Kristiansund vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Kristiansund Stadion Mon, 6 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Kristiansund Kristiansund
0 Winner 3
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
|
Goal
Fredrik Sjøvold - 54'
Ole Didrik Blomberg - 35'
Fredrik Bjørkan - 28'

CONTEXT

The match between Kristiansund and Bodø / Glimt has concluded, finishing with a 3-0 full-time victory for the away side. The result perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored Bodø / Glimt with a 77.3% implied win probability. Kristiansund entered the contest as massive underdogs at just 8.9%, with the likelihood of a draw sitting at 13.9%. Consequently, the outcome produced a significant deviation level of 22.7% in favor of the victorious visitors. Bodø / Glimt took control early on, establishing a comfortable 2-0 lead before the halftime whistle. They dictated the tempo throughout the entire match, boasting a massive 73% of the possession compared to a mere 27% for the hosts. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams—meaning the result could not be definitively measured for xG consistency—the overall efficiency shift was strictly in line with expectations for the pre-match favorites. The match flowed smoothly without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card to alter the dynamics of the game. Ultimately, Bodø / Glimt comfortably validated their dominant status from start to finish.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Lien

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Jahr

1st Assistant

L. Nymoen

2nd Assistant

Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
VS
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.38
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 68 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Vålerenga Rank: 61 D
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 L
HamKam Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 59 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
KFUM Rank: 57 W
Bryne Rank: 55 W
Vålerenga Rank: 61 L
Brann Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kristiansund
8.88%
Draw
13.87%
Away Bodø / Glimt
77.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.22
83.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kristiansund
Bodø / Glimt
Power Score
55.22
83.89
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
612
39

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kristiansund Bodø / Glimt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.48
24.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.86
26.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kristiansund +0.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -0.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kristiansund Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kristiansund Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kristiansund
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kristiansund Bodø / Glimt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kristiansund 0.26
Bodø / Glimt 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kristiansund Bodø / Glimt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kristiansund 0.04
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
Kristiansund
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kristiansund Kristiansund Home
14 matches
Bodø / Glimt BOD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
12
2
Draws
2
12
Losses
0
Goals
9
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
9
-33
Goal Difference
+33

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:04:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Sæther
Norway
12 A. Sæther
A. Munksgaard
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 D. Ulvestad
F. Flex
Denmark
3 F. Flex
H. Haugen
Substitution
Norway
22 H. Haugen
S. Skundberg Skeide
Substitution
Norway
14 S. Skundberg Skeide
W. Igor
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
S. Hestetun Kilen
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
H. Gikling Bruseth
Substitution
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
M. Isah Ubandoma
Substitution
Nigeria
7 M. Isah Ubandoma
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Bjørkan
Substitution
Norway
15 F. Bjørkan
H. Aleesami
Norway
5 H. Aleesami
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
S. Brunstad Fet
Substitution
Norway
19 S. Brunstad Fet
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
S. Auklend
Norway
8 S. Auklend
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
K. Høgh
Substitution
Denmark
9 K. Høgh
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 06, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kristiansund Stadion
Capacity :
4126
Attendance :
3737
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ivar Michael Jahr
Line Cathrine Nymoen
Marius Lien

Statistics

Possession
Kristiansund
31%
BOD
69%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 4
2 Shots 4
23 Dangerous attacks 83
27 Possession 73
0 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

82 Ball Safe 125
4 Goal Attempts 13
15 Dribble Attempts 17
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
17 Throwins 27
6 Successful Dribbles 5
9 Goal Kicks 5
0 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 2
65 Attacks 141
0 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

55 Long Passes 58
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
16 Successful Long Passes 30
71 Successful Passes Percentage 88
277 Passes 749
198 Successful Passes 662
3 Key Passes 10

Defensive

5 Saves 2
20 Tackles 21
41 Duels Won 42
18 Interceptions 7

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 1
7 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

9 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad Defender
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Midfielder
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Midfielder62'
14
Syver Skeide
Syver Skeide Midfielder
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning
Attacker63'
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
22
H. Haugen
H. Haugen Midfielder
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker46'
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Attacker
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim
Attacker63'
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Attacker
77
H. Magnússon
H. Magnússon
Midfielder80'
Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender63'
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen
Midfielder63'
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Attacker77'
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
94
August Mikkelsen
August Mikkelsen
Attacker84'
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
14
Ulrik Saltnes
Ulrik Saltnes
Midfielder77'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
87'
Event
Håkon Evjen
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
84'
Event
August Mikkelsen → Jens Petter Hauge
10th Substitution
Event
H. Magnússon → Heine Gikling Bruseth
9th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Mikkel Bro Hansen → Kasper Høgh
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Ulrik Saltnes → Ole Didrik Blomberg
8th Substitution
Event
A. Rønning → Syver Skeide
6th Substitution
63'
Event
L. Alvheim → M. Ubandoma
3rd Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Håkon Evjen → Sondre Fet
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
5th Substitution
Event
Tobias Hammer Svendsen → S. Kilen
2nd Substitution
62'
54'
Event
Fredrik Sjøvold
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga → H. Haugen
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
30'
28'
Event
Fredrik Bjørkan
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Kristiansund vs Bodø / Glimt preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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