Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Fri, 15 May - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
1 Winner 0
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
Full Time Fri, 15 May 6:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Dawid Blanik - 61'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Korona Kielce edged Widzew Lodz 1-0 in a tightly contested fixture that remained scoreless at halftime. The home side operated with 43 percent possession while the visitors held 57 percent yet failed to find the net. No red cards disrupted proceedings, allowing both teams to maintain their intended structures across the full ninety minutes. Korona Kielce produced the game's only goal after the interval, capitalizing on a moment of quality to claim all three points. Pre-match assessments had positioned Widzew Lodz as the stronger side, but the outcome reflected a notable departure from those projections. The result underscored how efficiency in key moments outweighed territorial dominance on this occasion.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Korona Kielce produced a significant structural deviation to claim the 1-0 win.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the home side's measured approach.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the final score matched the observed outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undefined owing to the absence of supporting metrics.
  • Event impact: The solitary second-half goal delivered the decisive event impact on the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so red card distortion played no role in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Kwiatkowski

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lisowski

1st Assistant

Poland

D. Rokosz

2nd Assistant

Poland

P. Rzucidło

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.83
Yellow cards / match 3.38
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.2
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Katowice Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 66 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 L
Nieciecza Rank: 51 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Korona Kielce
38.59%
Draw
29.94%
Away Widzew Lodz
31.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
Korona Kielce
-56.64%
Draw
+25.36%
Widzew Lodz
+31.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.94
60.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
59.94
60.66
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
487
465

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Korona Kielce

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Korona Kielce ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Korona Kielce
vs
Widzew Lodz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Korona Kielce 0.00
Widzew Lodz 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Korona Kielce 0.00
Widzew Lodz 0.00
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Widzew Lodz had peak pressure around 92'.
  • Widzew Lodz started the game with stronger pressure.
Korona Kielce Pressure Widzew Lodz Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Widzew Lodz reached the top pressure at 92' (67.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
20 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
8
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
7
Losses
8
Goals
25
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
25
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T18:15:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
X. Dziekonski
Poland
1 X. Dziekonski
S. Rubežić
Serbia
23 S. Rubežić
C. Soteriou
Cyprus
44 C. Soteriou
P. Resta Tell
Spain
5 P. Resta Tell
H. Zwoźny
Poland
37 H. Zwoźny
M. Remacle
Belgium
8 M. Remacle
T. Svetlin
Slovenia
88 T. Svetlin
M. Pieczek
Substitution
Poland
6 M. Pieczek
D. González Plata
Substitution
Spain
10 D. González Plata
D. Błanik
Substitution
Poland
7 D. Błanik
M. Stępiński
Substitution
Poland
14 M. Stępiński
Pitch
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
S. Kozlovský
Slovakia
3 S. Kozlovský
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
S. Andreou
Substitution
Cyprus
5 S. Andreou
J. Shehu
Albania
6 J. Shehu
M. Fornalczyk
Substitution
Poland
7 M. Fornalczyk
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Á. Baena Pérez
Substitution
Spain
77 Á. Baena Pérez
S. Bergier
Poland
99 S. Bergier

General Information

Date & Time :
May 15, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Exbud Arena
Capacity :
5000
Attendance :
14569
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Marcin Lisowski
Damian Rokosz
Piotr Rzucidło

Statistics

Possession
Korona Kielce
47%
Widzew Lodz
53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 7
57 Dangerous attacks 66
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 23
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
21 Throwins 15
5 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Goal Kicks 4
13 Dribble Attempts 16
3 Injuries 1
79 Ball Safe 73
5 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

89 Attacks 97
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

26 Successful Long Passes 19
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
224 Successful Passes 310
76 Successful Passes Percentage 80
295 Passes 389
61 Long Passes 56

Defensive

17 Tackles 16
60 Duels Won 68
3 Saves 1
8 Interceptions 6

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4
20 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

