Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Exbud Arena Today - 6:30 PM

Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz

Full Time Today 6:30 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Dawid Blanik - 61'

CONTEXT

Korona Kielce edged Widzew Lodz 1-0 in a tightly contested fixture that remained scoreless at halftime. The home side operated with 43 percent possession while the visitors held 57 percent yet failed to find the net. No red cards disrupted proceedings, allowing both teams to maintain their intended structures across the full ninety minutes. Korona Kielce produced the game's only goal after the interval, capitalizing on a moment of quality to claim all three points. Pre-match assessments had positioned Widzew Lodz as the stronger side, but the outcome reflected a notable departure from those projections. The result underscored how efficiency in key moments outweighed territorial dominance on this occasion.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Korona Kielce produced a significant structural deviation to claim the 1-0 win.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the home side's measured approach.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the final score matched the observed outcome.
xG expectations: xG expectations remained undefined owing to the absence of supporting metrics.
Event impact: The solitary second-half goal delivered the decisive event impact on the result.
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so red card distortion played no role in the match.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

T. Kwiatkowski

Poland 25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lisowski

1st Assistant

Poland

D. Rokosz

2nd Assistant

Poland

P. Rzucidło

4th Official

Poland

J. Zielinski

A. Vukovic

1.12

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.29

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

8 - 5 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Korona Kielce

38.59%

Draw

29.94%

Widzew Lodz

31.47%

Movement

Changes since opening

Korona Kielce

-56.64%

Draw

+25.36%

Widzew Lodz

+31.28%

Team Power Ranking

59.94

60.66

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Korona Kielce

Widzew Lodz

Power Score

59.94

60.66

League Position

Global Rank

487

465

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score

Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Korona Kielce

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Korona Kielce ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Korona Kielce

Widzew Lodz

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Korona Kielce

Widzew Lodz

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Korona Kielce

Widzew Lodz

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Widzew Lodz had peak pressure around 92'.
Widzew Lodz started the game with stronger pressure.

Korona Kielce Pressure Widzew Lodz Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Widzew Lodz reached the top pressure at 92' (67.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home

20 matches

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T18:15:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

1 X. Dziekonski

23 S. Rubežić

44 C. Soteriou

5 P. Resta Tell

37 H. Zwoźny

8 M. Remacle

88 T. Svetlin

6 M. Pieczek

10 D. González Plata

7 D. Błanik

14 M. Stępiński

1 B. Drągowski

3 S. Kozlovský

53 S. Kapuadi

25 P. Wisniewski

5 S. Andreou

6 J. Shehu

7 M. Fornalczyk

8 E. Kornvig

10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez

77 Á. Baena Pérez

99 S. Bergier

General Information

Date & Time :

May 15, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Exbud Arena

Capacity :

5000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Marcin Lisowski

Damian Rokosz

Piotr Rzucidło

Statistics

Possession

Korona Kielce

47%

Widzew Lodz

53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

1 Big Chances Created 1

11 Shots 7

57 Dangerous attacks 66

43 Possession 57

3 Corners 2

16 Free kicks 23

3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4

43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31

21 Throwins 15

6 Successful Dribbles 5

4 Goal Kicks 4

14 Dribble Attempts 16

Attacking

89 Attacks 97

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

26 Successful Long Passes 19

43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

224 Successful Passes 309

76 Successful Passes Percentage 80

295 Passes 388

61 Long Passes 56

Defensive

17 Tackles 17

61 Duels Won 68

3 Saves 1

8 Interceptions 5

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4

20 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

23 Fouls 16

4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Manager ▼

J. Zielinski Coach

Starting XI ▼

Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper

6.93

Pau Resta Defender

7.1

Slobodan Rubezic Defender

6.75

Konstantinos Sotiriou Defender

6.93

Marcel Pieczek Midfielder

6.86

Konrad Matuszewski

Defender77'

6.91

Martin Remacle Midfielder

6.93

Hubert Zwozny Midfielder

6.47

Tamar Svetlin Midfielder

6.9

Dawid Blanik Attacker

7.23

Stjepan Davidovic

Midfielder69'

6.7

Nono Attacker

6.6

Vladimir Nikolov

Attacker84'

6.55

Mariusz Stepinski Attacker

6.89

Antoñín

Attacker76'

6.66

Substitutes ▼

Stjepan Davidovic

Midfielder69'

6.7

Antoñín

Attacker76'

6.66

Konrad Matuszewski

Defender77'

6.91

Vladimir Nikolov

Attacker84'

6.55

Bench ▼

Rafal Mamla Goalkeeper

6.73

Nikodem Niski Defender

6.52

Konrad Ciszek Defender

6.51

Viktor Popov Defender

6.55

Wojciech Kaminski Midfielder

6.69

Simon Gustafson Midfielder

6.61

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski