Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye

Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Super Lig

Konyaspor KON

Trabzonspor TRA

Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 31 Regular Season

Berkan Kutlu - 39', 32'

Felipe Augusto - 79'

CONTEXT

Konyaspor pulled off a stunning 2-1 victory over stronger rivals Trabzonspor at home, defying all expectations in a match defined by first-half dominance. The hosts surged to a 2-0 halftime lead, converting limited opportunities while Trabzonspor controlled 64% possession but struggled to break through. In the second period, Trabzonspor mounted pressure and pulled one goal back, yet Konyaspor's resolute defense held firm to clinch the points. This result highlights the underdogs' clinical efficiency against a possession-heavy opponent, marking a significant structural shift. With no red cards or major disruptions, the game stayed true to its tactical flow, underscoring Konyaspor's ability to maximize scant resources. Trabzonspor's failure to capitalize on superiority exposed vulnerabilities, handing Konyaspor a memorable triumph.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Konyaspor's 2-1 win showed a 69.9% significant deviation favoring the home side.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with expectations for both teams.
xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Pre-match market views were not aligned with Konyaspor's victory.
xG expectations: xG expectations remain unevaluated without supporting data.
Event impact: No key events like second-half adjustments influenced the outcome.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary measures.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

H. Meler

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

Y. Kendirciler

4th Official

O. Bilir

2nd Assistant

M. Curbay

1st Assistant

İ. Palut

F. Tekke

1.15

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.1

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 9 - 17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Konyaspor

30.09%

Draw

25.57%

Trabzonspor

44.34%

Movement

Changes since opening

Konyaspor

-64.63%

Draw

+20.48%

Trabzonspor

+44.15%

Team Power Ranking

23.86

37.91

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

Power Score

23.86

37.91

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Konyaspor Trabzonspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Trabzonspor

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

40.28

40.63

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

40.63

40.28

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Konyaspor -0.04 Efficiency Index

Trabzonspor +0.04 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Trabzonspor

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Konyaspor Trabzonspor

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Konyaspor Trabzonspor

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Konyaspor Trabzonspor

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Konyaspor Trabzonspor

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

TRA had peak pressure around 83'.
TRA started the game with stronger pressure.

KON Pressure TRA Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: TRA reached the top pressure at 83' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Konyaspor KON Home

35 matches

Trabzonspor TRA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-13

Goal Difference

+13

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 D. Ertaş

5 U. Yazğılı

39 A. Nagalo

4 A. Demirbağ

18 B. Kutlu

77 M. Ibrahimoglu

16 M. Jevtović

9 D. Türüç

10 E. Bardhi

70 K. Olaigbe

40 J. Muleka

24 A. Onana

19 M. Eskihellaç

14 M. Lövik

27 C. Nwaiwu

20 W. Cardoso Pina

42 C. Inao Oulaï

26 T. Jabol Folcarelli

9 A. Nwakaeme

10 E. Muçi

22 O. Zubkov

30 E. Onuachu

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu

Capacity :

42000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Halil Umut Meler

Yusuf Adnan Kendirciler

Osman Gökhan Bilir

Murat Tuğberk Curbay

Statistics

Possession

KON

41%

TRA

59%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 4

5 Shots 12

50 Dangerous attacks 60

36 Possession 64

7 Corners 5

4 Free kicks 12

4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4

1 Injuries 0

10 Goal Attempts 12

75 Ball Safe 62

6 Successful Headers 16

14 Dribble Attempts 16

7 Successful Dribbles 8

13 Throwins 20

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

17 Goal Kicks 8

1 Hit Woodwork 1

1 Assists 1

Attacking

60 Attacks 78

1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

215 Successful Passes 441

32 Successful Long Passes 24

57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

56 Long Passes 36

76 Successful Passes Percentage 89

284 Passes 496

8 Key Passes 19

Defensive

15 Tackles 13

31 Duels Won 51

10 Interceptions 5

2 Saves 4

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 26

1 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

1 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Halil Umut Meler

Manager ▼

İ. Palut Coach

Starting XI ▼

Deniz Ertaş Goalkeeper

6.88

Adil Demirbağ Defender

7.02

Uğurcan Yazğılı Defender

6.9

Berkan Kutlu Defender

6.81

Adamo Nagalo Defender

6.8

Deniz Türüç Midfielder

6.71

Arif Boşluk

Defender88'

6.57

Enis Bardhi Midfielder

6.96

Diogo Gonçalves

Midfielder62'

7.04

Marko Jevtovic Midfielder

6.77

Kazeem Olaigbe Midfielder

6.72

Sander Svendsen

Midfielder76'

6.47

Melih İbrahimoğlu Midfielder

6.91

Jackson Muleka Attacker

6.97

Yhoan Andzouana

Defender88'

6.85

Substitutes ▼

Diogo Gonçalves

Midfielder62'

7.04

Sander Svendsen

Midfielder76'

6.47

Yhoan Andzouana

Defender88'

6.85

Arif Boşluk

Defender88'

6.57

Bench ▼

Bahadır Güngördü Goalkeeper

6.68

Yasir Subaşı Defender

6.66

Rayyan Baniya Defender

6.55

Jin-ho Jo Midfielder

6.66

İsmail Esat Buğa Midfielder

6.35

Eren Cemali Yağmur Attacker

Referee : Halil Umut Meler