Kristiansund vs Brann Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Kristiansund Stadion Sun, 15 Mar - 1:30 PM
Eliteserien
Kristiansund Kristiansund
3 Winner 2
Brann SKB
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:30 PM
Promise Ikojo Meliga - 90+3', 84'
M. Ubandoma - 3' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Bård Finne - 65'
Joachim Soltvedt - 45+1' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kristiansund 3–2 Brann. The result saw Kristiansund take the points. Kristiansund showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 37%–63%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kristiansund showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Aslam

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Rossland

1st Assistant

Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
VS
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: 66 L
Vålerenga Rank: 60 D
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 L
HamKam Rank: 58 L
KFUM Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 58 W
Molde Rank: 64 L
KFUM Rank: 58 D
Bryne Rank: 55 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Rosenborg Rank: 64 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kristiansund
16.82%
Draw
22.17%
Away Brann
61.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.09
67.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kristiansund
Brann
Power Score
55.09
67.27
League Position
5
10
Global Rank
599
237

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kristiansund Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.22
29.13
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.13
51.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kristiansund +2.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -2.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kristiansund Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kristiansund Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kristiansund Kristiansund Home
6 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
1
Goals
11
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
11
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:04:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Sæther
Norway
12 A. Sæther
A. Munksgaard
Substitution
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 (C) D. Ulvestad
F. Flex
Substitution
Denmark
3 F. Flex
S. Skundberg Skeide
Norway
14 S. Skundberg Skeide
W. Igor
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
H. Gikling Bruseth
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
S. Hestetun Kilen
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
M. Isah Ubandoma
Substitution
Nigeria
7 M. Isah Ubandoma
H. Haugen
Norway
22 H. Haugen
Pitch
M. Dyngeland
Norway
1 M. Dyngeland
J. Soltvedt
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
N. Boakye
4 N. Boakye
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
D. De Roeve
Belgium
21 D. De Roeve
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
J. Sørensen
Denmark
18 J. Sørensen
T. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
J. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
N. Holm
Norway
29 N. Holm
B. Finne
Substitution
Norway
11 B. Finne

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Stadium :
Kristiansund Stadion
Capacity :
4126
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Alf Olav Rossland

Statistics

Possession
Kristiansund
42%
SKB
58%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 4
39 Dangerous attacks 67
37 Possession 63
6 Corners 11
12 Free kicks 11
5 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Successful Dribbles 3
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
1 Penalties 1
8 Goal Kicks 11
15 Dribble Attempts 6
9 Throwins 33
1 Assists 1
9 Goal Attempts 7
1 Injuries 1
57 Ball Safe 69
4 Substitutions 3

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
94 Attacks 89

Possession

229 Successful Passes 394
81 Successful Passes Percentage 81
63 Long Passes 66
10 Key Passes 10
36 Successful Long Passes 29
284 Passes 488
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

4 Saves 1
14 Tackles 22
7 Interceptions 10

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 30
4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
7.75
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
6.33
2
Anders Børset
Anders Børset
Defender79'
6.38
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad (C) Defender
7.32
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
6.48
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Midfielder67'
6.33
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Midfielder
7.15
14
Syver Skeide
Syver Skeide Midfielder
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
6.06
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Attacker
6.71
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker71'
2
8.34
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Attacker
7.41
22
H. Haugen
H. Haugen Attacker
6.74
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
5.83
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
7.24
4
Nana Kwame Boakye
Nana Kwame Boakye Defender
6.12
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
7.38
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.8
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.86
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
6.47
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Midfielder
6.97
39
Julian Lægreid
Julian Lægreid
Attacker90+4'
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.12
32
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder83'
6.03
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne Attacker
7.45
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen
Midfielder71'
6.43
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
7.12

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Julian Lægreid → Thore Pedersen
6th Substitution
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga
7th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+3'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
84'
83'
Event
Markus Haaland → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Ulrik Mathisen
Penalty disallowed
Event
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
81'
Event
A. Sæther
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Anders Børset
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Anders Børset → F. Flex
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga → M. Ubandoma
3rd Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Ulrik Mathisen → Bård Finne
2nd Substitution
Event
Tobias Hammer Svendsen → Alexander Munksgaard
1st Substitution
67'
65'
Event
Bård Finne
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Joachim Soltvedt
Left foot shot / 2nd Penalty
45'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Penalty awarded
Event
W. Igor
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
44'
31'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
25'
Event
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
M. Ubandoma
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
3'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kristiansund exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Kristiansund vs Brann preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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