đakovac
Substitution
Serbia
35 I. Đakovac
M. Boldyrev
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
G. Benchimol Tavares
Substitution
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Samara Arena
Capacity :
44918
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Kirill Levnikov
Dmitri Ermakov
Andrey Vereteshkin
Yuri Matveev

Statistics

Possession
Krylya Sovetov
43%
Akron
57%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 6
33 Dangerous attacks 52
40 Possession 60
1 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

14 Dribble Attempts 12
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
8 Goal Kicks 5
8 Throwins 17
5 Successful Dribbles 4
8 Successful Headers 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 1
1 Penalties 1
66 Ball Safe 64
9 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

48 Attacks 86
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

51 Long Passes 31
260 Passes 392
75 Successful Passes Percentage 84
196 Successful Passes 331
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
21 Successful Long Passes 17

Defensive

10 Interceptions 4
33 Duels Won 34
9 Tackles 10
4 Saves 2

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 21
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

17 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Kirill Levnikov

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper
39
E. Frolov
E. Frolov
Goalkeeper76'
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Defender
5
D. Oroz
D. Oroz Defender
3
T. Galdames
T. Galdames
Defender57'
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Defender
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Defender
6
S. Babkin
S. Babkin Midfielder
8
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov Midfielder
2
20
K. Stolbov
K. Stolbov
Midfielder66'
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac Midfielder
72
Dani Fernández
Dani Fernández
Defender57'
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Midfielder
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Midfielder
11
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović Attacker
91
V. Ignatenko
V. Ignatenko
Attacker57'
Referee : Kirill Levnikov

Starting XI ▼

78
Aleksandr Vasyutin
Aleksandr Vasyutin Goalkeeper
2
Yomar Rocha
Yomar Rocha Defender
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Defender
89
Denis Popenkov
Denis Popenkov
Midfielder61'
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
5
Aleksa Djurasovic
Aleksa Djurasovic Midfielder
69
Arseniy Dmitriev
Arseniy Dmitriev
Attacker61'
8
Konstantin Maradishvili
Konstantin Maradishvili Midfielder
81
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Attacker66'
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
23
Kristijan Bistrovic
Kristijan Bistrovic
Midfielder46'
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Attacker
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov
Midfielder61'
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Attacker
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
I. Oleynikov
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90'
90'
Event
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
83'
Event
Maksim Boldyrev
Penalty awarded
Event
E. Frolov → S. Pesyakov
10th Substitution
76'
Event
K. Stolbov → M. Vityugov
9th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Nikita Bazilevskiy → Konstantin Maradishvili
8th Substitution
61'
Event
Arseniy Dmitriev → Aleksa Djurasovic
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Denis Popenkov → Roberto Fernández
7th Substitution
61'
Event
Khetag Khosonov → Benchimol
6th Substitution
Event
Dani Fernández → Mihajlo Banjac
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
T. Galdames → D. Oroz
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
V. Ignatenko → A. Rahmanović
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Nikita Chernov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
46'
Event
Kristijan Bistrovic → Ifet Djakovac
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
A. Rahmanović
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
45+1'
Event
Benchimol
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Rodrigo Escoval
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
N. Rasskazov
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
43'
Event
M. Vityugov
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
41'
Event
M. Vityugov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
Event
A. Rahmanović
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
12'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ivan Oleynikov.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nikita Bazilevskiy takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nikita Bazilevskiy receives a yellow card.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Nikita Bazilevskiy scores, making it 4-1.
85
Attempt Attempt
Maxim Dmitrievich Boldyrev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Nikita Bazilevskiy takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
83
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty being awarded to Maxim Dmitrievich Boldyrev.
76
Update Update
Evgeni Frolov is on, and Sergey Pesyakov is off.
73
Attempt Attempt
Vladimir Ignatenko takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Update Update
Sergey Babkin takes a header, but it misses the target.
73
Attempt Attempt
Dani Fernandez takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Sergey Babkin takes a shot with his head but misses.
66
Update Update
Nikita Bazilevskiy comes on for Konstantin Maradishvili.
66
Update Update
Kirill Stolbov comes on for Maksim Vityugov.
63
Update Update
Denis Popenkov comes on for Roberto Fernandez.
62
Update Update
Arseny Dmitriev replaces Aleksa Djurasovic.
61
Update Update
Khetag Khosonov comes on for Gilson Tavares.
57
Update Update
Thomas Ignacio Galdames Millan replaces Dominik Oroz.
57
Update Update
Dani Fernandez is on, and Mihajlo Banjac is off.
56
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Oleynikov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Substitution Substitution
Vladimir Ignatenko is substituted for Amar Rahmanovic.
54
Attempt Attempt
Kristijan Bistrovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Kristijan Bistrovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Kristijan Bistrovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Dmitriy Pestryakov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Marat Bokoev's left-footed shot is saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Oleynikov takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Kristijan Bistrovic comes on for Ifet Djakovac.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joao Escoval receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nikolay Rasskazov takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nikolay Rasskazov takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Nikolay Rasskazov takes a left-footed shot and scores.
41
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Vityugov scores with a right-footed shot.
38
Attempt Attempt
Konstantin Maradishvili takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Amar Rahmanovic takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
34
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Vityugov scores with a right-footed shot.
32
Attempt Attempt
Dmitriy Pestryakov takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Oleynikov takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Amar Rahmanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Mihajlo Banjac takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Amar Rahmanovic takes a left-footed shot and scores.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Amar Rahmanovic scores, making it 1-0.
10
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Vityugov takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Konstantin Maradishvili takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Konstantin Maradishvili takes a left-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Yomar Rocha's header is saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Krylya Sovetov 4-1 Akron. Structural assessment: Krylya Sovetov exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Krylya Sovetov vs Akron preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.