Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Juve Stabia JUV
0 Winner 1
Frosinone FRO
Full Time Fri, 1 May 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
|
Goal
Gabriele Bracaglia - 73'

CONTEXT

Juve Stabia hosted Frosinone in a tightly contested match that ended 0-1 in favor of the visitors. The home side dominated possession with 57% compared to Frosinone's 43%, yet struggled to convert chances into goals. The first half finished 0-0, with both teams cautious and evenly matched at the break. Frosinone, considered the stronger team, broke the deadlock in the second half through clinical finishing, securing a narrow victory. No red cards were shown, maintaining a full complement of players throughout. This result highlights Frosinone's efficiency despite less ball control, showcasing their superior quality in key moments. Juve Stabia's inability to capitalize on territorial advantage proved costly, as Frosinone capitalized on limited opportunities.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Frosinone exhibited minimal structural deviation of 4.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market indications.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Marcenaro

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Zingarelli

1st Assistant

M. Scatragli

2nd Assistant

V. Vogliaco

4th Official

Juve Stabia I. Abate
I. Abate
VS
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.19
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: 48 D
Catanzaro Rank: 59 D
Cesena Rank: 54 W
Venezia Rank: 70 L
Spezia Rank: 51 W
Palermo Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Carrarese Rank: 54 W
Modena Rank: 57 W
Palermo Rank: 63 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 W
Südtirol Rank: 51 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juve Stabia
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Away Frosinone
95.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.13
67.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
Power Score
56.13
67.54
League Position
7
2
Global Rank
610
253

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juve Stabia Frosinone

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Frosinone

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Frosinone
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.60
31.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.63
38.60
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Juve Stabia +0.67 Efficiency Index
vs
Frosinone -0.67 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Frosinone
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Juve Stabia Frosinone
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Juve Stabia Frosinone
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Juve Stabia
vs
Frosinone
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Juve Stabia Frosinone
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Juve Stabia 0.50
Frosinone 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Juve Stabia Frosinone
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Juve Stabia 0.03
Frosinone 0.00
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JUV had peak pressure around 35'.
  • JUV started the game with stronger pressure.
JUV Pressure FRO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JUV reached the top pressure at 35' (80.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juve Stabia JUV Home
6 matches
Frosinone FRO Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
6
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:01:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Confente
Substitution
Italy
1 A. Confente
M. Bellich
Italy
6 M. Bellich
A. Giorgini
Italy
33 A. Giorgini
C. Dalle Mura
Italy
14 C. Dalle Mura
L. Carissoni
Substitution
Italy
24 L. Carissoni
N. Mosti
Italy
98 N. Mosti
G. Leone
Italy
55 G. Leone
O. Correia
Substitution
France
29 O. Correia
A. Cacciamani
77 A. Cacciamani
F. Maistro
Substitution
Italy
37 F. Maistro
A. Okoro
Substitution
Nigeria
90 A. Okoro
Pitch
L. Palmisani
Italy
22 L. Palmisani
G. Bracaglia
Italy
79 G. Bracaglia
I. Monterisi
Italy
30 I. Monterisi
G. Cittadini
Italy
2 G. Cittadini
A. Oyono Omva Torque
Substitution
France
20 A. Oyono Omva Torque
F. Gelli
Italy
10 F. Gelli
M. Cichella
Italy
16 M. Cichella
G. Calò
Substitution
Italy
14 G. Calò
G. Kvernadze
Substitution
Georgia
17 G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo
Substitution
Italy
9 A. Raimondo
F. Ghedjemis
Substitution
France
7 F. Ghedjemis

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti
Capacity :
12000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andrea Zingarelli
Marco Scatragli
Valerio Vogliaco
Matteo Marcenaro

Statistics

Possession
JUV
56%
FRO
44%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
40 Dangerous attacks 32
57 Possession 43
7 Corners 8
14 Free kicks 10

Match Overview

36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
32 Throwins 18
11 Dribble Attempts 16
4 Successful Dribbles 9
10 Goal Kicks 10
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5
14 Goal Attempts 10
78 Ball Safe 70
3 Injuries 1
0 Assists 1

Attacking

70 Attacks 65
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

78 Successful Passes Percentage 65
290 Successful Passes 182
373 Passes 280
68 Long Passes 59
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29
29 Successful Long Passes 17
14 Key Passes 11

Defensive

9 Interceptions 10
47 Duels Won 54
15 Tackles 17
2 Saves 4

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 4
19 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

