IFK Göteborg vs Hammarby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg GOT
0 Winner 1
Hammarby HAM
Full Time Sat, 9 May 1:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
|
Goal
Victor Eriksson - 90+4'

CONTEXT

IFK Göteborg faced Hammarby in an Allsvenskan encounter at Gamla Ullevi, resulting in a 0-1 home defeat. The halftime score stood at 0-0, maintaining parity through the first 45 minutes. Hammarby, identified as the stronger team, controlled 55% possession against Göteborg's 45%, translating this dominance into a second-half goal for the victory. The match displayed a significant 40.6% structural deviation in Hammarby's favor, reflecting their pre-match edge where they held a 59.4% implied success rate compared to Göteborg's 16.6% and a 24% draw chance. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome proved market-aligned. No red cards disrupted play, and no second-half tactical adjustments were evident. This low-scoring affair highlighted Hammarby's clinical finishing amid balanced chances.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed a significant 40.6% structural deviation favoring Hammarby.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiencies for both teams remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: Performance against xG expectations unmeasurable without data.
  • Event impact: No key events altered the match's structural flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, causing zero distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Wolf

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Rehnlund

1st Assistant

Sweden

D. Gustavsson

2nd Assistant

Sweden

A. Ladebäck

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.95
Yellow cards / match 3.24
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.21
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
VS
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: 64 L
GAIS Rank: 57 D
Kalmar Rank: 49 D
Halmstad Rank: 46 D
Häcken Rank: 59 L
Elfsborg Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Djurgården Rank: 64 D
Halmstad Rank: 47 D
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
Sirius Rank: 63 L
Mjällby Rank: 70 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 8 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home IFK Göteborg
16.58%
Draw
24%
Away Hammarby
59.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
IFK Göteborg
+16.39%
Draw
+20.27%
Hammarby
-36.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.82
69.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
IFK Göteborg
Hammarby
Power Score
54.82
69.02
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
650
232

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) IFK Göteborg Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.33
29.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.45
26.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
IFK Göteborg -0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Hammarby +0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
Hammarby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
IFK Göteborg Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
IFK Göteborg
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
IFK Göteborg Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
IFK Göteborg 0.27
Hammarby 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
IFK Göteborg 0.02
Hammarby 0.00
IFK Göteborg
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 97'.
  • GOT started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
GOT Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 97' (77.01).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

IFK Göteborg GOT Home
31 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
9
Wins
14
8
Draws
8
14
Losses
9
Goals
28
Goals Scored
46
46
Goals Conceded
28
-18
Goal Difference
+18

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:01:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
J. Bager
Denmark
5 J. Bager
F. Eriksson
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
T. Heintz
Substitution
Norway
14 T. Heintz
A. Borén
Substitution
27 A. Borén
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Substitution
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
B. Brantlind
Substitution
26 B. Brantlind
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
N. Persson
Substitution
Sweden
16 N. Persson
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
F. Junior Adjei
Ghana
28 F. Junior Adjei
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
N. Besara
Substitution
Sweden
20 N. Besara
V. Lind
Substitution
Denmark
9 V. Lind
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Victor Wolf
Per Rehnlund
Daniel Gustavsson
Adam Ladebäck

Statistics

Possession
GOT
45%
HAM
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
10 Shots 13
37 Dangerous attacks 64
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 5
9 Free kicks 20
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

33 Throwins 23
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
91 Ball Safe 73
5 Goal Attempts 10
2 Successful Dribbles 4
11 Goal Kicks 9
7 Dribble Attempts 13
4 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 0
0 Assists 1

Attacking

80 Attacks 112
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

7 Key Passes 12
354 Passes 444
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
72 Successful Passes Percentage 81
255 Successful Passes 359
73 Long Passes 61
27 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

4 Interceptions 12
40 Duels Won 53
15 Tackles 12
3 Saves 0

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 23
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

20 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
5
Jonas Bager
Jonas Bager Defender
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Midfielder
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Midfielder
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson
Midfielder88'
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
26
Benjamin Brantlind
Benjamin Brantlind Attacker
8
Imam Jagne
Imam Jagne
Midfielder59'
27
Alfons Borén
Alfons Borén Attacker
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Attacker59'
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Attacker
7
Sebastian Clemmensen
Sebastian Clemmensen
Attacker77'
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana
Defender82'
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Defender73'
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Midfielder74'
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Attacker82'
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker61'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Felix Eriksson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+7'
90+4'
Event
Victor Eriksson
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Filip Ottosson → Tobias Heintz
9th Substitution
88'
82'
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Ibrahima Fofana → Noah Persson
7th Substitution
Event
Sebastian Clemmensen → Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
6th Substitution
77'
74'
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas → Nahir Besara
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Oscar Steinke Brånby → Victor Lind
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Paulos Abraham
3rd Substitution
Event
Tobias Heintz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
60'
Event
Saidou Alioum Moubarak → Alfons Borén
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Imam Jagne → Benjamin Brantlind
2nd Substitution
59'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Clemmensen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Victor Eriksson scores to make it 0-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson scores with a right-footed shot.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Felix Eriksson receives a yellow card.
88
Update Update
Filip Ottosson is on, and Tobias Heintz is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Hagen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Substitution Substitution
Oliver Hagen is substituted on for Montader Madjed.
79
Attempt Attempt
David Kjaer Kruse takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Clemmensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
Sebastian Clemmensen replaces Adam Bergmark-Wiberg.
76
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Vasic takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
74
Update Update
Oscar Johansson comes on for Nahir Besara.
73
Update Update
Oscar Steinke replaces Victor Lind.
72
Attempt Attempt
August Erlingmark takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Seedy Jagne takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Nikola Vasic comes on for Paulos Abraham.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tobias Heintz receives a yellow card.
59
Update Update
Seedy Jagne is on, and Benjamin Brantlind is off.
59
Update Update
Saidou Alioum comes on for Alfons Boren.
55
Attempt Attempt
Markus Karlsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind's right-footed shot is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham's right-footed shot is saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
August Erlingmark missed a left-footed shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Alfons Boren takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Alfons Boren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Alfons Boren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Update Update
Victor Lind's header attempt is off target.
24
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Noah Persson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Noah Persson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
August Erlingmark took a right-footed shot but missed.
7
Attempt Attempt
August Erlingmark takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's 1-0 triumph over IFK Göteborg affirmed their pre-designated stronger status, leveraging 55% possession into a second-half winner after a goalless first half. The significant 40.6% structural deviation underscored their dominance, while efficiencies held steady in line with projections. Market alignment validated the result against pre-match evaluations favoring Hammarby at 59.4%. Lacking xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but no red cards or events introduced distortions. Göteborg's defense held firm yet failed to score, exposing attacking frailties. This narrow win bolsters Hammarby's position, emphasizing disciplined execution in a possession-heavy display.

IFK Göteborg vs Hammarby preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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