Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti Sat, 18 Apr - 5:30 PM

Serie B

Juve Stabia JUV

1 – 1

Catanzaro CAT

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 5:30 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

Nicola Mosti - 18'

Federico Di Francesco - 88'

CONTEXT

Juve Stabia and Catanzaro played out a 1-1 draw in Serie C, with the home team leading 1-0 at halftime before the visitors equalized in the second half. Possession tilted towards Catanzaro at 56% compared to Juve Stabia's 44%, aligning with their designation as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, and no notable second-half adjustments occurred, maintaining a steady match flow. Pre-match market probabilities favored a Juve Stabia win at 43.3%, with draw at 28.6% and Catanzaro at 28.1%, but the result marked a significant 71.4% deviation benefiting Catanzaro. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, though lack of xG data limits deeper chance assessment. The outcome reflects Catanzaro's ability to capitalize despite lower market pricing.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited a 71.4% deviation, significant for Catanzaro.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to absent xG data.
Market alignment: Outcome not aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable without xG metrics.
Event impact: No events or adjustments notably influenced the result.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

N. Turrini

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Palmieri

4th Official

G. Grasso

2nd Assistant

M. Emmanuele

1st Assistant

I. Abate

A. Aquilani

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.81

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 2 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Juve Stabia

43.29%

Draw

28.62%

Catanzaro

28.08%

Movement

Changes since opening

Juve Stabia

+39.23%

Draw

-63.74%

Catanzaro

+24.49%

Team Power Ranking

24.06

27.96

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Juve Stabia

Catanzaro

Power Score

24.06

27.96

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score

Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juve Stabia Catanzaro

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Catanzaro

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Catanzaro

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

23.86

28.21

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.21

23.86

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Juve Stabia -0.41 Efficiency Index

Catanzaro +0.41 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Juve Stabia

Catanzaro

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Juve Stabia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Catanzaro

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Juve Stabia Catanzaro

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Juve Stabia Catanzaro

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Juve Stabia

Catanzaro

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Juve Stabia

Catanzaro

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Juve Stabia Catanzaro

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Juve Stabia Catanzaro

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Juve Stabia

Catanzaro

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

CAT had peak pressure around 91'.
JUV started the game with stronger pressure.

JUV Pressure CAT Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: CAT reached the top pressure at 91' (81.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juve Stabia JUV Home

3 matches

Catanzaro CAT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:07:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 A. Confente

46 S. Diakite

33 A. Giorgini

14 C. Dalle Mura

24 L. Carissoni

98 N. Mosti

28 E. Torrasi

10 C. Pierobon

77 A. Cacciamani

29 O. Correia

9 A. Gabrielloni

22 M. Pigliacelli

23 N. Brighenti

4 M. Antonini Lui

84 T. Cassandro

94 F. Di Francesco

21 M. Pompetti

32 F. Rispoli

62 R. Frosinini

30 G. Alesi

14 M. Liberali

8 F. Pittarello

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 05:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti

Capacity :

12000

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Niccolò Turrini

Andrea Palmieri

Gianluca Grasso

Marco Emmanuele

Statistics

Possession

JUV

46%

CAT

54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 2

5 Shots 7

70 Dangerous attacks 56

44 Possession 56

3 Corners 4

14 Free kicks 14

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 8

19 Throwins 15

67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

9 Dribble Attempts 22

8 Goal Kicks 2

1 Assists 0

77 Ball Safe 59

4 Goal Attempts 9

5 Substitutions 5

1 Injuries 0

Attacking

83 Attacks 84

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

310 Successful Passes 418

372 Passes 471

41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 62

5 Key Passes 12

18 Successful Long Passes 29

83 Successful Passes Percentage 89

44 Long Passes 47

Defensive

4 Saves 2

53 Duels Won 47

5 Interceptions 5

20 Tackles 10

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 4

14 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

14 Fouls 14

2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Niccolò Turrini

Manager ▼

I. Abate Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alessandro Confente Goalkeeper

6.83

Christian Dalle Mura Defender

6.78

Andrea Giorgini Defender

6.39

Salim Diakité Defender

6.68

Marco Varnier

Defender72'

6.87

Christian Pierobon Midfielder

6.63

Manuel Ricciardi

Midfielder85'

6.55

Lorenzo Carissoni Midfielder

6.83

Emanuele Torrasi Midfielder

6.74

Giuseppe Leone

Midfielder63'

6.9

Alessio Cacciamani Midfielder

6.59

Fabio Maistro

Midfielder85'

6.92

Nicola Mosti Midfielder

6.84

Alessandro Gabrielloni Attacker

6.73

Alvin Okoro

Attacker63'

6.63

Omar Correia Attacker

6.82

Substitutes ▼

Giuseppe Leone

Midfielder63'

6.9

Alvin Okoro

Attacker63'

6.63

Marco Varnier

Defender72'

6.87

Fabio Maistro

Midfielder85'

6.92

Manuel Ricciardi

Midfielder85'

6.55

Bench ▼

Alessandro Signorini Goalkeeper

Pietro Boer Goalkeeper

6.56

Mattia Mannini Defender

6.53

Thomas Battistella Midfielder

Aaron Ciammaglichella Midfielder

6.4

Matheus Luz Priveato Dos Santos Attacker

6.65

Referee : Niccolò Turrini