23 Fouls 16
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6.93
5
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Defender
7.1
23
Slobodan Rubezic
Slobodan Rubezic Defender
6.75
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
Konstantinos Sotiriou Defender
6.93
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Midfielder
6.86
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski
Defender77'
6.91
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Midfielder
6.93
37
Hubert Zwozny
Hubert Zwozny Midfielder
6.47
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Midfielder
6.9
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Attacker
7.23
9
Stjepan Davidovic
Stjepan Davidovic
Midfielder69'
6.7
10
Nono
Nono Attacker
6.6
11
Vladimir Nikolov
Vladimir Nikolov
Attacker84'
6.55
14
Mariusz Stepinski
Mariusz Stepinski Attacker
6.89
70
Antoñín
Antoñín
Attacker76'
6.66
Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.79
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Defender
6.71
5
Stelios Andreou
Stelios Andreou Defender
6.6
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski
Defender63'
6.65
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
7.03
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.68
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Midfielder
7.14
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Midfielder
6.72
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi
Midfielder74'
6.8
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Midfielder
6.99
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Midfielder
7.09
9
Andi Zeqiri
Andi Zeqiri
Attacker79'
6.61
77
Ángel Baena
Ángel Baena Midfielder
6.61
22
Osman Bukari
Osman Bukari
Attacker74'
6.69
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
7.03

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Vladimir Nikolov
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
Vladimir Nikolov → Nono
8th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Sebastian Bergier
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Andi Zeqiri → Fran Álvarez
7th Substitution
Event
Konrad Matuszewski → Marcel Pieczek
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Antoñín → Mariusz Stepinski
5th Substitution
76'
74'
Event
Osman Bukari → Ángel Baena
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Lindon Selahi → Mariusz Fornalczyk
4th Substitution
Event
Stjepan Davidovic
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Stjepan Davidovic → Dawid Blanik
2nd Substitution
69'
63'
Event
Marcel Krajewski → Stelios Andreou
1st Substitution
Event
Dawid Blanik
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
61'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Juljan Shehu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
21'
Event
Emil Kornvig
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tamar Svetlin
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
8'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Marcel Krajewski takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Andi Zeqiri takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Update Update
Vladimir Nikolov comes on for David Gonzalez Plata.
84
Update Update
Emil Kornvig's header is blocked.
79
Update Update
Andi Zeqiri comes on for Fran Alvarez.
77
Update Update
Konrad Matuszewski replaces Marcel Pieczek.
76
Substitution Substitution
Antonin is substituted off for Mariusz Stepinski.
74
Update Update
Lindon Selahi is on, and Mariusz Fornalczyk is off.
74
Update Update
Osman Bukari comes on for Angel Baena Perez.
71
Update Update
Konstantinos Sotiriou attempts a header but misses the target.
69
Update Update
Stjepan Davidovic comes on for Dawid Blanik.
66
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier's header is saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Slobodan Rubezic takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
63
Update Update
Marcel Krajewski is on, and Stelios Andreou is off.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dawid Blanik scores, making it 1-0.
57
Update Update
Slobodan Rubezic's header is blocked.
49
Update Update
Slobodan Rubezic's header is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mariusz Stepinski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
David Gonzalez Plata takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Przemyslaw Wisniewski attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Attempt Attempt
Slobodan Rubezic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
David Gonzalez Plata takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Dawid Blanik's right-footed shot is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Martin Remacle takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
David Gonzalez Plata takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Angel Baena Perez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Fran Alvarez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Korona Kielce demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline to overcome a possession deficit and defeat the pre-match stronger side. The 0-0 halftime scoreline gave little indication of the narrow victory that followed, yet the home team struck at the right moment to alter the contest's direction. With no dismissals to reshape the tactical landscape, both sides contested the game evenly until the decisive intervention. This outcome illustrates how single moments of clinical finishing can outweigh statistical advantages in possession and territory. Korona Kielce will take confidence from the result while Widzew Lodz must address their inability to convert dominance into tangible reward.

Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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