Kalmar vs IFK Göteborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Guldfågeln Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Kalmar KAL
1 – 1
IFK Göteborg GOT
Full Time Thu, 23 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season
C. Rosenquist - 29'
Goal
|
Goal
Tobias Heintz - 45+1'

CONTEXT

Kalmar welcomed IFK Göteborg to their home in the Allsvenskan, resulting in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The scoreline mirrored the halftime tally of 1-1, with both sides finding the net once in the opening period. Deemed the stronger team, Kalmar controlled 44% of possession, while visitors IFK Göteborg edged it at 56%. No red cards marred the contest, and no significant second-half adjustments were noted. The match exhibited a moderate 8.1% structural deviation attributed to Kalmar. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and market alignment held true for the draw. Absent xG data, detailed chance quality assessment is unavailable. This result underscores the fine margins in competitive fixtures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed moderate 8.1% structural deviation for Kalmar.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed true for the draw outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available data.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments impacted proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Ladebäck

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Robertsson

2nd Assistant

D. Yng

1st Assistant

R. Hasani

4th Official

Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
VS
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Västerås SK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: D
Häcken Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kalmar
4.07%
Draw
91.85%
Away IFK Göteborg
4.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kalmar
-0.89%
Draw
+1.29%
IFK Göteborg
-0.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.55
19.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kalmar
IFK Göteborg
Power Score
30.55
19.83
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar IFK Göteborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kalmar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.02
32.05
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.05
31.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kalmar -0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
IFK Göteborg +0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kalmar
IFK Göteborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kalmar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kalmar IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kalmar IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kalmar
IFK Göteborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kalmar
vs
IFK Göteborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kalmar IFK Göteborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kalmar 0.21
IFK Göteborg 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kalmar IFK Göteborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kalmar 0.03
IFK Göteborg 0.02
Kalmar
IFK Göteborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GOT had peak pressure around 55'.
  • KAL started the game with stronger pressure.
KAL Pressure GOT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GOT reached the top pressure at 55' (91.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home
40 matches
IFK Göteborg GOT Away
Match Record
13
Wins
16
11
Draws
11
16
Losses
13
Goals
44
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
44
-12
Goal Difference
+12

Data last updated: 2026-04-24T00:02:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Kindberg
Sweden
30 J. Kindberg
R. Jansson
Finland
4 R. Jansson
L. Sætra
Norway
39 L. Sætra
A. Dari
Morocco
20 A. Dari
V. Larsson
Sweden
2 V. Larsson
C. Rosenquist
13 C. Rosenquist
R. Gojani
Sweden
23 R. Gojani
N. Chourak
Substitution
Netherlands
7 N. Chourak
M. Söderbäck
Substitution
Finland
10 M. Söderbäck
V. Tyren
Substitution
Sweden
6 V. Tyren
C. Sagoe Junior
England
24 C. Sagoe Junior
Pitch
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
F. Eriksson
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
F. Ottosson
Sweden
16 F. Ottosson
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Substitution
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
T. Heintz
Substitution
Norway
14 T. Heintz
S. Alioum Moubarak
Substitution
Cameroon
11 S. Alioum Moubarak
M. Fenger
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Fenger

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Guldfågeln Arena
Capacity :
12500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Robertsson
Adam Ladebäck
Daniel Yng
Rinon Hasani

Statistics

Possession
KAL
46%
GOT
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 5
53 Dangerous attacks 39
44 Possession 56
8 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

16 Throwins 20
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
9 Goal Kicks 9
17 Dribble Attempts 12
12 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 4
5 Goal Attempts 5
70 Ball Safe 70
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

106 Attacks 105
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

303 Successful Passes 417
77 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 14
394 Passes 508
16 Successful Long Passes 17
49 Long Passes 61
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

Defensive

45 Duels Won 41
4 Saves 6
9 Interceptions 14
12 Tackles 13

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 18
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 5
8 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
6.89
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Defender
6.54
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Defender
6.68
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Defender
6.87
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Defender
6.42
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Midfielder
6.86
70
Emeka Nnamani
Emeka Nnamani
Attacker88'
6.58
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck Midfielder
6.54
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya
Attacker57'
6.53
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Midfielder
6.69
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Midfielder
7.17
6
V. Tyren
V. Tyren Attacker
6.8
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg
Midfielder57'
6.79
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Attacker
6.6
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
6.68
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Defender
7.14
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
6.64
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
6.67
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
6.51
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Midfielder
7.14
7
Sebastian Clemmensen
Sebastian Clemmensen
Attacker46'
7.1
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Midfielder
7.62
8
Imam Jagne
Imam Jagne
Midfielder88'
6.47
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
6.89
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson Midfielder
6.88
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Midfielder
6.79
26
Benjamin Brantlind
Benjamin Brantlind
Midfielder81'
6.58
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger Attacker
6.66
30
Tiago Coimbra
Tiago Coimbra
Attacker62'
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
August Erlingmark
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Emeka Nnamani → N. Chourak
7th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Imam Jagne → Tobias Heintz
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Benjamin Brantlind → Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Tiago Coimbra → Max Fenger
4th Substitution
Event
M. Hallberg → V. Tyren
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
A. Olusanya → Marius Söderbäck
3rd Substitution
57'
46'
Event
Sebastian Clemmensen → Saidou Alioum Moubarak
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Tobias Heintz
Header / 2nd Goal
30'
Event
Filip Ottosson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
C. Rosenquist
Header / 1st Goal
29'
7'
Event
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 stalemate saw Kalmar, the stronger side, secure a home point despite trailing in possession at 44% to IFK Göteborg's 56%. Halftime parity set a cautious tone for the second half, where defenses held firm without disruptions. Moderate 8.1% structural deviation for Kalmar highlights subtle underperformance in key phases. Efficiency in line and true market alignment validate the equitable result. Lacking xG, chance efficiency stays unclear, yet the clean contest rewarded resilience from both. This draw maintains momentum for upcoming league tests.

Kalmar vs IFK Göteborg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Allsvenskan, Sweden View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