İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Sun, 8 Mar - 12:02 AM
Super Lig
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA
2 Winner 1
Göztepe GOZ
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 12:02 AM
Ivan Brnic - 69'
Ömer Ali Şahiner - 13'
Goal
|
Goal
Alexis Antunes - 39'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. İstanbul Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe. The result saw İstanbul Başakşehir take the points. İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 55%–45%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Y. Kol

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Aldemir

4th Official

M. Mazlum

2nd Assistant

A. Özkara

1st Assistant

İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
VS
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
1.68
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: W
Alanyaspor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
Rizespor Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: D
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Kayserispor Rank: D
Konyaspor Rank: D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 1 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home İstanbul Başakşehir
50.15%
Draw
27.79%
Away Göztepe
22.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56
56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
Power Score
56
56
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

İstanbul Başakşehir

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Göztepe
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.73
56.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
56.22
16.73
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
İstanbul Başakşehir -3.98 Efficiency Index
vs
Göztepe +3.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Göztepe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Home
7 matches
Göztepe GOZ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
8
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:02:58+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 08, 2026, 12:02 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium :
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity :
17156
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Yasin Kol
M. Aldemir
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Abdullah Bora Özkara

Statistics

Possession
IBA
50%
GOZ
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 6
7 Shots 23
44 Dangerous attacks 46
55 Possession 45
3 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Goal Kicks 5
20 Throwins 22
16 Successful Headers 21
7 Dribble Attempts 16
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
3 Successful Dribbles 9
2 Assists 1
91 Ball Safe 79
5 Goal Attempts 14
5 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 3

Attacking

85 Attacks 101
0 Big Chances Missed 6

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 71
369 Passes 290
60 Long Passes 61
275 Successful Passes 205
32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
19 Successful Long Passes 25
6 Key Passes 16

Defensive

7 Interceptions 11
15 Tackles 15
7 Saves 2

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 25
1 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 12

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kazımcan Karataş
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Taha Altıkardeş → Malcom Bokele
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Guilherme Luiz → Juan
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Uğur Kaan Yıldız → Amin Cherni
9th Substitution
76'
Event
Anthony Dennis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hamza Güreler → Yusuf Sarı
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Ivan Brnic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
69'
67'
Event
Janderson → Jeh
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Filip Krastev → Alexis Antunes
5th Substitution
Event
Miguel Crespo → Berat Özdemir
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Onur Ergün → Davie Selke
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Ivan Brnic → Abbosbek Fayzullaev
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Malcom Bokele
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Event
Alexis Antunes
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Kazımcan Karataş → Christopher Operi
1st Substitution
35'
Event
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: İstanbul Başakşehir exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig, Turkey View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