Juve Stabia vs Cesena Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti Sat, 11 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Juve Stabia JUV

Cesena CES

Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Lorenzo Carissoni - 63'

Marco Varnier - 52'

CONTEXT

The match between Juve Stabia and Cesena is finished, ending 2-0 to the home side. The teams went into halftime level at 0-0, but Juve Stabia improved after the break to score twice and claim a straightforward victory. Possession was shared evenly at 50 percent each, though expected goals data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Pre-match expectations strongly favored Juve Stabia, and the result showed only minimal deviation in that direction. Cesena entered as the stronger team on paper yet could not convert that edge, leaving the outcome aligned with the pre-match projection. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the result proved consistent with how the contest was anticipated to unfold. No red cards were issued to either side, so disciplinary events played no role in the final margin. Overall the contest followed a logical path once the second half adjustments arrived, confirming Juve Stabia’s superiority on the day without major surprises.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Juve Stabia showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Ferrieri Caputi

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Garzelli

1st Assistant

E. Scarpa

2nd Assistant

A. Arena

4th Official

I. Abate

A. Cole

1.35

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.27

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Juve Stabia

97.84%

Draw

1.92%

Cesena

0.24%

Team Power Ranking

21.52

22.41

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Juve Stabia

Cesena

Power Score

21.52

22.41

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score

Cesena — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juve Stabia Cesena

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Cesena

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cesena

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

18.10

36.30

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

36.30

18.10

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Juve Stabia -1.73 Efficiency Index

Cesena +1.73 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Juve Stabia

Cesena

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cesena

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Juve Stabia Cesena

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Juve Stabia Cesena

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Juve Stabia

Cesena

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Juve Stabia

Cesena

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Juve Stabia Cesena

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Juve Stabia Cesena

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Juve Stabia

Cesena

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

CES had peak pressure around 79'.
JUV started the game with stronger pressure.

JUV Pressure CES Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: CES reached the top pressure at 79' (97.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juve Stabia JUV Home

7 matches

Cesena CES Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:04:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 A. Confente

33 A. Giorgini

13 M. Varnier

6 M. Bellich

24 L. Carissoni

98 N. Mosti

29 O. Correia

77 A. Cacciamani

70 M. Luz Priveato Dos Santos

76 M. Mannini

90 A. Okoro

33 J. Klinsmann

99 G. Frabotta

26 M. Piacentini

19 G. Zaro

15 A. Ciofi

25 D. Bisoli

10 S. Bastoni

9 C. Shpendi

14 T. Berti

11 R. Ciervo

7 A. Cerri

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 11, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti

Capacity :

12000

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Dario Garzelli

Eugenio Scarpa

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Alberto Arena

Statistics

Possession

JUV

48%

CES

52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

2 Shots 8

41 Dangerous attacks 43

50 Possession 50

6 Corners 2

20 Free kicks 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Throwins 20

9 Dribble Attempts 11

12 Goal Kicks 6

22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73

2 Successful Dribbles 8

5 Substitutions 5

83 Ball Safe 56

5 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

76 Attacks 97

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

349 Successful Passes 360

13 Successful Long Passes 16

4 Key Passes 11

421 Passes 431

83 Successful Passes Percentage 84

47 Long Passes 39

Defensive

7 Interceptions 10

9 Tackles 15

2 Saves 1

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4

18 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

8 Fouls 13

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Manager ▼

I. Abate Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alessandro Confente Goalkeeper

Marco Bellich Defender

Salim Diakité

Defender46'

Marco Varnier Defender

Andrea Giorgini Defender

Lorenzo Carissoni Midfielder

Omar Correia Midfielder

Christian Pierobon

Midfielder77'

Alessio Cacciamani Midfielder

Nicola Mosti Midfielder

Matheus Luz Priveato Dos Santos Attacker

Alessandro Gabrielloni

Attacker46'

Mattia Mannini Attacker

Emanuele Torrasi

Midfielder46'

Alvin Okoro Attacker

Manuel Ricciardi

Midfielder88'

Substitutes ▼

Alessandro Gabrielloni

Attacker46'

Salim Diakité

Defender46'

Emanuele Torrasi

Midfielder46'

Christian Pierobon

Midfielder77'

Manuel Ricciardi

Midfielder88'

Bench ▼

Pietro Boer Goalkeeper

Christian Dalle Mura Defender

Sheriff Kassama Defender

Thomas Battistella Midfielder

Kevin Zeroli Midfielder

Aaron Ciammaglichella Midfielder

Fabio Maistro Midfielder

Referee : Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi