Juventus vs Hellas Verona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Juventus Stadium Sun, 3 May - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Juventus JUV
1 – 1
Hellas Verona VER
Full Time Sun, 3 May 4:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Dušan Vlahović - 62'
Goal
|
Goal
Kieron Bowie - 34'

CONTEXT

Juventus hosted Hellas Verona in a Serie A clash that ended in a 1-1 draw, despite the home side's overwhelming dominance. Juventus controlled 76% of possession but trailed 0-1 at halftime after Verona capitalized on a rare counter. The Bianconeri mounted a comeback in the second half, equalizing through determined pressure, yet failed to convert their superiority into a win. Verona's defensive resilience frustrated Juventus' attacks, holding firm against waves of assaults. No red cards disrupted play, and the match stayed competitive throughout. This result marks a moderate structural deviation for Juventus, who were expected to prevail as the stronger team but settled for a point. The draw reflects Verona's effective low-block strategy, denying Juventus a clear path to victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 12.6% structural deviation occurred for Juventus in the 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without data.
  • Event impact: No major events like second-half adjustments altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards meant zero distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Ayroldi

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Vecchi

1st Assistant

A. Cavallina

2nd Assistant

D. Di Marco

4th Official

Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
VS
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
AC Milan Rank: 84 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Atalanta Rank: 86 W
Genoa Rank: 75 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 D
Udinese Rank: 76 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: 68 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 L
Torino Rank: 74 L
Fiorentina Rank: 78 L
Atalanta Rank: 84 L
Genoa Rank: 75 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 6 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juventus
9.84%
Draw
87.4%
Away Hellas Verona
2.75%

Movement

Changes since opening
Juventus
-4.54%
Draw
+5.38%
Hellas Verona
-0.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.53
64.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juventus
Hellas Verona
Power Score
85.53
64.33
League Position
4
19
Global Rank
34
346

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juventus Hellas Verona

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Juventus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hellas Verona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Juventus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hellas Verona
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.93
31.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.25
44.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Juventus +1.46 Efficiency Index
vs
Hellas Verona -1.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Juventus
Hellas Verona
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Juventus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hellas Verona
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Juventus Hellas Verona
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Juventus Hellas Verona
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Juventus
Hellas Verona
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Juventus
vs
Hellas Verona
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Juventus Hellas Verona
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Juventus 0.28
Hellas Verona 0.70
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Juventus Hellas Verona
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Juventus 0.10
Hellas Verona 0.01
Juventus
Hellas Verona
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JUV had peak pressure around 72'.
  • JUV started the game with stronger pressure.
JUV Pressure VER Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JUV reached the top pressure at 72' (99.35).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juventus JUV Home
24 matches
Hellas Verona VER Away
Match Record
15
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
15
Goals
46
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
46
+26
Goal Difference
-26

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Pitch
M. Di Gregorio
Italy
16 M. Di Gregorio
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
France
15 P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
Brazil
3 G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
L. Kelly
Substitution
England
6 L. Kelly
W. McKennie
United States
22 W. McKennie
M. Locatelli
Italy
5 M. Locatelli
K. Thuram-Ulien
Substitution
France
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
A. Cambiaso
Substitution
Italy
27 A. Cambiaso
F. Conceição
Substitution
Portugal
7 F. Conceição
K. Yildiz
Germany
10 K. Yildiz
J. David
Substitution
Canada
30 J. David
Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
M. Frese
Denmark
3 M. Frese
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
D. Bradarić
Substitution
Croatia
12 D. Bradarić
A. Bernede
Substitution
France
24 A. Bernede
R. Gagliardini
Italy
63 R. Gagliardini
J. Akpa Akpro
Ivory Coast
11 J. Akpa Akpro
R. Belghali
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
T. Suslov
Substitution
Slovakia
10 T. Suslov
K. Bowie
Scotland
18 K. Bowie

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Juventus Stadium
Capacity :
41507
Attendance :
40545
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Giovanni Ayroldi
Valerio Vecchi
Alex Cavallina
Davide Di Marco

Statistics

Possession
JUV
71%
VER
29%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 3
103 Dangerous attacks 10
76 Possession 24
14 Corners 1
19 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
26 Dribble Attempts 7
12 Successful Dribbles 1
3 Goal Kicks 13
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 14
15 Successful Headers 10
19 Throwins 8
82 Ball Safe 82
13 Goal Attempts 6
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
154 Attacks 63

Possession

29 Successful Long Passes 16
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
87 Successful Passes Percentage 70
48 Long Passes 53
18 Key Passes 6
651 Passes 216
565 Successful Passes 152

Defensive

9 Tackles 18
54 Duels Won 38
7 Interceptions 14
2 Saves 6

Build-up

38 Total Crosses 5
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

9 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi

Starting XI ▼

16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
6.83
3
Bremer
Bremer Defender
7.05
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Defender
6.94
8
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners
Midfielder80'
6.78
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Defender
7.02
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder
7.41
19
Khéphren Thuram
Khéphren Thuram Midfielder
7.06
9
Dušan Vlahović
Dušan Vlahović
Attacker46'
6.78
22
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
7.02
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Midfielder
7
13
Jérémie Boga
Jérémie Boga
Attacker75'
7.1
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Attacker
7.06
11
Edon Zhegrova
Edon Zhegrova
Attacker80'
6.73
10
Kenan Yıldız
Kenan Yıldız Attacker
7.45
30
Jonathan David
Jonathan David Attacker
6.75
21
Fabio Miretti
Fabio Miretti
Midfielder69'
6.71
Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
6.59
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Defender
6.87
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6.89
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
6.81
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Midfielder
6.7
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
6.8
12
Domagoj Bradarić
Domagoj Bradarić Midfielder
6.65
19
Tobias Slotsager
Tobias Slotsager
Defender71'
6.8
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
6.67
21
Abdou Harroui
Abdou Harroui
Midfielder80'
6.53
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
6.94
10
Tomas Suslov
Tomas Suslov Attacker
6.36
4
Sandi Lovrić
Sandi Lovrić
Midfielder71'
6.68
18
Kieron Bowie
Kieron Bowie Attacker
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Abdou Harroui
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Teun Koopmeiners → Lloyd Kelly
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Edon Zhegrova → Francisco Conceição
8th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Abdou Harroui → Antoine Bernede
6th Substitution
Event
Jérémie Boga → Andrea Cambiaso
5th Substitution
75'
71'
Event
Sandi Lovrić → Tomas Suslov
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Tobias Slotsager → Domagoj Bradarić
4th Substitution
Event
Fabio Miretti → Jonathan David
2nd Substitution
69'
63'
Event
Antoine Bernede
Persistent fouling / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Dušan Vlahović
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
Event
Dušan Vlahović → Khéphren Thuram
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Kieron Bowie
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Manuel Locatelli
Simulation / 3rd Yellowcard
33'
31'
Event
Martin Frese
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
5'
Event
Roberto Gagliardini
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Miretti's right-footed shot is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vlahovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdou Harroui receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Miretti's right-footed shot is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Jeremie Boga's right-footed shot is blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jeremie Boga's right-footed shot is blocked.
80
Update Update
Edon Zhegrova comes on for Francisco Conceicao.
80
Update Update
Teun Koopmeiners is on, and Lloyd Kelly is off.
80
Update Update
Abdou Harroui is on, and Antoine Bernede is off.
78
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Jeremie Boga replaces Andrea Cambiaso.
71
Update Update
Tobias Slotsager comes on for Domagoj Bradaric.
71
Update Update
Tobias Slotsager comes on for Domagoj Bradaric.
70
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vlahovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Sandi Lovric comes on for Tomas Suslov.
68
Attempt Attempt
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento attempted a header but missed the shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao's header is saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Suslov takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antoine Bernede receives a yellow card.
62
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vlahovic scores with a left-footed shot.
56
Attempt Attempt
Rafik Belghali takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Weston McKennie has a left-footed shot that is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Christian David takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Dusan Vlahovic comes on for Kephren Thuram-Ulien.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Yildiz takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Cambiaso takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Update Update
Kephren Thuram-Ulien's header is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
34
Update Update
Goal! Kieron Bowie scores, making it 1-0.
34
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie scores with a left-footed shot.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Manuel Locatelli receives a yellow card.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Frese receives a yellow card.
28
Attempt Attempt
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento attempts a header but misses the shot.
27
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Locatelli's right-footed shot is blocked.
26
Update Update
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento takes a header, but it hits the post.
24
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Christian David takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Yildiz takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Suslov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceicao takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Locatelli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Lloyd Kelly's header is saved.
5
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roberto Gagliardini receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Juventus' 1-1 draw against Hellas Verona underscores the challenges of breaking down compact defenses, even with 76% possession. Trailing at halftime exposed early vulnerabilities, but their second-half response showed resilience. Verona deserved credit for their organization, securing a valuable point on the road. For Juventus, this moderate deviation highlights inefficiency in chance creation against deep blocks. The market's alignment validates the predictability of such stalemates. Moving forward, Juventus must sharpen their finishing to match their control, while Verona builds momentum from this gritty performance.

Juventus vs Hellas Verona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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