Karpaty vs Veres Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Ukrajina Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Karpaty Karpaty
2 Winner 0
Veres Veres
Full Time Sun, 17 May 3:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Vladyslav Baboglo - 70', 54'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Following a scoreless first half where Karpaty and Veres both failed to find the net, resulting in a 0-0 halftime score, the home team Karpaty took charge in the second period. They managed to score two goals without reply, sealing a 2-0 triumph. Karpaty enjoyed 62 percent of the ball possession while limiting Veres to 38 percent. This dominance allowed them to push forward consistently and secure the points. The match was free of any dismissals, with zero red cards for both teams. As the pre-match favorite, Karpaty delivered a performance that reflected their status as the stronger side. The clean sheet and efficient finishing in the latter stages were key factors in their success.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Karpaty showed a significant structural deviation of 39.4 percent in their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall team performance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remained undetermined with no expected goals data provided.
  • Market alignment: The result showed true market alignment with the stronger team prevailing.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to null values in the dataset.
  • Event impact: The two second-half goals had a decisive event impact leading to the 2-0 victory.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with no cards issued to either side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Zadyran

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Podvalnyi

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

E. Tsybulko

4th Official

Ukraine

O. Dashko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.84
Yellow cards / match 3.18
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
VS
Veres O. Shandruk
O. Shandruk
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 48 D
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Karpaty
60.6%
Draw
23.92%
Away Veres
15.48%

Movement

Changes since opening
Karpaty
-36.72%
Draw
+22.01%
Veres
+14.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.79
45.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Karpaty
Veres
Power Score
54.79
45.89
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
640
876

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
Veres — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Karpaty Veres

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Karpaty

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Veres

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Veres
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.52
25.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.39
29.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Karpaty +0.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Veres -0.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Veres
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Veres
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Karpaty Veres
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Karpaty Veres
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Veres
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Karpaty
vs
Veres
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Karpaty Veres
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Karpaty 0.23
Veres 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Karpaty Veres
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Karpaty 0.00
Veres 0.03
Karpaty
Veres
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Karpaty had peak pressure around 34'.
  • Karpaty started the game with stronger pressure.
Karpaty Pressure Veres Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Karpaty reached the top pressure at 34' (78.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Karpaty Karpaty Home
5 matches
Veres Veres Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
8
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:04:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Domchak
Ukraine
1 N. Domchak
D. Miroshnichenko
Ukraine
11 D. Miroshnichenko
V. Baboglo
Moldova
4 (C) V. Baboglo
V. Kholod
Ukraine
44 V. Kholod
R. Lyakh
Substitution
Ukraine
73 R. Lyakh
A. Chachua
Ukraine
8 A. Chachua
E. Bento
Substitution
Brazil
18 E. Bento
X. Alkain Mitxelena
Substitution
Spain
70 X. Alkain Mitxelena
V. Rubchynskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
15 V. Rubchynskyi
Y. Kostenko
Ukraine
26 Y. Kostenko
Y. Karabin
Substitution
Ukraine
19 Y. Karabin
Pitch
A. Kozhukhar
Ukraine
23 A. Kozhukhar
M. Protasevych
Substitution
Ukraine
17 M. Protasevych
S. Vovchenko
Ukraine
3 S. Vovchenko
K. Cipot
Slovenia
4 K. Cipot
K. Stamoulis
Greece
22 K. Stamoulis
D. Niyo
Rwanda
25 D. Niyo
V. Boyko
Substitution
Ukraine
18 (C) V. Boyko
V. Sharay
Substitution
Ukraine
77 V. Sharay
F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
Brazil
7 F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
G. de Jesus Lima
Substitution
80 G. de Jesus Lima
S. Sten
Substitution
Ukraine
26 S. Sten

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Ukrajina
Capacity :
28051
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dmytro Podvalnyi
Evgen Tsybulko
Oleksandr Dashko
Sergiy Zadyran

Statistics

Possession
Karpaty
59%
Veres
41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
6 Shots 4
66 Dangerous attacks 33
62 Possession 38
10 Corners 4
6 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

