Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Uman'fermmash Fri, 8 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
1 Winner 0
Kudrivka Kudrivka
Full Time Fri, 8 May 12:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Arinaldo Rrapaj - 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Kolos Kovalivka claimed a hard-fought 1-0 home victory over Kudrivka in a match defined by defensive resilience and a solitary first-half goal. The hosts led 1-0 at halftime after capitalizing on their limited opportunities, then weathered sustained pressure despite mustering just 44% possession against Kudrivka's 56%. Kolos, pegged as the stronger side, showcased clinical finishing and organization to frustrate the visitors, who created chances but lacked precision. No red cards marred proceedings, ensuring uninterrupted play across both halves. This result, with its minimal structural deviation, reinforces Kolos' status as favorites while exposing Kudrivka's inefficiency in the final third. Possession dominance failed to translate for the away team, underlining the home side's tactical edge in a low-scoring affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result exhibited minimal 4.8% structural deviation favoring Kolos Kovalivka.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from absent data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements altered game flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in team lineups or dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Prychyna

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Striletska

1st Assistant

Ukraine

O. Korniyko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

D. Osaulenko

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.11
Yellow cards / match 2.89
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.23
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
VS
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.57
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oleksandria Rank: 44 W
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Veres Rank: 48 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 51 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kolos Kovalivka
95.18%
Draw
4.18%
Away Kudrivka
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kolos Kovalivka
+1.44%
Draw
-1.44%
Kudrivka
+0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.3
41.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
Power Score
55.3
41.2
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
642
998

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kolos Kovalivka Kudrivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.39
33.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.48
17.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kolos Kovalivka -1.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka +1.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kolos Kovalivka Kudrivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Kudrivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Kudrivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kolos Kovalivka Kudrivka
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kolos Kovalivka 0.18
Kudrivka 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Kudrivka
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
Kudrivka 0.03
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kudrivka had peak pressure around 87'.
  • Kudrivka started the game with stronger pressure.
Kolos Kovalivka Pressure Kudrivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kudrivka reached the top pressure at 87' (47.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:00:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pakholyuk
Ukraine
31 I. Pakholyuk
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
E. Kozik
Substitution
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 M. Burda
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 A. Tsurikov
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
E. Trevizan Telles
Substitution
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
I. Kane
Substitution
Mali
14 I. Kane
A. Rrapaj
Substitution
Albania
99 A. Rrapaj
A. Salabay
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
A. Tahiri
Substitution
Kosovo
11 A. Tahiri
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 A. Yashkov
M. Farina
Ukraine
74 M. Farina
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
B. Veklyak
Ukraine
22 B. Veklyak
A. Machelyuk
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
A. Dumanyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
Brazil
14 K. Makosso Faites Prevu
E. Morozko
Substitution
Ukraine
33 E. Morozko
A. Storchous
Substitution
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
O. Kozak
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
R. Frimpong Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 R. Frimpong Owusu

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Capacity :
5050
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sofia Prychyna
Maryna Striletska
Oleksandr Korniyko
Dmytro Osaulenko

Statistics

Possession
Kolos Kovalivka
39%
Kudrivka
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
4 Shots 13
33 Dangerous attacks 75
44 Possession 56
3 Corners 5
6 Free kicks 6
6 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

84 Attacks 124

Defensive

1 Saves 0

Discipline

6 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Sofia Prychyna

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Pakholyuk
Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
5
Valeriy Bondarenko
Valeriy Bondarenko
Defender69'
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov Defender
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
15
Artem Gusol
Artem Gusol
Midfielder59'
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko
Midfielder80'
99
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Arinaldo Rrapaj Midfielder
47
Daniil Denysenko
Daniil Denysenko
Midfielder59'
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri Attacker
29
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Attacker69'
Referee : Sofia Prychyna

Starting XI ▼

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov Goalkeeper
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak Defender
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna Defender
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
27
Oleg Pushkaryov
Oleg Pushkaryov
Midfielder84'
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso Midfielder
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker83'
33
Yevgeniy Morozko
Yevgeniy Morozko Midfielder
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder66'
24
Raymond Owusu
Raymond Owusu Attacker
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko
Midfielder66'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ruslan Kostyshyn
9th Yellowcard
88'
84'
Event
Oleg Pushkaryov → Andriy Storchous
9th Substitution
Event
Daniil Denysenko
8th Yellowcard
83'
83'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Artur Dumanyuk
8th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Demchenko → Elias
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Ivan Pakholyuk
7th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Anton Salabay
6th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Artem Gusol
5th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Valeriy Bondarenko → Eduard Kozik
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Zakhariy Zakharkiv → Ardit Tahiri
6th Substitution
69'
68'
Event
Bogdan Veklyak
4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Anton Glushchenko → Raymond Owusu
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Denys Svityukha → Yevgeniy Morozko
4th Substitution
Event
Mykyta Burda
3rd Yellowcard
64'
Event
Daniil Denysenko → Arinaldo Rrapaj
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Artem Gusol → Ibrahim Kane
2nd Substitution
59'
1ST-HALF
Event
Elias
2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Ruslan Kostyshyn
10th Yellowcard
29'
Event
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'
18'
Event
Artur Dumanyuk
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

83
Substitution Substitution
Oleg Pushkaryov is substituted for Andriy Storchous.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Artem Legostaev comes on for Artur Dumanyuk.
80
Update Update
Oleksandr Demchenko comes on for Elias Miguel Trevizan Telles.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ivan Pakholyuk receives a yellow card.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Anton Salabai receives a yellow card.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Artem Gusol receives a yellow card.
69
Update Update
Valeriy Bondarenko replaces Eduard Kozik.
69
Update Update
Zakharii is on for Tahiri.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Bogdan Veklyak.
66
Update Update
Denys Svityukha replaces Yevgeniy Morozko.
66
Substitution Substitution
Anton Glushchenko is substituted for Raymond Frimpong Owusu.
58
Substitution Substitution
Danill Denisenko is substituted off for Arinaldo Rrapaj.
58
Update Update
Artem Gusol comes on for Ibrahim Kane.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elias Miguel Trevizan Telles receives a yellow card.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Arinaldo Rrapaj scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Ardit Tahiri.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sofiia Prychyna.

CONCLUSION

Kolos Kovalivka's 1-0 triumph over Kudrivka epitomized efficiency over possession, with the early goal proving pivotal in a game of few clear openings. Holding firm at 44% possession highlighted their defensive maturity and counterattacking threat, while Kudrivka's 56% share yielded nothing tangible. As the designated stronger team, Kolos delivered a performance consistent with expectations, marked by minimal deviation and full market alignment. This clean-sheet win provides momentum, bolstering their campaign amid a schedule of competitive fixtures. Kudrivka, meanwhile, must address conversion issues to climb the table, as dominance without goals remains futile.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premier League, Ukraine View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