Kayserispor vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı Sun, 3 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Kayserispor KAY
1 – 1
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
Full Time Sun, 3 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Indrit Tuci - 60'
Goal
|
Goal
Luccas Claro - 4'

CONTEXT

Kayserispor and Eyüpspor played out a 1-1 draw in a competitive Super Lig encounter. The home side, Kayserispor, trailed 0-1 at halftime after Eyüpspor struck first. Despite holding 54% possession, Kayserispor struggled to convert chances early but mounted a comeback to level the score in the second half. Eyüpspor, deemed the stronger team pre-match, failed to capitalize on their favoritism, resulting in a stalemate. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments. The outcome showed a moderate structural deviation of 8.2% towards Eyüpspor, with efficiency in line with norms. Possession favored the hosts slightly, yet defensive solidity from both sides prevailed. This result maintains both teams' mid-table positioning without major shifts.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.2% structural deviation favoring Eyüpspor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Final draw outcome aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmet due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments notably influenced the 1-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any dismissal-related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Türkmen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Elbil

1st Assistant

M. Şener

2nd Assistant

M. Aldemir

4th Official

Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
VS
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
0.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: 69 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 W
Samsunspor Rank: 69 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kayserispor
4.93%
Draw
91.84%
Away Eyüpspor
3.23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kayserispor
-1.32%
Draw
+1.7%
Eyüpspor
-0.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.2
64.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kayserispor
Eyüpspor
Power Score
63.2
64.12
League Position
17
15
Global Rank
387
356

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kayserispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kayserispor Eyüpspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kayserispor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kayserispor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kayserispor Eyüpspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kayserispor Eyüpspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kayserispor
Eyüpspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kayserispor
vs
Eyüpspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kayserispor Eyüpspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kayserispor 0.00
Eyüpspor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kayserispor Eyüpspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kayserispor 0.00
Eyüpspor 0.00
Kayserispor
Eyüpspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Eyüpspor had peak pressure around 16'.
  • Eyüpspor started the game with stronger pressure.
KAY Pressure Eyüpspor Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Eyüpspor reached the top pressure at 16' (86.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kayserispor KAY Home
3 matches
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T16:31:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
B. Bayazit
Netherlands
25 B. Bayazit
J. Katongo
England
2 J. Katongo
S. Güler
Germany
6 S. Güler
S. Denswil
Substitution
Suriname
4 S. Denswil
L. Carole
France
23 L. Carole
L. Bénes
Slovakia
8 L. Bénes
D. Toköz
Substitution
Türkiye
24 D. Toköz
D. Makarov
Substitution
Russia
18 D. Makarov
F. Chalov
Substitution
Russia
63 F. Chalov
M. Nunes Cardoso
Portugal
7 M. Nunes Cardoso
G. Onugkha
Substitution
Russia
9 G. Onugkha
Pitch
J. Yılmaz
Türkiye
24 J. Yılmaz
C. Meraş
Türkiye
77 C. Meraş
L. Claro dos Santos
Brazil
4 L. Claro dos Santos
B. Özyurt
Türkiye
5 B. Özyurt
L. Calegari
Substitution
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
T. İlter
Substitution
Azerbaijan
28 T. İlter
M. Altunbaş
Substitution
Türkiye
26 M. Altunbaş
C. Raux Yao
Substitution
France
15 C. Raux Yao
M. Łęgowski
Poland
20 M. Łęgowski
D. Radu
Romania
22 D. Radu
U. Bozok
Türkiye
19 U. Bozok

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
Capacity :
32864
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Candaş Elbil
Murat Şener
Mehmet Türkmen
M. Aldemir

Statistics

Possession
KAY
54%
Eyüpspor
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
13 Shots 7
61 Dangerous attacks 43
54 Possession 46
9 Corners 3
16 Free kicks 12

Match Overview

20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
19 Successful Headers 20
35 Throwins 16
1 Assists 1
10 Goal Kicks 16
10 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Successful Dribbles 3
1 Hit Woodwork 2
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

115 Attacks 77
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 77
18 Key Passes 11
294 Successful Passes 253
371 Passes 328
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
61 Long Passes 49
28 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

13 Interceptions 7
12 Tackles 13
46 Duels Won 47
3 Saves 4

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2
34 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

12 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

25
Bilal Bayazıt
Bilal Bayazıt Goalkeeper
6.9
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Defender
6.41
4
Stefano Denswil
Stefano Denswil Defender
6.71
28
Ramazan Civelek
Ramazan Civelek
Midfielder46'
6.54
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Defender
6.7
23
Lionel Carole
Lionel Carole Defender
6.62
7
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso Midfielder
6.95
8
László Bénes
László Bénes Midfielder
7
18
Denis Makarov
Denis Makarov Midfielder
6.62
33
Furkan Soyalp
Furkan Soyalp
Midfielder70'
6.75
24
Dorukhan Toköz
Dorukhan Toköz Midfielder
6.53
61
Görkem Sağlam
Görkem Sağlam
Midfielder82'
6.56
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Midfielder
6.75
99
Talha Sarıarslan
Talha Sarıarslan
Attacker82'
6.79
9
German Onugkha
German Onugkha Attacker
6.84
22
Indrit Tuci
Indrit Tuci
Attacker44'
6.66
Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

24
Jankat Yılmaz
Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Calegari
Calegari Defender
6.84
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan
Defender80'
6.75
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro Defender
6.76
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
6.63
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
6.66
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao Midfielder
6.68
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor
Attacker68'
6.7
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Midfielder
6.6
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Midfielder
6.56
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Midfielder
6.92
68
Jérôme Onguene
Jérôme Onguene
Defender80'
6.61
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter Midfielder
6.66
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek
Midfielder61'
6.84
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Görkem Sağlam → Dorukhan Toköz
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Talha Sarıarslan → Fedor Chalov
8th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Talha Ülvan → Calegari
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Jérôme Onguene → Metehan Altunbaş
6th Substitution
Event
Furkan Soyalp → Denis Makarov
5th Substitution
70'
68'
Event
Lenny Pintor → Charles-Andre Raux Yao
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Baran Gezek → Taşkın İlter
3rd Substitution
Event
Indrit Tuci
Header / 2nd Goal
60'
Event
Ramazan Civelek → Stefano Denswil
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Fedor Chalov
Goal disallowed
45+8'
Event
Indrit Tuci → German Onugkha
1st Substitution
44'
4'
Event
Luccas Claro
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Gorkem Saglam's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Cardoso's left-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Soyalp attempts a header but misses the shot.
86
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Update Update
Gorkem Saglam comes on for Dorukhan Tokoz.
81
Update Update
Talha Sariarslan comes on for Fedor Chalov.
79
Update Update
Talha Ulvan replaces Lucas Felipe Calegari.
79
Update Update
Jerome Junior Onguene comes on for Metehan Altunbas.
74
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Cardoso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Soyalp takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Update Update
Furkan Soyalp replaces Denis Makarov.
67
Update Update
Lenny Pintor replaces Charles Raux Yao.
65
Attempt Attempt
Fedor Chalov attempts a header but misses the shot.
62
Attempt Attempt
Charles Raux Yao takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Baran Gezek is replaced by Taskin Ilter.
60
Update Update
Goal! Indrit Tuci scores, making it 1-1.
60
Update Update
Indrit Tuci scores with a header.
58
Attempt Attempt
Denis Makarov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Indrit Tuci's right-footed shot is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Cardoso takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Ramazan Civelek comes on for Stefano Denswil.
45
Attempt Attempt
Denis Makarov's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Update Update
Goal! Fedor Chalov scores, making it 1-1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fedor Chalov takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
45
Update Update
The goal is disallowed after a VAR review due to a foul by Fedor Chalov.
44
Substitution Substitution
Indrit Tuci is substituted off for German Onugkha.
42
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Altunbas takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Denis Makarov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Umut Bozok takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
31
Attempt Attempt
Charles Raux Yao takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Umut Meras takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Cardoso's right-footed shot is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Jadel Katongo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Charles Raux Yao takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
18
Update Update
German Onugkha's header misses the target.
15
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Altunbas attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Felipe Calegari takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Umut Meras takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski's right-footed shot is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Stefano Denswil takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Update Update
Luccas Claro dos Santos scores with a header.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Kayserispor and Eyüpspor underscores a balanced affair where the stronger visitors Eyüpspor could not secure victory despite an early lead. Kayserispor's second-half resilience, backed by superior possession, neutralized the deficit effectively. With no red cards or disruptive events, the result reflects moderate deviation and market consistency. Both teams demonstrated defensive competence, limiting clear chances. This outcome tempers Eyüpspor's momentum while bolstering Kayserispor's home form, setting up intriguing future fixtures in the league.

Kayserispor vs Eyüpspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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