1
Alessandro Confente
Alessandro Confente Goalkeeper
6.82
23
Pietro Boer
Pietro Boer
Goalkeeper41'
6.56
6
Marco Bellich
Marco Bellich Defender
6.79
14
Christian Dalle Mura
Christian Dalle Mura Defender
6.79
33
Andrea Giorgini
Andrea Giorgini Defender
6.39
24
Lorenzo Carissoni
Lorenzo Carissoni Midfielder
6.83
2
Manuel Ricciardi
Manuel Ricciardi
Midfielder74'
6.57
29
Omar Correia
Omar Correia Midfielder
6.83
10
Christian Pierobon
Christian Pierobon
Midfielder81'
6.62
55
Giuseppe Leone
Giuseppe Leone Midfielder
6.91
77
Alessio Cacciamani
Alessio Cacciamani Midfielder
6.6
98
Nicola Mosti
Nicola Mosti Midfielder
6.86
37
Fabio Maistro
Fabio Maistro Attacker
6.92
9
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Attacker74'
6.72
90
Alvin Okoro
Alvin Okoro Attacker
6.67
27
Leonardo Candellone
Leonardo Candellone
Attacker81'
6.86
Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
7.14
2
Giorgio Cittadini
Giorgio Cittadini Defender
6.88
20
Anthony Oyono
Anthony Oyono Defender
6.8
3
Gabriele Calvani
Gabriele Calvani
Defender90'
6.85
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi Defender
7.1
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Defender
6.89
10
Francesco Gelli
Francesco Gelli Midfielder
6.9
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Midfielder
7.65
92
Ben Lhassine Kone
Ben Lhassine Kone
Midfielder78'
6.67
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Midfielder
6.72
7
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis Attacker
7.19
8
Ilias Koutsoupias
Ilias Koutsoupias
Midfielder90'
6.94
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Attacker
6.88
28
Massimo Zilli
Massimo Zilli
Attacker77'
6.7
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker
6.78
80
Antonio Fiori
Antonio Fiori
Attacker64'
6.79

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Gabriele Calvani → Anthony Oyono
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Ilias Koutsoupias → Farès Ghedjemis
10th Substitution
Event
Leonardo Candellone → Alvin Okoro
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Christian Pierobon → Omar Correia
8th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Ben Lhassine Kone → Giacomo Calò
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Massimo Zilli → Antonio Raimondo
5th Substitution
Event
Manuel Ricciardi → Lorenzo Carissoni
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Alessandro Gabrielloni → Fabio Maistro
3rd Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Gabriele Bracaglia
Header / 1st Goal
64'
Event
Antonio Fiori → Giorgi Kvernadze
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Pietro Boer → Alessandro Confente
1st Substitution
41'
7'
Event
Alessandro Confente
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Marco Bellich's header is saved.
90
Update Update
Gabriele Calvani is on, and Anthony Oyono Omva Torque is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Fiori takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Giuseppe Leone's right-footed shot is blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Marco Bellich takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
Update Update
Leonardo Candellone comes on for Alvin Okoro.
81
Update Update
Christian Pierobon is on, and Omar Correia is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Nicola Mosti's left-footed shot is blocked.
78
Update Update
Ben Lhassine Kone comes on for Antonio Raimondo.
77
Update Update
Massimo Zilli comes on for Giacomo Calo.
74
Update Update
Alessandro Gabrielloni replaces Fabio Maistro.
74
Update Update
Manuel Ricciardi is on, and Lorenzo Carissoni is off.
73
Update Update
Gabriele Bracaglia scores with a header.
71
Attempt Attempt
Gelli Francesco takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Alessio Cacciamani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Oyono Omva attempts a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Fares Ghedjemi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Update Update
Antonio Fiori is on, and Giorgi Kvernadze is off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Omar Correia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Cichella takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Cichella takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Maistro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Nicola Mosti takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Omar Correia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Omar Correia takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
49
Attempt Attempt
Alessio Cacciamani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Omar Correia takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Maistro takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fares Ghedjemis takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Raimondo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Alessio Cacciamani's left-footed shot is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Raimondo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Update Update
Pietro Boer is on, and Alessandro Confente is off.
37
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Maistro takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
33
Attempt Attempt
Alvin Okoro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Alessio Cacciamani's right-footed shot is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Kvernadze takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Fares Ghedjemis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Alvin Okoro takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Omar Correia's left-footed shot is blocked.
3
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Antonio Raimondo.

CONCLUSION

Frosinone's 1-0 win over Juve Stabia underscores their status as the stronger side, triumphing despite trailing in possession. The goalless halftime gave way to a decisive second-half goal, reflecting superior finishing. Juve Stabia's 57% possession failed to yield scores, exposing vulnerabilities in attack. With no red cards or major disruptions, the minimal 4.4% deviation for Frosinone and market alignment affirm a predictable outcome based on team strengths. This victory boosts Frosinone's momentum, while Juve Stabia must refine chance creation for future fixtures.

Juve Stabia vs Frosinone preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.