77 Attacks 65

Defensive

2 Saves 4

Discipline

14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sergiy Zadyran

Starting XI ▼

1
Nazar Domchak
Nazar Domchak Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Vladyslav Baboglo
Vladyslav Baboglo (C) Defender
2
6.98
11
Denys Miroshnichenko
Denys Miroshnichenko Defender
6.98
44
Vitaliy Kholod
Vitaliy Kholod Defender
6.5
73
Rostyslav Lyakh
Rostyslav Lyakh Defender
6.5
77
Oleksiy Sych
Oleksiy Sych
Defender74'
6.5
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
Ambrosiy Chachua Midfielder
6.5
15
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Valentyn Rubchynskyi Midfielder
6.5
14
Ilya Kvasnytsya
Ilya Kvasnytsya
Midfielder74'
6.5
18
Eriki
Eriki Midfielder
6.45
35
Edson Fernando
Edson Fernando
Midfielder70'
6.5
19
Yaroslav Karabin
Yaroslav Karabin Midfielder
6.5
37
Bruninho
Bruninho
Midfielder46'
6.5
26
Yan Kostenko
Yan Kostenko Midfielder
6.45
70
Xeber Alkain
Xeber Alkain Midfielder
6.45
—
Xeber Alkain
90'
Referee : Sergiy Zadyran

Starting XI ▼

23
Andriy Kozhukhar
Andriy Kozhukhar Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Semen Vovchenko
Semen Vovchenko Defender
6.05
4
K. Cipot
K. Cipot Defender
6.05
17
Mykhaylo Protasevych
Mykhaylo Protasevych Defender
6.26
2
Maksym Smiyan
Maksym Smiyan
Defender62'
6.26
22
Konstantinos Stamoulis
Konstantinos Stamoulis Defender
6.05
7
Fabrício Yan
Fabrício Yan Midfielder
6.27
18
Vitaliy Boyko
Vitaliy Boyko (C) Midfielder
6.5
44
Danyil Checher
Danyil Checher
Defender46'
6.04
25
David Niyo
David Niyo Midfielder
6.27
77
Vladyslav Sharay
Vladyslav Sharay Midfielder
6.27
70
Dmytro Matkivskyi
Dmytro Matkivskyi
Midfielder81'
6.5
26
Sergey Sten
Sergey Sten Attacker
6.46
—
Sergey Sten
62'
80
Guilherme Bahia
Guilherme Bahia Attacker
6.5
19
André Gonçalves
André Gonçalves
Midfielder47'
6.27

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
4th Yellowcard
90+9'
Event
Yan Kostenko
6th Yellowcard
90+8'
90+2'
Event
Andriy Kozhukhar
5th Yellowcard
Event
Dedov Alexander → Xeber Alkain
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Xeber Alkain
2nd Yellowcard
88'
88'
Event
Danyil Checher
3rd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Dmytro Matkivskyi → Vladyslav Sharay
9th Substitution
Event
Oleksiy Sych → Rostyslav Lyakh
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Ilya Kvasnytsya → Valentyn Rubchynskyi
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Edson Fernando → Eriki
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Vladyslav Baboglo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
70'
Event
Eriki
1st Yellowcard
63'
62'
Event
Maksym Smiyan → Mykhaylo Protasevych
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Dmytro Murashko → Sergey Sten
4th Substitution
Event
Vladyslav Baboglo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
54'
47'
Event
André Gonçalves → Guilherme Bahia
3rd Substitution
Event
Bruninho → Yaroslav Karabin
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Danyil Checher → Vitaliy Boyko
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Var
44'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yan Kostenko receives a yellow card.
89
Update Update
Oleksandr Dyedov is on, and Xeber Alkain is off.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Danyil Checher receives a yellow card.
80
Update Update
Dmytro Matkivskyi replaces Vladyslav Sharay.
69
Update Update
Edson Fernando Da Silva Gomes is on, and Bento is off.
61
Update Update
Maksym Smiyan is on, and Mykhaylo Protasevych is off.
61
Update Update
Dmytro Murashko comes on for Sergiy Sten.
46
Update Update
Bruno Roberto Pereira Da Silva is on, and Yaroslav Karabin is off.
46
Update Update
Bruno Roberto Pereira Da Silva is on, and Yaroslav Karabin is off.
46
Update Update
Danyil Checher comes on for Vitaliy Boyko.

CONCLUSION

The final whistle confirmed Karpaty's 2-0 victory over Veres after a dominant display especially in the second half. Starting from a goalless halftime, they converted their possession advantage into tangible results with two well-taken goals. This outcome reinforces their position and shows promise for upcoming fixtures where similar control could prove vital. Veres will need to regroup and address their lack of attacking threat shown across the full match. Overall the game was a testament to controlled football without unnecessary disruptions from cards or other incidents. Fans can take positives from the home team's execution and tactical discipline throughout the ninety minutes.

Karpaty vs Veres preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.