KFUM vs Sandefjord Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

KFUM Arena Tue, 7 Apr - 5:00 PM

Eliteserien

KFUM KFUM

Sandefjord Sandefjord

Full Time Tue, 7 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 3 Regular Season

Teodor Berg Haltvik - 16'

Evangelos Patoulidis - 30' (P)

Jakob Vester - 5'

CONTEXT

The match has finished, with Sandefjord claiming a 2-1 away victory over KFUM. The scoring concluded entirely in the opening forty-five minutes, with Sandefjord taking their 2-1 advantage into the halftime break and holding onto it until the final whistle. The final result did not align with pre-match market expectations. KFUM entered the contest as the favorites, holding a 42.2% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a draw was set at 27%, and a Sandefjord win stood at just 30.8%. Consequently, the away side's victory represents a significant deviation from the betting market, marking a 69.2% deviation percentage driven by Sandefjord. On the pitch, KFUM controlled the ball, finishing with 54% possession compared to Sandefjord's 46%. Because expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, it could not be determined if the outcome was consistent with the underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was completely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the match was completed without any red card incidents, ensuring numerical disadvantages played no role in the final outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Sandefjord showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Grøtta

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Simon Ytterland

2nd Assistant

M. Hafezi

4th Official

E. Hareland

1st Assistant

J. Moesgaard

A. Tegström

0.63

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.56

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

KFUM

42.2%

Draw

27.02%

Sandefjord

30.79%

Team Power Ranking

56.43

60.71

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

KFUM

Sandefjord

Power Score

56.43

60.71

League Position

Global Rank

576

438

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score

Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KFUM Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KFUM ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sandefjord

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

20.37

33.37

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

33.37

20.37

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

KFUM -1.33 Efficiency Index

Sandefjord +1.33 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

KFUM

Sandefjord

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KFUM ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sandefjord

Created Set-piece attacking threat

KFUM Sandefjord

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

KFUM Sandefjord

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

KFUM

Sandefjord

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

KFUM

Sandefjord

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

KFUM Sandefjord

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

KFUM Sandefjord

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

KFUM

Sandefjord

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KFUM KFUM Home

4 matches

Sandefjord Sandefjord Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T00:01:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

25 H. Grøntvedt Jensen

14 H. Hoseth

2 D. Schneider

5 F. Berglie

19 E. Franke Saunes

16 J. Lange Hjorth

9 M. Vinjor

8 S. Hestnes

7 R. Rasch

18 R. Eggen Vinge

17 T. Haltvik

30 E. Hadaya

3 V. Walle Egeli

44 X. Lambrix

2 Z. Smajlovic

4 F. Pedersen

6 S. Mørk

14 E. Sundbö Pettersen

27 J. Dunsby

37 J. Vester Nielsen

7 E. Patoulidis

11 N. Moller

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 07, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 3 · Regular Season

Stadium :

KFUM Arena

Capacity :

1500

Attendance :

1365

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Øystein Simon Ytterland

Mohammad Hafezi

Erland Hareland

Marius Hansen Grøtta

Statistics

Possession

KFUM

51%

Sandefjord

49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 2

9 Shots 14

40 Dangerous attacks 27

54 Possession 46

9 Corners 5

14 Free kicks 6

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

25 Throwins 20

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

1 Assists 1

6 Goal Kicks 7

2 Successful Dribbles 10

0 Penalties 1

92 Ball Safe 105

5 Goal Attempts 8

3 Substitutions 5

6 Dribble Attempts 19

1 Injuries 0

Attacking

103 Attacks 98

2 Counter Attacks 5

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 76

497 Passes 432

399 Successful Passes 327

6 Key Passes 8

54 Long Passes 98

14 Successful Long Passes 36

26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

11 Interceptions 13

52 Duels Won 42

17 Tackles 16

4 Saves 0

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 10

6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

7 Fouls 14

3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Manager ▼

J. Moesgaard Coach

Starting XI ▼

Havar Jensen Goalkeeper

Daniel Schneider Defender

Fredrik Berglie Defender

Håkon Helland Hoseth Defender

S. Sjøkvist

Defender61'

Jonas Lange Hjorth Defender

Eirik Saunes Defender

Robin Rasch Midfielder

Bjørn Martin Kristensen

Attacker46'

Simen Hestnes Midfielder

Martin Tangen Vinjor Midfielder

Rasmus Eggen Vinge Midfielder

Magnus Wolff Eikrem

Midfielder61'

Teodor Berg Haltvik Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Bjørn Martin Kristensen

Attacker46'

Magnus Wolff Eikrem

Midfielder61'

S. Sjøkvist

Defender61'

Bench ▼

Krzysztof Bakowski Goalkeeper

Momodou Lion Njie Defender

Amin Nouri Defender

Mostafa Najafzadeh Midfielder

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta