Istra 1961 vs Osijek Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Aldo Drosina Fri, 6 Mar - 5:00 PM
1. HNL
1
Osijek Osijek
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Istra 1961 and Osijek has officially finished, with the visitors securing a 1-0 full-time victory. Following a tightly contested and scoreless first half, Osijek ultimately found the second-half breakthrough to claim all three points. Heading into the fixture, the pre-match market anticipated a highly balanced contest. Projections gave Istra 1961 a 34.1% chance of winning, while Osijek held a marginal advantage at 35% alongside a 31% probability of a draw. With the visitors claiming the win, the final result ultimately aligned with the pre-match market. Even so, Osijek's performance showcased a significant deviation from baseline expectations, outperforming typical metrics for this matchup. Despite the defeat, Istra 1961 controlled the tempo, holding 57% of the possession compared to Osijek's 43%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this match, making it impossible to assess whether the outcome was consistent with the underlying shot quality. Nevertheless, the calculated efficiency shift was squarely in line with the final result, as Osijek proved more clinical with their limited time on the ball. Finally, the match was a disciplined affair, with no red cards issued to either side.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Osijek showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
D. Strukan
0.12 Other match officials
A. Jakšić
1st Assistant
V. Vidović
2nd Assistant
F. Dragasevic
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Istra 1961 OsijekTeam Power Ranking
i 40 30.67 Istra 1961 OsijekForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Istra 1961
Osijek
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Istra 1961 ⚠ Proxy Attacking Efficiency Defensive Efficiency Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Istra 1961 ⚠ Proxy Istra 1961 Osijek Istra 1961 Osijek Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record Goals Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:27:01+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Events
CONCLUSION
Istra 1961 vs Osijek preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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