Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu Sun, 8 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super Lig
Konyaspor KON
1 – 1
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 1:00 PM
Jackson Muleka - 17'
Goal
|
Goal
Adrian Benedyczak - 31' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Konyaspor 1–1 Kasımpaşa. The match ended in a draw. Konyaspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Konyaspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

?. Öztürk

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Olcar

4th Official

B. Birinci

1st Assistant

H. Aylak

2nd Assistant

Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
VS
Kasımpaşa E. Belözoğlu
E. Belözoğlu
0.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Galatasaray Rank: W
Alanyaspor Rank: L
Göztepe Rank: D
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Konyaspor
50.06%
Draw
28.89%
Away Kasımpaşa
21.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
32
28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa
Power Score
32
28
League Position
13
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Konyaspor Kasımpaşa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kasımpaşa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kasımpaşa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.47
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
20.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Konyaspor +0.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Kasımpaşa -0.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kasımpaşa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Konyaspor Kasımpaşa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Konyaspor Kasımpaşa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Konyaspor KON Home
11 matches
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Away
Match Record
5
Wins
0
6
Draws
6
0
Losses
5
Goals
23
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
23
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:05:05+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 08, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium :
Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Capacity :
42000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ümit Öztürk
Burak Olcar
Bahtiyar Birinci
H. Aylak

Statistics

Possession
KON
59%
Kasımpaşa
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 2
42 Dangerous attacks 24
64 Possession 36
4 Corners 3
19 Free kicks 11
5 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Penalties 2
5 Substitutions 3
21 Successful Headers 15
28 Throwins 20
24 Dribble Attempts 14
14 Successful Dribbles 8
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
92 Ball Safe 92
1 Assists 0
5 Goal Kicks 9
10 Goal Attempts 1
3 Injuries 4

Attacking

96 Attacks 90
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

471 Passes 262
80 Successful Passes Percentage 68
44 Long Passes 68
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
21 Successful Long Passes 24
7 Key Passes 4
378 Successful Passes 177

Defensive

18 Tackles 23
11 Interceptions 15
1 Saves 3

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 2
12 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

9 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adamo Nagalo
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Yasir Subaşı
Penalty disallowed
90+7'
90+2'
Event
Cenk Tosun
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Cenk Tosun → Pape Habib Guèye
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Ali Yavuz Kol → Godfried Frimpong
7th Substitution
Event
Hadi Habibinejad
Argument / 10th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Kazeem Olaigbe
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
73'
71'
Event
Nicholas Opoku
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Emre Belözoğlu
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Cafú → Adrian Benedyczak
6th Substitution
Event
Yasir Subaşı → Arif Boşluk
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Marko Jevtovic → Berkan Kutlu
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Tunahan Taşçı → Deniz Türüç
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Enis Bardhi → Morten Bjørlo
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+8'
Event
Pape Habib Guèye
GoalkeeperSave
Event
Arif Boşluk
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
45+6'
Event
Uğurcan Yazğılı
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+5'
Event
Adamo Nagalo → Adil Demirbağ
1st Substitution
40'
31'
Event
Adrian Benedyczak
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
28'
Event
Adrian Benedyczak
Penalty awarded
Event
Adil Demirbağ
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
Event
Jackson Muleka
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
17'
8'
Event
Rodrigo Becão
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Konyaspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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