KFUM vs Viking Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
KFUM Arena Sun, 10 May - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
KFUM KFUM
0 Winner 2
Viking Viking
Full Time Sun, 10 May 3:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
|
Goal
Peter Christiansen - 79', 2'
Momodou Lion Njie 42' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. KFUM 0–2 Viking. The result saw Viking take the points. Viking showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 35%–65%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Viking showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Lien

Norway
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Sritharan

4th Official

Norway

M. Lokkeberg

1st Assistant

Norway

J. Knutsen

2nd Assistant

Norway

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19
Yellow cards / match 2.96
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.23
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
VS
Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
0.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.67
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 59 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
HamKam Rank: 57 L
Aalesund Rank: 42 D
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: 62 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Brann Rank: 66 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 W
Vålerenga Rank: 59 W
Molde Rank: 67 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KFUM
0.22%
Draw
1.92%
Away Viking
97.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.65
78.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KFUM
Viking
Power Score
56.65
78.76
League Position
11
2
Global Rank
600
70

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KFUM Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KFUM ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KFUM Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KFUM Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KFUM
vs
Viking
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KFUM Viking
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KFUM 0.00
Viking 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KFUM Viking
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KFUM 0.00
Viking 0.00
KFUM
Viking
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Viking had peak pressure around 88'.
  • Viking started the game with stronger pressure.
KFUM Pressure Viking Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Viking reached the top pressure at 88' (78.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KFUM KFUM Home
4 matches
Viking Viking Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
4
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T14:31:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Ødegaard
Norway
1 E. Ødegaard
D. Schneider
Norway
2 D. Schneider
F. Berglie
Substitution
Norway
5 F. Berglie
M. Lion Njie
Norway
4 M. Lion Njie
H. Hoseth
Norway
14 H. Hoseth
R. Rasch
Substitution
Norway
7 R. Rasch
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 S. Hestnes
S. Sjøkvist
Norway
21 S. Sjøkvist
B. Kristensen
Substitution
Norway
22 B. Kristensen
M. Wolff Eikrem
Substitution
Norway
23 M. Wolff Eikrem
M. Retsius Grødem
Substitution
Norway
28 M. Retsius Grødem
Pitch
Ľ. Belko
Slovakia
30 Ľ. Belko
K. Haugen
Substitution
Norway
28 K. Haugen
H. Falchener
Norway
25 H. Falchener
G. Stensness
Australia
6 G. Stensness
H. Heggheim
Substitution
Norway
5 H. Heggheim
Z. Tripić
Norway
10 Z. Tripić
T. Séne Moi
29 T. Séne Moi
K. Askildsen
Norway
7 K. Askildsen
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Substitution
Norway
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
E. Austbö
Substitution
Norway
17 E. Austbö
P. Christiansen
Substitution
Denmark
20 P. Christiansen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
KFUM Arena
Capacity :
1500
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marius Lien
Satha Sejoohn Sritharan
Monica Lokkeberg
Jon-Michael Knutsen

Statistics

Possession
KFUM
38%
Viking
62%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 4
1 Shots 9
25 Dangerous attacks 90
35 Possession 65
4 Corners 6
2 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 2
2 Goal Attempts 8
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
0 Assists 2
10 Goal Kicks 2
3 Dribble Attempts 12
19 Throwins 25
107 Ball Safe 88
2 Successful Dribbles 5

Attacking

1 Counter Attacks 2
82 Attacks 133
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

2 Key Passes 8
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
26 Successful Long Passes 22
69 Successful Passes Percentage 84
337 Passes 635
234 Successful Passes 535
79 Long Passes 58

Defensive

6 Interceptions 9
33 Duels Won 57
11 Tackles 16
2 Saves 0

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 25
3 Accurate Crosses 11

Discipline

13 Fouls 2
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Ødegaard
Emil Ødegaard Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
6.78
4
Momodou Lion Njie
Momodou Lion Njie Defender
6.47
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
6.61
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes
Defender28'
7.15
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch Midfielder
6.77
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Midfielder61'
6.9
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes Midfielder
7
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth Midfielder
6.68
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
6.54
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen Attacker
6.57
10
Bilal Njie
Bilal Njie
Attacker71'
6.53
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem Attacker
6.95
42
David Hickson
David Hickson
Attacker71'
6.5
28
Magnus Grødem
Magnus Grødem Attacker
6.89
13
Brage Skaret
Brage Skaret
Defender46'
6.46
Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
6.66
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
7.29
18
Sondre Bjørshol
Sondre Bjørshol
Defender64'
6.8
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
7.23
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Defender
7.32
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
7.03
24
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Defender56'
6.54
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
7.11
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic Midfielder
8.28
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Midfielder
7.05
15
Ola Visted
Ola Visted
Midfielder64'
6.5
29
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi Midfielder
6.73
17
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø Attacker
6.69
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad
Attacker56'
6.81
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Attacker
2
7.21
14
Veton Berisha
Veton Berisha
Attacker82'
7.13

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Veton Berisha → Peter Christiansen
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Peter Christiansen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Bilal Njie → Bjørn Martin Kristensen
9th Substitution
71'
Event
David Hickson → Magnus Wolff Eikrem
8th Substitution
71'
64'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol → Henrik Heggheim
7th Substitution
64'
Event
Ola Visted → Simen Kvia-Egeskog
6th Substitution
Event
Martin Tangen Vinjor → Robin Rasch
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Daniel Schneider
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
56'
Event
Vetle Auklend → Kristoffer Haugen
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Niklas Fuglestad → Edvin Austbø
4th Substitution
Event
Brage Skaret → Magnus Grødem
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Momodou Lion Njie
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
42'
Event
Momodou Lion Njie
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Event
Eirik Saunes → Fredrik Berglie
1st Substitution
28'
2'
Event
Peter Christiansen
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Viking exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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